Student Journal - Mar24 (AFM Theory) (2)
Student Journal - Mar24 (AFM Theory) (2)
me/CA_Final_Student_Updates
ADVANCED FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
In addition to the traditional role the role of CFO has been advanced in the following areas:
a. Risk Management: Now a days the CFOs are expected to look after the overall functioning of the framework of Risk Management system
of an organisation.
b. Supply Chain: Since CFOs are caretakers of finance of the company, considering the financial viability of the Supply Chain Management
their role has now become more critical.
c. Mergers, Acquisitions, and Corporate Restructuring: Since to capture the market share there has been a spate of
Mergers and Acquisitions, the role of CFOs has become more crucial because any error in them can lead to collapse of the whole business.
d. Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) Financing: With the evolving of the concept of ESG their role has been shifted from
traditional financing to sustainability financing.
Financial Right
A clear and
resources, management
realistic
controls and team and
strategy
systems processes
Defined as application of financial management techniques to strategic decisions to help achieve the
decision-maker’s objectives.
It combines the backward-looking, report focused discipline of (financial) accounting with the more
dynamic, forward-looking subject of financial management.
Fundamentally concerned with selection of businesses in which a company should compete and should be able to
answer three basic questions:
(a) Suitability - Whether the strategy would work for the accomplishment of common objective of the company.
(b) Feasibility - Determines the kind and number of resources required to formulate and implement the strategy.
(c) Acceptability - It is concerned with the stakeholders’ satisfaction and can be financial and non-financial.
The functional level is the level of the operating divisions and departments. The strategic issues at this level are related to
functional business processes and value chain.
Among the different functional activities viz production, marketing, finance, human resources and research and development,
finance assumes highest importance during the top down and bottom-up interaction of planning.
Financial Planning
There are 3 major components of Financial Planning:
l Financial Resources (FR)
l Financial Tools (FT)
l Financial Goals (FG)
Financial Planning = FR+ FT + FG
Too fast or too slow growth will go against enterprise growth and development.
What be able to scan its environment or context to identify opportunities for its work.
makes an
organization
sustainable? be able to attract, manage and retain competent staff.
be able to demonstrate its effectiveness and impact in order to leverage further resources.
Reasons for adjustment of risk in Capital Budgeting Decisions METHODS OF INCORPORATING RISK IN CAPITAL
BUDGETING
Adjustment of risk is necessary to help make the decision as to
whether the returns of the project are proportionate with the risks
Techniques of Risk Analysis in Capital Budgeting
borne and whether it is worth investing in the project over the
other investment options available.
Statistical Conventional Others
Risk adjustment is required to know the real value of the Cash Techniques Techniques Techniques
Inflows. Higher risk will lead to higher risk premium and also
expectation of higher returns Risk-adjusted Sensitivity
Probability
discount rate analysis
The investment
The Coefficient with lower ratio For selection Conventional Techniques Certainty Equivalent (CE)
of Variation of standard between two
calculates the deviation projects, a project
risk borne for to expected return, which has a
every percent of provides a better lower Coefficient To deal with risks in capital budgeting, risky future cash flows
expected return. risk – return of Variation is are expressed in terms of certain cash flows as their equivalent.
trade off. selected. Decision maker would be indifferent between the risky amount
and the (lower) riskless amount considered to be its equivalent.
Risk-Adjusted
Conventional Techniques Steps involved in the Certainty Equivalent (CE) approach
Discount Rate
• Remove risks by substituting equivalent certain cash
flows from risky cash flows
Step-1 • Multiply each risky cash flow by the appropriate αt
A RISK ADJUSTED DISCOUNT RATE IS A SUM OF RISK- value (CE coefficient)
FREE RATE AND RISK PREMIUM.
Discounted value of cash flow is obtained by applying
Risk-Free Rate of Return.
Step-2
Risk-
Risk adjusted
Risk free rate • To evaluate the project Normal Capital budgeting
premium discount
rate methods are applied except in case of IRR method.
Step-3 • In case of IRR, it is compared with risk free rate of
interest rather than the firm’s required rate of return
or cost of capital.
A modelling technique
Certainty In industrial Sensitivity used in Capital Budgeting
The value Equivalent situation, cash Analysis decisions to study the impact
of Certainty Coefficient 1 flows are generally of changes in the variables on
Equivalent indicates that the uncertain and the outcome of the project.
Coefficient lies cash flow is certain managements
between 0 & 1. or management is are usually risk
risk neutral. averse.
As per CIMA terminology, “A modelling and risk assessment
procedure in which changes are made to significant variables in
order to determine the effect of these changes on the planned
outcome. Particular attention is thereafter paid to variables
identified as being of special significance”
Where,
NCFt = Forecasts of net cash flow for year ‘t’ without risk-
adjustment In this analysis, It is a way of
αt = Risk-adjustment factor or the certainty equivalent the project finding impact
coefficient. outcome is The more sensitive in the project’s
Kf = Risk-free rate assumed to be constant for all periods. studied after is the NPV, the NPV (or IRR) for
I = Initial Investment. taking into more critical is the a given change
change in only variable. in one of the
one variable. variables.
3.
Analysing the effect of the change in each of the
RISK-ADJUSTED DISCOUNT RATE VS. CERTAINTY- variables on the NPV (or IRR) of the project.
EQUIVALENT
Then, go for worst case scenario (low unit sales, low sale price, • We can predict all types of bad market
high variable cost and so on) and best case scenario. situations beforehand.
• Handle problems characterised by:
(a) numerous exogenous variables following
any kind of distribution.
Alternatively, Scenario Analysis is possible where some factors Advantages
are changed positively and some factors are changed negatively. (b) c omplex interrelationships among
parameters, exogenous variables and
endogenous variables.
(c) compels decision maker to explicitly
In a nutshell Scenario Analysis examines the risk of consider the inter-dependencies and
investment, to analyse the impact of alternative combinations uncertainties featuring the project.
of variables, on the project’s NPV (or IRR).
Replacement Decision
ADJUSTED PRESENT VALUE
Replacement of Existing Optimum Replacement • This approach separates the investment decision and
Machine Cycle financing decision.
• Following formula is used to evaluate a project as per this
Replacement of Existing Machine approach:
Base Case NPV + PV of Tax Benefit on Interest
This is a decision concerning whether an existing asset should be replaced • Base Case NPV is calculated using cost of equity assuming
by a newer version of the same machine or even a different type of machine the company is unlevered i.e., all equity financed. Now
that has the same functionality as the existing machine.
question arises: how to calculate the Unlevered Cost of
Equity?
• This method provides a broader view to evaluate a project
STEPS INVOLVED IN DECISION TO REPLACE EXISTING considering the benefit of increased use of debt in financing
MACHINE of any project.