Obama Muslims Survey
Obama Muslims Survey
(697 landline interviews and 332 cell phone interviews) Margins of error: plus or minus 3.7 Interviewing dates: 8/25-26/10 SAMPLE SIZE/MARGIN OF ERROR FOR TOTAL ADULTS SUBGROUPS: 314 334 310 Republicans (plus or minus 6.5) Democrats (plus or minus 6.5) Independents (plus or minus 6.9)
SAMPLE SIZE/MARGIN OF ERROR FOR REGISTERED VOTERS SUBGROUPS: 856 284 280 247 366 435 Registered voters (plus or minus 4.1) Republican RVs (plus or minus 6.8) Democrat RVs (plus or minus 7.1) Independent RVs (plus or minus 7.8) Obama-Approve RVs (plus or minus 6.3) Obama-Disapprove RVs (plus or minus 5.6)
Notes: Data are weighted so that sample demographics match Census Current Population Survey parameters for gender, age, education, race, region, and population density. Results based on smaller subgroups are subject to larger margins of sampling error. Sample size and margins of error for these subgroups are included in a separate methodology statement. An asterisk (*) indicates a value less than 1%.
RVA.
Which ONE of the following three statements best describes you (READ) 76 7 16 1 100 Are you ABSOLUTELY CERTAIN youre registered to vote at your current address, OR Are you PROBABLY registered, but there is a chance your registration has lapsed, OR Are you NOT registered to vote at your current address? (DO NOT READ) Dont know
*1a/b.
Suppose the elections for U.S. Congress were being held TODAY Would you vote for (ROTATE: the Republican Partys candidate or the Democratic Partys candidate) for Congress in your district? [IF OTHER/UNDECIDED, RESPONDENTS WERE ASKED] As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward... (ROTATE: the Republican or the Democrat) (running for Congress in your district)? BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS1 CURRENT TOTAL Republican RVs Democrat RVs Independent RVs 2010 TRENDS (RVS) 2/17-18/10 2006 TRENDS (RVS) 11/2-3/06 10/26-27/06 10/19-20/06 10/5-6/06 8/24-25/06 8/10-11/06 5/11-12/06 3/16-17/06 2002 TRENDS (RVS) 10/24-25/02 10/10-11/02 9/26-27/02 9/12-13/02 8/28-29/02 June 20022 February 2002 1998 TRENDS (RVS) 10/8-9/98 9/24-25/98 9/10-11/98 8/20-21/98 Rep/Lean Rep 45 94 6 45 43 36 38 37 38 38 39 39 39 46 43 40 43 40 44 46 43 43 43 41 Dem/Lean Dem 45 4 90 33 45 52 49 51 51 50 51 50 50 43 43 47 41 45 46 45 45 48 45 47 Undecided/Other 10 2 4 22 12 12 13 12 11 12 10 11 11 11 14 13 16 15 10 9 12 9 12 12 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100
1 2
Registered voters are defined as those who say they are 'absolutely certain' they are registered to vote at their current address in Question RVA. June 2002 and February 2002 trends from Pew Research Center.
*2.
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? CURRENT TOTAL Republicans Democrats Independents TRENDS3 6/23-24/10 2/17-18/10 1/14-17/104 7/16-19/095 4/1-2/09 3/4-5/09 Approve 47 8 82 41 48 48 49 57 61 58 Disapprove 45 88 14 48 46 40 38 32 27 26 DK 8 4 4 11 6 12 13 11 12 16 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100
*3.
How important is your view of Barack Obama in determining your vote for U.S. Congress this year? Is it...(READ) BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS Very Important 39 34 44 35 30 40 30 30 34 33 32 38 Somewhat Important 29 34 25 27 34 21 28 32 19 24 30 19 Not too Important 13 14 12 14 16 13 15 14 13 15 16 13 Not at all Important 16 17 16 22 18 24 24 21 32 23 19 25 DK 3 1 3 2 2 2 3 3 2 5 3 5
CURRENT RVS Obama-Approve RVs Obama-Disapprove RVs 2006 TREND (8/10-11/06) Total RVs Bush-Approve RVs Bush-Disapprove RVs 2002 TREND (9/26-27/02) Total RVs Bush-Approve RVs Bush-Disapprove RVs 1994 TREND (10/27-28/94) Total RVs Clinton-Approve RVs Clinton-Disapprove RVs
=100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100
3 4 5
In June 2010, presidential job approval was asked as part of a list question with multiple items, including job approval for Republicans in Congress and Democrats in Congress. January 2010 trends from PSRAI. July 2009 trends from PSRAI.
4.
