Critical Path Method
Critical Path Method
CPM/PERT
Project
Network analysis Introduction Network analysis is the general name given to certain specific techniques which can be used for the planning, management and control of projects. One definition of a project:
A project is a temporary endeavour undertaken to create a "unique" product or service
History
Developed in 1950s CPM by DuPont for chemical plants PERT by U.S. Navy for Polaris missile
PERT was developed by the US Navy for the planning and control of
the Polaris missile program and the emphasis was on completing the program in the shortest possible time. In addition PERT had the ability to cope with uncertain activity completion times (e.g. for a particular activity the most likely completion time is 4 weeks but it could be anywhere between 3 weeks and 8 weeks).
Definition: In CPM activities are shown as a network of precedence relationships using activity-on-node network construction Single estimate of activity time Deterministic activity times
USED IN : Production management - for the jobs of repetitive in nature where the activity time estimates can be predicted with considerable certainty due to the existence of past experience.
Definition: In PERT activities are shown as a network of precedence relationships using activity-on-arrow network construction Multiple time estimates Probabilistic activity times
USED IN : Project management - for non-repetitive jobs (research and development work), where the time and cost estimates tend to be quite uncertain. This technique uses probabilistic time estimates.
Gantt chart
Advantages
Limitations
- Gantt charts are quite commonly used. They provide an easy graphical representation of when activities (might) take place.
CPM/PERT
These deficiencies can be eliminated to a large extent by showing the interdependence of various activities by means of connecting arrows called network technique.
Overtime CPM and PERT became one technique ADVANTAGES: Precedence relationships large projects more efficient
Arrows
A node is represented by a circle - Indicate EVENT, a point in time where one or more activities start and/or finish.
Nodes
Activity on Arrow
- An arrow represents a task, while a node is the completion of a task - Arrows represent order of events
Activity Slack
Each event has two important times associated with it : - Earliest time , Te , which is a calendar time when a event can
occur when all the predecessor events completed at the earliest possible times
-
Latest time , TL , which is the latest time the event can occur with
out delaying the subsequent events and completion of project. Difference between the latest time and the earliest time of an event is the slack time for that event
Critical Path
Is that the sequence of activities and events where there is no slack i.e.. Zero slack
Benefits of CPM/PERT
Useful at many stages of project management Mathematically simple Give critical path and slack time Provide project documentation Useful in monitoring costs
Completion date? On Schedule? Within Budget? Critical Activities? How can the project be finished early at the least cost?
example
Illustration of network analysis of a minor redesign of a product and its associated packaging.
The key question is: How long will it take to complete this project ?
For clarity, this list is kept to a minimum by specifying only immediate relationships, that is relationships involving activities
that "occur near to each other in time".
Before starting any of the above activity, the questions asked would be
"What activities must be finished before this activity can start" could we complete this project in 30 weeks? could we complete this project in 2 weeks?
One answer could be, if we first do activity 1, then activity 2, then activity 3, ...., then activity 10, then activity 11 and the project would then take the sum of the activity completion times, 30 weeks. What is the minimum possible time in which we can complete this project ?
We shall see below how the network analysis diagram/picture we construct helps us to answer this question.
Packages are available to determine the shortest path and other relevant information.
Limitations to CPM/PERT
Clearly defined, independent and stable activities Specified precedence relationships Over emphasis on critical paths
Thank you