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Estimation of Travel Time From Spot Speed Data

The document describes three approaches to estimate travel time from spot speed data measured at three stations along a 3km road stretch. Approach 1 assumes vehicles travel at the starting or ending station speed throughout each link. Approach 2 assumes vehicles travel at the average speed between stations. Approach 3 assumes vehicles travel at the minimum speed between stations. Travel times are estimated for 12 intervals using buses and cars and compared to observed travel times, with Approach 3 providing the closest estimates on average.

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Sudhir Varma

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)

49 views

Estimation of Travel Time From Spot Speed Data

Uploaded by

Sudhir Varma

Available Formats

Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

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Estimation of travel time from Spot Speed data

For the estimation of travel time from spot speed data measured at three stations within
the 3 km stretch of road, we divide the 3 km stretch of road into two parts - Link 1 and
Link 2. Link joining Station A and Station C is Link 1 and link joining Station C and
Station C is Link 2. We estimate travel time from spot speed data of station A,B and C
using three approaches described below-

Approach 1:
The model assumes that the vehicles entering station A have a constant speed which is
the spot speed measured at station A, throughout Link 1. Then we assume that vehicles
entering the station A, have a constant speed which is the spot speed measured at Station
C, throughout Link 2. Travel times are calculated for both the above cases and then take
an average which is the final estimated travel time.
D1
. (1)
So, the travel time in Link 1 with speed V A is
VA
D1
..... (2)
And the travel time in Link 1 for speed VC is
VC

The final travel time in link 1 is

1 D1 D1
( + )
2 V A VC

... (3)

Where, D1 is the distance between two consecutive stations,

VA is the spot speed measured at the starting station,
VC is the spot speed measured at the ending station.

Similarly travel time in link 2 is

D
1 D2
(
+ 2)
2 VC
VB

(4)

Where, D2 is the distance between two consecutive stations,

VC is the spot speed measured at the starting station,
VB is the spot speed measured at the ending station.

Approach 2:
In approach 2, we consider that the vehicles have a constant speed throughout the link
which is the average of the spot speed measured at stating and ending stations of that link.
D
So, travel time in a particular link is
.. (5)
1 (V + V )
A
C
2

Where, D is the distance between two consecutive stations or distance of the link,

VA is the spot speed measured at the starting station of the link,

VC is the spot speed measured at the ending station of the link.

Approach 3:
In this approach, we consider that the vehicles have a constant speed throughout the link
which is the minimum speed between the two spot speeds measured at starting and
ending station of that link.
D
.. (6)
So, travel time in a particular link is
min(V A , VC )

Comparison of observed and estimated travel time using these three

approaches:
Bus:
Table 1: Observed travel time and spot speed of bus

Interval
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

Interval Duration
8:50:00-8:55:00
8:55:00:9:00:00
9:00:00-9:05:00
9:05:00:9:10:00
9:10:00-9:15:00
9:15:00-9:20:00
9:20:00-9:25:00
9:25:00-9:30:00
9:30:00-9:35:00
9:35:00-9:40:00
9:40:00-9:45:00
9:45:00-9:50:00

Observed
average travel
time
0:04:54
0:04:54
0:05:38
0:04:40
0:04:42
0:05:37
0:05:02
0:04:41
0:05:01
0:04:38
0:04:22
0:04:31

Station A
47.00
42.33
40.00
39.50
36.75
36.00
44.00
50.33
45.00
43.50
52.50
43.67

Spot speed
(km/hr)
Station C
34.00
40.67
32.00
47.00
30.33
31.75
35.50
43.00
36.50
41.00
42.00
47.80

Station B
48.00
24.00
40.33
36.00
50.00
37.40
35.00
35.50
28.33
35.50
36.60
39.50

Table 2: Comparison between estimated and observed travel time using approach 1
Estimated
travel time (hr)
Interval