How much do you think Barack Obama has been able to accomplish as president so far? Would you say (READ) 21 38 31 8 2 100 A lot Some, OR Only a little? (VOL.) Nothing (DO NOT READ) Dont know
5.
As president, do you think Barack Obama has governed more as (READ) 36 44 10 10 100 A practical problem-solver, OR A political liberal? (VOL.) Neither/Both equally (DO NOT READ) Dont know
*6.
Please tell me whether or not you think each of the following phrases applies to Barack Obama. How about... (READ AND RANDOMIZE)? Does this apply to Obama, or not? Yes, applies a. Shares your values CURRENT TOTAL 2008 TRENDS (RVS)6 10/8-9/08 5/21-22/08 4/24-25/08 4/16-17/08 b. Understands the problems and concerns of people like you CURRENT TOTAL c. Is a good communicator CURRENT TOTAL 49 59 50 51 53 Does not apply 47 37 42 42 39 DK 4 4 8 7 8 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100
52 76
46 22
2 2
=100 =100
In October 2008, question wording was slightly different: Please tell me whether or not you think each of the following phrases describes BARACK OBAMA. What about...(INSERT: Shares your values)? Does this describe Obama or not? Earlier trends had slightly different question wording: Please tell me whether or not you think each of the following presidential candidates SHARES YOUR VALUES. What about(INSERT: Barack Obama) Does he share your values, or not?
*7.
Wed like your opinion of the way Barack Obama is handling certain aspects of his job. (First,) what about... (READ AND RANDOMIZE)? Do you approve or disapprove of the way Obama is handling this issue or problem? Approve a. The economy CURRENT TOTAL TRENDS 6/23-24/10 4/1-2/09 b. The situation in Iraq CURRENT TOTAL TRENDS 6/23-24/10 4/1-2/09 c. The situation in Afghanistan CURRENT TOTAL TRENDS 6/23-24/10 4/1-2/09 d. The war on terrorism CURRENT TOTAL TRENDS 6/23-24/10 e. Reform of the financial and banking industries CURRENT TOTAL TRENDS 6/23-24/10 f. Health care CURRENT TOTAL TRENDS 6/23-24/10 g. The oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico CURRENT TOTAL TRENDS 6/23-24/10 h. Taxes CURRENT TOTAL TRENDS 4/1-2/09 i. The federal budget deficit CURRENT TOTAL TRENDS 4/1-2/09 40 38 48 51 41 57 42 37 55 48 44 39 36 43 43 52 33 39 48 32 42 Disapprove 56 58 41 41 51 27 47 53 27 42 48 52 53 51 51 40 60 49 37 58 45 DK 4 4 11 8 8 16 11 10 18 10 8 9 11 6 6 8 7 12 15 10 13 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100 =100
8.
As president, do you think Barack Obama has been tough enough in dealing with terrorists, or not tough enough? 43 50 7 100 Yes, tough enough No, not tough enough Dont know
*9.
Do you think the United States is winning or losing the war in Afghanistan? Current 27 41 14 18 100 Winning Losing (VOL.) Neither Dont know 6/23-24/107 26 46 19 9 100
10.
Do you think the United States should stick with the current plan and start withdrawing troops from Afghanistan in July 2011 regardless of conditions on the ground there OR change plans and only start removing troops then if conditions permit it, OR start withdrawing from Afghanistan sooner than is planned? 27 33 32 8 100 Stick with the current plan Change plans, start withdrawal only if conditions permit Start withdrawal sooner/immediately Dont know
11.
On another subject Do you think Barack Obama and his administration are focused as much as they should be on working to improve the economy and jobs situation, or not? 42 55 3 100 Yes, focused as much as they should be No, not focused enough Dont know
12.
Which of the following do you think bears more responsibility for the countrys economic problems today(READ 1-3) Current 19 38 36 4 3 100 The economic policies of President Obama, The economic policies of former President George W. Bush, OR Both equally? (VOL.) Neither (DO NOT READ) Dont know Rep. 30 16 47 2 5 100 Dem. 12 61 24 2 1 100 Ind. 18 32 41 6 3 100
In June 2010, respondents were asked about winning/losing the war in Afghanistan as part of a list question with another item (winning/losing the war in Iraq).
13.
Do you think the recent legislation to reform big banks and Wall Street is likely to be effective in preventing another financial crisis, or is NOT likely to be effective? 34 55 11 100 Likely to be effective Not likely to be effective Dont know
14.
As you may know, some top members of Barack Obamas economic team previously worked for large Wall Street firms. Does this make you less confident that Obamas economic team will do the right thing to improve the economy and protect the public from another financial crisis, or do their ties to Wall Street not have much effect on your confidence in them? 38 52 10 100 Makes less confident they will do the right thing Ties to Wall Street dont have much effect Dont know
15.
