Lecture 2.

a
Rule-based expert systems
Introduction, or what is knowledge?
Rules as a knowledge representation technique
The main players in the development team
Structure of a rule-based expert system
Characteristics of an expert system
Forward chaining and backward chaining
Conflict resolution
Summary
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 Introduction, or what is knowledge?
Knowledge is a theoretical or practical
understanding of a subject or a domain.
Knowledge is also the sum of what is currently
known, and apparently knowledge is power. Those
who possess knowledge are called experts.
Anyone can be considered a domain expert if he or
she has deep knowledge (of both facts and rules)
and strong practical experience in a particular
domain. The area of the domain may be limited. In
general, an expert is a skilful person who can do
things other people cannot.
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 The human mental process is internal, and it is too
complex to be represented as an algorithm.
However, most experts are capable of expressing
their knowledge in the form of rules for problem
solving.

IF the traffic light is green

THEN the action is go

IF the traffic light is red

THEN the action is stop

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 Rules as a knowledge representation technique
The term rule in AI, which is the most commonly
used type of knowledge representation, can be
defined as an IF-THEN structure that relates given
information or facts in the IF part to some action in
the THEN part. A rule provides some description of
how to solve a problem. Rules are relatively easy to
create and understand.
Any rule consists of two parts: the IF part, called
the antecedent (premise or condition) and the
THEN part called the consequent (conclusion or
action).
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 IF antecedent
THEN consequent
A rule can have multiple antecedents joined by the
keywords AND (conjunction), OR (disjunction) or
a combination of both.

IF antecedent 1 IF antecedent 1
AND antecedent 2 OR antecedent 2
.. ..
.
AND antecedent n OR .
antecedent n
THEN consequent THEN consequent

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 The antecedent of a rule incorporates two parts: an
object (linguistic object) and its value. The object and
its value are linked by an operator.
The operator identifies the object and assigns the
value. Operators such as is, are, is not, are not are
used to assign a symbolic value to a linguistic object.
Expert systems can also use mathematical operators
to define an object as numerical and assign it to the
numerical value.
IF age of the customer < 18
AND cash withdrawal > 1000
THEN signature of the parent is required

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 Rules can represent relations, recommendations,
directives, strategies and heuristics:
Relation
IF the fuel tank is empty
THEN the car is dead
Recommendation
IF the season is autumn
AND the sky is cloudy
AND the forecast is drizzle
THEN the advice is take an umbrella
Directive
IF the car is dead
AND the fuel tank is empty
THEN the action is refuel the car
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 Strategy
IF the car is dead
THEN the action is check the fuel tank;
step1 is complete

IF step1 is complete
AND the fuel tank is full
THEN the action is check the battery;
step2 is complete
Heuristic
IF the spill is liquid
AND the spill pH < 6
AND the spill smell is vinegar
THEN the spill material is acetic acid
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 The main players in the development team
There are five members of the expert system
development team: the domain expert, the
knowledge engineer, the programmer, the
project manager and the end-user.
The success of their expert system entirely depends
on how well the members work together.

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 The main players in the development team
Expert System
Development Team
Project Manager

Domain Expert Knowledge Engineer Programmer

Expert System

End-user

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 The domain expert is a knowledgeable and skilled
person capable of solving problems in a specific
area or domain. This person has the greatest
expertise in a given domain. This expertise is to be
captured in the expert system. Therefore, the
expert must be able to communicate his or her
knowledge, be willing to participate in the expert
system development and commit a substantial
amount of time to the project. The domain expert
is the most important player in the expert system
development team.

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 The knowledge engineer is someone who is capable
of designing, building and testing an expert system.
He or she interviews the domain expert to find out
how a particular problem is solved. The knowledge
engineer establishes what reasoning methods the
expert uses to handle facts and rules and decides
how to represent them in the expert system. The
knowledge engineer then chooses some development
software or an expert system shell, or looks at
programming languages for encoding the
knowledge. And finally, the knowledge engineer is
responsible for testing, revising and integrating the
expert system into the workplace.
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 The programmer is the person responsible for the
actual programming, describing the domain
knowledge in terms that a computer can
understand. The programmer needs to have skills
in symbolic programming in such AI languages as
LISP, Prolog and OPS5 and also some experience
in the application of different types of expert
system shells. In addition, the programmer should
know conventional programming languages like C,
Pascal, FORTRAN and Basic.

