Chapter 07 Gitman
Chapter 07 Gitman
Stock Valuation
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Matter of Fact
How Are Assets Divided in Bankruptcy?
According to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission,
in bankruptcy assets are divided up as follows:
1. Secured Creditors secured bank loans or secured bonds, are paid first.
2. Unsecured Creditors unsecured bank loans or unsecured bonds,
suppliers, or customers, have the next claim.
3. Equityholders equityholders or the owners of the company have the
last claim on assets, and they may not receive anything if the Secured
and Unsecured Creditors claims are not fully repaid.
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Types of Stock
Common Stock We take a closer look at this is
subsequent slides
Preferred Stock a hybrid with characteristics of debt
and equity
Debt Characteristics Par value, pays fixed dividend
which takes senior position to common stock dividend,
some actually have maturity date and can be valued like
bond.
Equity Characteristics Par value, dividend can be
passed by directors if financial conditions warrant.
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Common Stock
Common stockholders, who are sometimes referred to as residual
owners or residual claimants, are the true owners of the firm.
As residual owners, common stockholders receive what is leftthe
residualafter all other claims on the firms income and assets have
been satisfied.
They are assured of only one thing: that they cannot lose any more
than they have invested in the firm.
Because of this uncertain position, common stockholders expect to
be compensated with adequate dividends and ultimately, capital
gains.
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Buy or Sell?
Is there such a thing as undervalued or
overvalued stock? If so then:
Undervalued Stock investors want to buy
Overvalued Stock investors want to sell
Will discuss this in more detail a little later.
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P/E Multiples
P0 =
D1
(1 + rs)1
D2
(1 + rs)2
D3
(1 + rs)3
++
(1 + rs)
0 r = 13% 1
s
2.00
P0 =
PMT
r
$2.00
0.13
2.00
2.00
= $15.38.
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$5
Vps
.10
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P0 =
^ D0(1 + g)
D1
Dividendr growth
g (g) must be less than
r thegstocks required return (r)
s
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D0(1 + g)
rs g
$2.12
0.13 0.06
D1
=
rs g
$2.12
=
0.07
= $30.29.
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P0
$32.10 $30.29
=
$30.29
P
0
= 6.0%.
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EMH (continued)
If stock prices deviate from intrinsic values,
investors will quickly take advantage of
mispricing.
Prices will be driven to new equilibrium
level based on new information.
It is possible to have irrational investors in a
rational market.
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Weak-form EMH
Cant profit by looking at past trends or
historical information.
A recent decline is no reason to think
stocks will go up (or down) in the future.
Evidence supports weak-form EMH, but
technical analysis is still used.
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Semistrong-form EMH
All publicly available information is
reflected in stock prices, so it doesnt pay to
pore over annual reports looking for
undervalued stocks.
U.S. stock markets have been proven to be
mostly semistrong-form efficient.
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Strong-form EMH
All information, even inside information,
is embedded in stock prices.
Thus, investor could not make unusually
large profits knowing inside information.
Not trueinsiders can gain by trading on
the basis of insider information, but thats
illegal.
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Market Efficiency
For most stocks, for most of the time, it is
generally safe to assume that the market
is reasonably efficient.
However, periodically major shifts can and
do occur, causing most stocks to move
strongly up or down.
Thus, markets can overreact to various
crises.
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Questions ????
Questions about stock valuation, trading,
etc?
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