Which ONE of the following do you think should have the higher priority for policy-makers in Washington RIGHT NOW (READ AND ROTATE 1-2)? 37 57 6 100 Reducing the federal budget deficit (or) Federal spending to create jobs (or) (DO NOT READ) Dont know
16.
Do you think Congress should allow the Bush tax cuts for persons in the top two percent income category to EXPIRE in 2011, or should Congress pass legislation to EXTEND the Bush tax cuts for the top two percent? 52 38 10 100 Allow Bush tax cuts to expire Extend Bush tax cuts Dont know
*17.
Moving to a different topic As far as you know, what is Barack Obamas religion? Is he a Christian, a Muslim, or something else? Current 42 24 10 24 100 Christian (include volunteers of: Protestant, Church of Christ, Trinity Church, Baptist, Methodist, etc.) Muslim/Follower of Islam (includes Islam/Islamic) Something else Dont know 6/18-19/088 61 13 7 19 100 4/24-25/08 RVs 52 13 9 26 100
June 2008 question wording was slightly different: As far as you know, what is Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obamas religion? Is he a Christian, a Muslim, or something else?
*18.
Thinking about U.S. Muslims that is, followers of the Islam religion who live in the United States do you personally know any U.S. Muslims, or not? Current 41 58 * 1 100 Yes No (VOL.) Respondent is Muslim9 Don't know 7/11-12/07 36 63 n/a 1 100
*19.
What is your overall opinion of Muslim Americans? As of today, is it (READ 1-4) Very favorable 16 10 8 9 10 8 15 7 11 Mostly favorable 45 43 37 46 41 46 44 38 39 Mostly unfavorable 13 18 18 16 15 14 12 16 13 Very unfavorable 7 11 10 9 9 8 5 8 8 (VOL.) Never heard of * 1 * * 1 2 1 4 2 DK 19 17 27 20 24 22 23 27 27
CURRENT TOTAL TRENDS10 8/1-18/07 3/21-25/07 7/7-17/05 6/24/03-7/8/03 2/25/02-3/10/02 11/13-19/01 3/5-18/0111 8/24/00-9/10/00 (RVs) 20.
If a group of Muslim Americans wanted to build a mosque in your local community, would that be okay with you, or would that NOT be okay with you? 72 23 5 100 Would be okay Would NOT be okay Dont know
*21.
How worried are you, if at all, about radicals within the U.S. Muslim community? Are you (READ) Current 20 32 27 19 2 100 Very worried Somewhat worried Not too worried, or Not at all worried? (DO NOT READ) Dont know 7/11-12/07 16 38 25 18 3 100
9 10 11
Volunteered category added for the current survey. Trends are from the Pew Research Center (Pew Forum on Religion & Public Life, or Pew Research Center for the People & the Press). This Pew Forum on Religion & Public Life survey included an oversample of African-American adults.
22.
Do you think most, many, only some, or very few Muslims living in the United States today (READ AND ROTATE a-b; THEN READ c-d IN ORDER)? Only some 25 20 21 16 Very few 42 15 48 13
Most a. b. c. d. Support the goals of Al Qaeda and the Islamic fundamentalists Oppose the goals of Al Qaeda and the Islamic fundamentalists Support the use of violence by Muslims against non-Muslims Are peaceable and do not condone violence 11 35 11 48
Many 9 13 6 14
23.
Thinking about Barack Obama and what he has said about issues like the proposal to build an Islamic cultural center and mosque a few blocks from the World Trade Center site in New York City Do you think Obama favors the interests of Muslim Americans over other groups of Americans, or do you think he has generally been even-handed? Current 30 60 10 100 Favors the interests of Muslims Has generally been even-handed Dont know Rep. 59 34 7 100 Dem. 9 82 9 100 Ind. 28 62 10 100
24.
Some people have alleged that Barack Obama sympathizes with the goals of Islamic fundamentalists who want to impose Islamic law around the world. From what you know about Obama, what is your opinion of these allegations? Do you think they are (READ 1-4) Current 7 24 36 25 8 100 Definitely true Probably true Probably not true, OR Definitely not true? (DO NOT READ) Dont know Rep. 14 38 33 7 8 100 Dem. 3 14 37 42 4 100 Ind. 5 22 37 28 8 100
Now I have just a few more questions so we can describe the people who took part in our survey D2. In politics TODAY, do you consider yourself a Republican, Democrat, or Independent? Total 27 35 29 5 1 3 100 Republican Democrat Independent (VOL.) No party/Not interested in politics (VOL.) Other party Dont know RVs 32 36 27 3 * 2 100
END OF INTERVIEW THANK RESPONDENT: That completes the interview. Thank you very much for your cooperation.