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 The project manager is the leader of the expert
system development team, responsible for keeping
the project on track. He or she makes sure that all
deliverables and milestones are met, interacts with
the expert, knowledge engineer, programmer and
end-user.
The end-user, often called just the user, is a person
who uses the expert system when it is developed.
The user must not only be confident in the expert
system performance but also feel comfortable using
it. Therefore, the design of the user interface of the
expert system is also vital for the projects success;
the end-users contribution here can be crucial.
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 Structure of a rule-based expert system
In the early seventies, Newell and Simon from
Carnegie-Mellon University proposed a production
system model, the foundation of the modern rule-
based expert systems.
The production model is based on the idea that
humans solve problems by applying their knowledge
(expressed as production rules) to a given problem
represented by problem-specific information.
The production rules are stored in the long-term
memory and the problem-specific information or
facts in the short-term memory.
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 Production system model
Long-term Memory Short-term Memory

ProductionRule Fact

REASONING

Conclusion

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 Basic structure of a rule-based expert system
Knowledge Base Database

Rule: IF-THEN Fact

Inference Engine

Explanation Facilities

User Interface

User

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 The knowledge base contains the domain
knowledge useful for problem solving. In a rule-
based expert system, the knowledge is represented
as a set of rules. Each rule specifies a relation,
recommendation, directive, strategy or heuristic
and has the IF (condition) THEN (action) structure.
When the condition part of a rule is satisfied, the
rule is said to fire and the action part is executed.
The database includes a set of facts used to match
against the IF (condition) parts of rules stored in the
knowledge base.

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 The inference engine carries out the reasoning
whereby the expert system reaches a solution. It
links the rules given in the knowledge base with the
facts provided in the database.
The explanation facilities enable the user to ask
the expert system how a particular conclusion is
reached and why a specific fact is needed. An
expert system must be able to explain its reasoning
and justify its advice, analysis or conclusion.
The user interface is the means of communication
between a user seeking a solution to the problem
and an expert system.
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 Negnevitsky, Pearson Education, 2005 20
 Complete structure of a rule-based expert system
External
Database
External Program

Expert System
Knowledge Base Database

Rule: IF-THEN Fact

Inference Engine

Explanation Facilities

Developer
User Interface Interface

User
Knowledge Engineer
Expert

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 Characteristics of an expert system
An expert system is built to perform at a human
expert level in a narrow, specialised domain.
Thus, the most important characteristic of an expert
system is its high-quality performance. No matter
how fast the system can solve a problem, the user
will not be satisfied if the result is wrong.
On the other hand, the speed of reaching a solution
is very important. Even the most accurate decision
or diagnosis may not be useful if it is too late to
apply, for instance, in an emergency, when a patient
dies or a nuclear power plant explodes.
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 Expert systems apply heuristics to guide the
reasoning and thus reduce the search area for a
solution.
A unique feature of an expert system is its
explanation capability. It enables the expert
system to review its own reasoning and explain its
decisions.
Expert systems employ symbolic reasoning when
solving a problem. Symbols are used to represent
different types of knowledge such as facts,
concepts and rules.

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 Can expert systems make mistakes?
Even a brilliant expert is only a human and thus can
make mistakes. This suggests that an expert system
built to perform at a human expert level also should
be allowed to make mistakes. But we still trust
experts, even we recognise that their judgements are
sometimes wrong. Likewise, at least in most cases,
we can rely on solutions provided by expert systems,
but mistakes are possible and we should be aware of
this.

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 In expert systems, knowledge is separated from its
processing (the knowledge base and the inference
engine are split up). A conventional program is a
mixture of knowledge and the control structure to
process this knowledge. This mixing leads to
difficulties in understanding and reviewing the
program code, as any change to the code affects both
the knowledge and its processing.
When an expert system shell is used, a knowledge
engineer or an expert simply enters rules in the
knowledge base. Each new rule adds some new
knowledge and makes the expert system smarter.

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 Comparison of expert systems with conventional
systems and human experts
Human Experts Expert Systems Conventional Programs
Use knowledge in the Process knowledge Process data and use
form of rules of thumb or expressed in the form of algorithms, a series of
heuristics to solve rules and use symbolic well-defined operations ,
problems in a narrow reasoning to solve to solve general numerical
domain. problems in a narrow problems.
domain.
In a human brain, Provide a clear Do not separate
knowledge exists in a separation of knowledge knowledge from the
compiled form. from its processing. control structure to
process this knowledge.
Capable of explaining a Trace the rules fired Do not explain how a
line of reasoning and during a problem-solving particular result was
providing the details. session and explain how a obtained and why input
particular conclusion was data was needed.
reached and why specific
data was needed.