Duration

Link 1

Link 2

total est TT

estimated
TT

obs TT

error

8:50:00-8:55:00

0.03802

0.03768

0.07570

0:04:32

0:04:54

0:00:22

8:55:00:9:00:00

0.03616

0.04969

0.08585

0:05:09

0:04:54

0:00:15

9:00:00-9:05:00

0.04219

0.04203

0.08422

0:05:03

0:05:38

0:00:35

9:05:00:9:10:00

0.03494

0.03679

0.07174

0:04:18

0:04:40

0:00:22

9:10:00-9:15:00

0.04513

0.03973

0.08486

0:05:05

0:04:42

0:00:23

9:15:00-9:20:00

0.04446

0.04368

0.08813

0:05:17

0:05:37

0:00:20

9:20:00-9:25:00

0.03817

0.04256

0.08073

0:04:50

0:05:02

0:00:12

9:25:00-9:30:00

0.03234

0.03857

0.07091

0:04:15

0:04:41

0:00:26

9:30:00-9:35:00

0.03721

0.04702

0.08423

0:05:03

0:05:01

0:00:02

9:35:00-9:40:00

0.03553

0.03942

0.07495

0:04:30

0:04:38

0:00:08

9:40:00-9:45:00

0.03214

0.03835

0.07049

0:04:14

0:04:22

0:00:08

9:45:00-9:50:00

0.03287

0.03468

0.06754

0:04:03

0:04:31
Mean

0:00:28
0:00:18

Table 3: Comparison between estimated and observed travel time using approach 2
Estimated travel time (hr)
total est TT

estimated
TT

obs TT

error

0.03659

0.07362

0:04:25

0:04:54

0:00:29

0.03614

0.04639

0.08254

0:04:57

0:04:54

0:00:03

9:00:00-9:05:00

0.04167

0.04147

0.08314

0:05:00

0:05:38

0:00:38

9:05:00:9:10:00

0.03468

0.03614

0.07083

0:04:15

0:04:40

0:00:25

9:10:00-9:15:00

0.04472

0.03734

0.08206

0:04:55

0:04:42

0:00:13

9:15:00-9:20:00

0.04428

0.04338

0.08766

0:05:16

0:05:37

0:00:21

9:20:00-9:25:00

0.03774

0.04255

0.08029

0:04:49

0:05:02

0:00:13

9:25:00-9:30:00

0.03214

0.03822

0.07036

0:04:13

0:04:41

0:00:28

9:30:00-9:35:00

0.03681

0.04627

0.08308

0:04:59

0:05:01

0:00:02

9:35:00-9:40:00

0.03550

0.03922

0.07472

0:04:29

0:04:38

0:00:09

9:40:00-9:45:00

0.03175

0.03817

0.06991

0:04:11

0:04:22

0:00:11

9:45:00-9:50:00

0.03280

0.03436

0.06716

0:04:02

0:04:31
avg

0:00:29
0:00:18

Interval

Duration

Link 1

Link 2

8:50:00-8:55:00

0.03704

8:55:00:9:00:00

Table 4: Comparison between estimated and observed travel time using approach 3
Estimated
travel time (hr)

estimated
TT

Observed
TT

0.088235

0:05:18

0:04:54

0:00:24

0.062500

0.099385

0:05:57

0:04:54

0:01:03

0.046875

0.093750

0:05:37

0:05:38

0:00:01

9:05:00:9:10:00

0.037975

0.041667

0.079641

0:04:47

0:04:40

0:00:07

9:10:00-9:15:00

0.049451

0.098901

0:05:55

0:04:42

0:01:13

9:15:00-9:20:00

0.047244

0.094488

0:05:40

0:05:37

0:00:03

9:20:00-9:25:00

0.042254

0.042857

0.085111

0:05:06

0:05:02

0:00:04

9:25:00-9:30:00

0.034884

0.042254

0.077137

0:04:37

0:04:41

0:00:04

9:30:00-9:35:00

0.041096

0.052941

0.094037

0:05:38

0:05:01

0:00:37

Interval

Duration

Link 1

Link 2

total est TT

8:50:00-8:55:00

0.044118

8:55:00:9:00:00

0.036885

9:00:00-9:05:00

error

9:35:00-9:40:00

0.036585

0.042254

0.078839

0:04:45

0:04:38

0:00:07

9:40:00-9:45:00

0.035714

0.040984

0.076698

0:04:36

0:04:22

0:00:14

9:45:00-9:50:00

0.034351

0.037975

0.072326

0:04:21

0:04:31

0:00:10
0:00:20

Car:
Table 5: Observed travel time and spot speed of car

Interval
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

Observed travel
time

Station A

Spot speed
(km/hr)
Station C