Income and Substitution Effect
Income and Substitution Effect
on one product only v. Increase in income (at equal cost to government) Consumption v. Saving (Intertemporal choice) Labour v. Leisure
equal cost to the government Example: food stamps used in the US for welfare recipients (Ireland: television licence, electricity, transport, )
A p2 x2
B p1 t x1B p2 x2 M
C p2 x2
B tx1
A U0 X1
U1
U1
B p1 t x1B p2 x2 M
X1
B A U0
U1
X1
U1
C C B p1 x1 p2 x2 M tx1
X1
CONSUMPTION v. SAVING
Persons
often receive income in lumps, e.g. monthly salary, yearly bonus, tax rebate ... How is a lump of income spread over the following month, year, (saving now for consumption later)? How is consumption financed by borrowing now against income to be received at the end of the month?
CONSUMPTION v. SAVING
Divide
time into two periods (today and tomorrow) Assume that a person has income in the first period only (today) Assume that a person consumes in both periods (today and tomorrow)
CONSUMPTION v. SAVING
1 Ct C t 1 Yt 1 i
This is equivalent to the budget constraint we met before, so we can apply the same techniques to analyse changes in consumption and saving.
p1 x1 p2 x2 M
Where Ct is consumption today, Ct+1 is consumption tomorrow, i is the interest rate and Y is income
CONSUMPTION v. SAVING
Divide
time into two periods (today and tomorrow) Assume that a person has income in both periods (today and tomorrow) Assume that a person consumes in both periods (today and tomorrow)
CONSUMPTION v. SAVING
With income in both periods the budget constraint looks like this
1 1 Ct Ct 1 Yt Yt 1 1 i 1 i
Income in period t and t+1
CONSUMPTION v. SAVING
1 Ct C t 1 Yt 1 i
1/ 1+i represents the current price of future consumption
1 1 Ct Ct 1 Yt Yt 1 1 i 1 i
represents the current price or value of future income 1/1+i
CONSUMPTION v. SAVING
CONSUMPTION v. SAVING
(Income in period t only)
1 Ct C t 1 Yt 1 i
(1+i)Yt
Yt
Ct
CONSUMPTION v. SAVING
(Income in period t only)
1 Ct C t 1 Yt 1 i
Yt
Ct
CONSUMPTION v. SAVING
(Income in period t only)
1 Ct C t 1 Yt 1 i
What happens if the interest rate increases? Ct+1 There is an increase in the value of i consumption tomorrow, i.e. the price of future (I+i)Yt consumption decreases
Yt
Ct
CONSUMPTION v. SAVING
(Income in period t only)
1 Ct C t 1 Yt 1 i
Ct+1
i
(I+i)Yt
Slope of the budget line = -(1+i*) Slope of the budget line = -(1+i)
Yt
Ct
CONSUMPTION v. SAVING
(Income in period t only)
1 Ct C t 1 Yt 1 i
Ct+1
i
(I+i)Yt
b a
Yt
Ct
CONSUMPTION v. SAVING
(Income in period t only)
1 Ct C t 1 Yt 1 i
Ct+1
i
(I+i)Yt The substitution effect is a to b. Ct and Ct+1 ( St)
b a
Yt
Ct
CONSUMPTION v. SAVING
(Income in period t only)
1 Ct C t 1 Yt 1 i
Ct+1
i
(I+i)Yt
b c
Yt
Ct
CONSUMPTION v. SAVING
(Income in period t only)
1 Ct C t 1 Yt 1 i
Ct+1
i
C?? (I+i)Yt
Yt
Ct
CONSUMPTION v. SAVING
(Income in both periods)
Ct+1
1 1 Ct Ct 1 Yt Yt 1 1 i 1 i
(1+i)Yt+Yt+1
Yt+1
(Yt,Yt+1)
Yt
CONSUMPTION v. SAVING
(Income in both periods)
1 1 Ct Ct 1 Yt Yt 1 1 i 1 i
Ct+1
A lender consumers less in period t than their income in period t (Ct<Yt) A lender type person
(1+i)Yt+Yt+1
Yt+1
Yt
CONSUMPTION v SAVING
(Income in both periods)
1 1 Ct Ct 1 Yt Yt 1 1 i 1 i
Ct+1
(1+i)Yt+Yt+1
Yt+1
Yt
CONSUMPTION v SAVING
(Income in both periods)
1 1 Ct Ct 1 Yt Yt 1 1 i 1 i
What happens if the interest rate increases? Ct+1 The budget constraint pivots around (Yt,Yt+1) and the outcome can be different for borrowers and lenders. (Yt,Yt+1) Yt+1
Yt
Ct
CONSUMPTION v SAVING
(Income in both periods)
1 1 Ct Ct 1 Yt Yt 1 1 i 1 i
Yt+1
(Yt,Yt+1)
Yt
Ct
CONSUMPTION v SAVING
(Income in both periods)
1 1 Ct Ct 1 Yt Yt 1 1 i 1 i
Yt+1
Yt
Ct
CONSUMPTION v SAVING
(Income in both periods)
1 1 Ct Ct 1 Yt Yt 1 1 i 1 i
Yt+1
Yt
Ct
CONSUMPTION v SAVING
(Income in both periods)
1 1 Ct Ct 1 Yt Yt 1 1 i 1 i
Yt+1
(Yt,Yt+1)
Yt
Ct
CONSUMPTION v SAVING
(Income in both periods)
Ct 1 1 Ct 1 Yt Yt 1 1 i 1 i
What happens if the interest rate increases? Ct+1 BORROWER Utility is lower but.??
Yt+1
(Yt,Yt+1)
Yt
Ct
CONSUMPTION v SAVING
Do
the case of a decrease in interest rates. You can also show the income and substitution effects in the two period model.
Where 24.w is the value of initial endowment, w.Leisure is the amount of the endowment spent on leisure and p.Consumption is the amount of endowment spent on consumption
Rearranging: C= 24w/p (w/p)Leisure
Slope = -w/p
24w/p
24h
Leisure
24w2/p
w
24w1/p
24h
Leisure
w
24w1/p
24h
Leisure
24w1/p
24h
Leisure
Total Effect ?
C Depends (to some extent) on whether Leisure is assumed to be normal or inferior
w
24w1/p
24h
Leisure
SE: A to B
C IE: Depends on whether Leisure is assumed to be normal or inferior
w
24w1/p
24h
Leisure
SE: A to B
C IE: Depends on whether Leisure is assumed to be normal or inferior
w
24w1/p
24h
Leisure
w
24w1/p
24h
Leisure
SE: A to B
C IE: B to C
w
24w1/p
24h
Leisure
Income effect: w income (value of the initial endowment) leisure and labour supply
IF LEISURE IS A NORMAL GOOD Overall effect: Leisure?? Labour Supply??