Bayes Theorem
Bayes Theorem
In the past, the companys main competitor, based in Abu Dhabi, has submitted bids 70 % of the time. In the Abu Dhabi competitor does not bid on the job, the probability that Dubai Media Company will get the job is 0.50. If the Abu Dhabi competitor bids on the job bids on the job, the probability the Dubai based company will get the job is 0.25. If the Dubai based company gets the job. What is the prob. That Abu Dhabi company did not bid. What is the probability that Dubai based company will get the job.