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Class 06 - Weibull Distribution in Mainteanance Applications

The document discusses the Weibull distribution and its parameters for modeling failure rates over time. The Weibull distribution has three parameters: characteristic lifetime (scale parameter), shape parameter, and failure free time (location parameter). The shape parameter determines if the failure rate increases, decreases, or stays constant over time, relating to early failures, random failures, and wearout failures. Examples of the density, failure probability, and failure rate functions are shown for different shape parameters.

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227 views10 pages

Class 06 - Weibull Distribution in Mainteanance Applications

The document discusses the Weibull distribution and its parameters for modeling failure rates over time. The Weibull distribution has three parameters: characteristic lifetime (scale parameter), shape parameter, and failure free time (location parameter). The shape parameter determines if the failure rate increases, decreases, or stays constant over time, relating to early failures, random failures, and wearout failures. Examples of the density, failure probability, and failure rate functions are shown for different shape parameters.

Uploaded by

b_shadid8399
Copyright
© Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Industrial Engineering

Introduction

Introduction

With the Weibull distribution many different failure behaviours can be described.

Wiebull Distribution

The three parametric Weibull distribution exhibits the characteristic lifetime T (scale parameter) and the shape parameter b and failure free time t0 location parameter.
With this third parameter (free time t0 ), failures can be described that only begin to occur after a certain time t0

Maintenance Applications with Weibull Distribution

In the equations the commonly accepted scale parameter or in the denominator is represented by the term (T - t0)
1

Industrial Engineering

Wiebull Distribution

The three parametric Weibull distribution


Introduction

Wiebull Distribution

Maintenance Applications with Weibull Distribution


2

Industrial Engineering

Wiebull Distribution

Parameters:

Introduction

t: Statistical variable (load time, load cycles, ) > 0


T: Characteristic lifetime, scale parameter. For t = T, F(t) = 63,2% or
Wiebull Distribution

R(t) = 36,8%. T > t0 b: Shape parameter or failure slope. Determines the shape of the curve. > 0 t0: Failure free time location parameter. The parameter t0 determines the
point in time from which failures begin to occur. It corresponds to a

Maintenance Applications with Weibull Distribution

shifting of the failure behaviour along the time axis. If t0

>0

then t

> t0

Industrial Engineering

Wiebull Distribution

Introduction

Wiebull Distribution

Maintenance Applications with Weibull Distribution

Density function f(t) of the Weibull distribution for various shape parameters b (characteristic lifetime T = 1, failure free time t0 = 0)

Industrial Engineering

Wiebull Distribution

Introduction

Wiebull Distribution

Maintenance Applications with Weibull Distribution

Failure probability F(t) of the Weibull distribution for various shape parameters b (characteristic lifetime T = 1, failure free time t0 = 0)

Industrial Engineering

Wiebull Distribution

Introduction

Wiebull Distribution

Maintenance Applications with Weibull Distribution

Survival probability R(t) of the Weibull distribution for various shape parameters b (characteristic lifetime T = 1, failure free time t0 = 0)

Industrial Engineering

Wiebull Distribution

Introduction

Wiebull Distribution

Maintenance Applications with Weibull Distribution

Failure rate (t) of the Weibull distribution for various shape parameters b (characteristic lifetime T = 1, failure free time t0 = 0)

Industrial Engineering

Wiebull Distribution

Introduction

The various failure rates for the Weibull distribution as in can be divided into three sections, which are identical to the three sections of the bathtub curve:

b < 1: Failure rates decrease with increasing lifetime: description of


early failures;

Wiebull Distribution

b = 1: Failure rate is constant. The shape parameter b = 1 is suitable


for the description of random failures in the constant failures of the bathtub curve;

b > 1: Failure rates increase drastically with increasing lifetime.


Wearout failures can be described with b values greater than 1.

Maintenance Applications with Weibull Distribution


8

Industrial Engineering

Wiebull Distribution

Introduction

The various failure rates for the Weibull distribution as in can be divided into three sections, which are identical to the three sections of the bathtub curve:

b < 1: Failure rates decrease with increasing lifetime: description of


early failures;

Wiebull Distribution

b = 1: Failure rate is constant. The shape parameter b = 1 is suitable


for the description of random failures in the constant failures of the bathtub curve;

b > 1: Failure rates increase drastically with increasing lifetime.


Wearout failures can be described with b values greater than 1.

Maintenance Applications with Weibull Distribution


9

Industrial Engineering

Example

Example:

Introduction

Wiebull Distribution

A device that shows running-in failure pattern, has threshold time to failure of 150 days and characteristic life of 100days. What is the probability that this device will fail before 200 days of running times? What is the probability that this device will survive for 180days? What is the age-specific failure rate at 180 days? (Hint: the shape factor in this case could be one of the following; 1.2 ,0.5, 4.5)

Maintenance Applications with Weibull Distribution


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