Pricing and Revenue Management in The Supply Chain 17
Pricing and Revenue Management in The Supply Chain 17
Supply Chain
Outline
The Role of Revenue Management in the
Supply Chain
Revenue Management for Multiple Customer
Segments
Revenue Management for Perishable Assets
Revenue Management for Seasonable Demand
Revenue Management for Bulk and Spot Customers
Using Revenue Management in Practice
Summary of Learning Objectives
Revenue Management
for Perishable Assets
Any asset that loses value over time is perishable
Examples: high-tech products such as computers and
cell phones, high fashion apparel, underutilized
capacity, fruits and vegetables
Two basic approaches:
Vary price over time to maximize expected revenue
Overbook sales of the asset to account for cancellations
Revenue Management
for Perishable Assets
Overbooking or overselling of a supply chain asset is
valuable if order cancellations occur and the asset is
perishable
The level of overbooking is based on the trade-off
between the cost of wasting the asset if too many
cancellations lead to unused assets and the cost of
arranging a backup if too few cancellations lead to
committed orders being larger than the available
capacity
Revenue Management
for Perishable Assets
p = price at which each unit of the asset is sold
c = cost of using or producing each unit of the asset
b = cost per unit at which a backup can be used in the
case of asset shortage
Cw = p c = marginal cost of wasted capacity
Cs = b c = marginal cost of a capacity shortage
O* = optimal overbooking level
s* = Probability(cancellations < O*) = Cw / (Cw + Cs)
Revenue Management
for Perishable Assets
If the distribution of cancellations is known to be normal
with mean c and standard deviation c then
O* = F-1(s*, c, c) = NORMINV(s*, c, c)
If the distribution of cancellations is known only as a
function of the booking level (capacity L +
overbooking O) to have a mean of (L+O) and std
deviation of (L+O), the optimal overbooking level is
the solution to the following equation:
O = F-1(s*,L+O),(L+O))
= NORMINV(s*,L+O),(L+O))
Example
Cost of wasted capacity = Cw = $10 per dress
Cost of capacity shortage = Cs = $5 per dress
s* = Cw / (Cw + Cs) = 10/(10+5) = 0.667
c = 800; c = 400
O*
= NORMINV(s*, c,c)
= NORMINV(0.667,800,400) = 973
If the mean is 15% of the booking level and the coefficient of
variation is 0.5, then the optimal overbooking level is the solution
of the following equation:
O = NORMINV(0.667,0.15(5000+O),0.075(5000+O))
Using Excel Solver, O* = 1,115
Revenue Management
for Seasonal Demand
Seasonal peaks of demand are common in many supply
chains
Examples: Most retailers achieve a large portion of
total annual demand in December (Amazon.com)
Off-peak discounting can shift demand from peak to
non-peak periods
Charge higher price during peak periods and a lower
price during off-peak periods
Example
Bulk contract cost = cB = $10,000 per million units
Spot market cost = cS = $12,500 per million units
= 10 million units
= 4 million units
p* = (cS cB) / cS = (12,500 10,000) / 12,500 = 0.2
Q* = NORMINV(p*,,) = NORMINV(0.2,10,4) = 6.63
The manufacturer should sign a long-term bulk contract
for 6.63 million units per month and purchase any
transportation capacity beyond that on the spot market
THANK YOU