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 Comparison of expert systems with conventional
systems and human experts (Continued)
Human Experts Expert Systems Conventional Programs
Use inexact reasoning and Permit inexact reasoning Work only on problems
can deal with incomplete, and can deal with where data is complete
uncertain and fuzzy incomplete, uncertain and and exact.
information. fuzzy data.
Can make mistakes when Can make mistakes when Provide no solution at all,
information is incomplete data is incomplete or or a wrong one, when data
or fuzzy. fuzzy. is incomplete or fuzzy.
Enhance the quality of Enhance the quality of Enhance the quality of
problem solving via years problem solving by problem solving by
of learning and practical adding new rules or changing the program
training. This process is adjusting old ones in the code, which affects both
slow, inefficient and knowledge base. When the knowledge and its
expensive. new knowledge is processing, making
acquired, changes are changes difficult.
easy to accomplish.

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 Forward chaining and backward chaining
In a rule-based expert system, the domain knowledge is
represented by a set of IF-THEN production rules and
data is represented by a set of facts about the current
situation.
The inference engine compares each rule stored in the
knowledge base with facts contained in the database.
When the IF (condition) part of the rule matches a fact,
the rule is fired and its THEN (action) part is executed.
The matching of the rule IF parts to the facts produces
inference chains. The inference chain indicates how an
expert system applies the rules to reach a conclusion.

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 Inference engine cycles via a match-fire procedure

Database
Fact: A is x
Fact: B is y

Match Fire

Knowledge Base

Rule: IF A is x THEN B is y

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 An example of an inference chain
Suppose the database initially includes facts A, B, D and E, and the
knowledge base contains only three rules:
Rule1: IF Y is true
AND D is true
THEN Z is true
A X
Rule2: IF X is true
AND B is true
B Y
AND E is true
Z
THEN Y is true
E D
Rule3: IF A is true
THEN X is true
The inference chain shown above indicates how the expert system
applies the rules to infer fact Z.
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 Forward chaining
Let us first rewrite our rules in the following form:

Let us also add two more rules:

Forward chaining is the data-driven reasoning. The reasoning

starts from the known data and proceeds forward with that data.
Each time only the topmost rule is executed.
When fired, the rule adds a new fact in the database.
Any rule can be executed only once. The match-fire cycle stops
when no further rules can be fired.
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Rule 3:is
fired first as Forward chaining
the topmost
Database Database Database Database
one
A B C D E A B C D E A B C D E A B C D E
The IF part
X X L X L Y X L Y Z
of this rule
matches
fact A in Match Fire Match Fire Match Fire Match Fire

the Knowledge Base Knowledge Base Knowledge Base Knowledge Base

Y&D Z Y&D Z Y&D Z Y&D Z
database, X&B&E Y X&B&E Y X&B&E Y X&B&E Y
its THEN A X A X A X A X
part is C L C L C L C L
executed L&M N L&M N L&M N L&M N

and new
fact X is Cycle 1 Cycle 2 Cycle 3
added to
the
database

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 Forward chaining is a technique for gathering
information and then inferring from it whatever can
be inferred.
However, in forward chaining, many rules may be
executed that have nothing to do with the
established goal.
Therefore, if our goal is to infer only one particular
fact, the forward chaining inference technique
would not be efficient.

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 Backward chaining
Backward chaining is the goal-driven reasoning. In
backward chaining, an expert system has the goal (a
hypothetical solution) and the inference engine
attempts to find the evidence to prove it.
First, the knowledge base is searched to find rules
that might have the desired solution. Such rules
must have the goal in their THEN (action) parts. If
such a rule is found and its IF (condition) part
matches data in the database, then the rule is fired
and the goal is proved. However, this is rarely the
case.
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 Backward chaining
Thus the inference engine puts aside the rule it is
working with (the rule is said to stack) and sets up a
new goal, a subgoal, to prove the IF part of this
rule. Then the knowledge base is searched again
for rules that can prove the subgoal. The inference
engine repeats the process of stacking the rules until
no rules are found in the knowledge base to prove
the current subgoal.

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Backward
chaining

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 How do we choose between forward and
backward chaining?
If an expert first needs to gather some information
and then tries to infer from it whatever can be
inferred, choose the forward chaining inference
engine.
However, if your expert begins with a hypothetical
solution and then attempts to find facts to prove it,
choose the backward chaining inference engine.

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 Conflict resolution
Earlier we considered two simple rules for crossing
a road. Let us now add third rule:
Rule 1:
IF the traffic light is green
THEN the action is go
Rule 2:
IF the traffic light is red
THEN the action is stop
Rule 3:
IF the traffic light is red
THEN the action is go
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 We have two rules, Rule 2 and Rule 3, with the
same IF part.
Thus both of them can be set to fire when the
condition part is satisfied. These rules represent a
conflict set.
The inference engine must determine which rule to
fire from such a set.
A method for choosing a rule to fire when more
than one rule can be fired in a given cycle is called
conflict resolution.

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 In forward chaining, BOTH rules would be fired.
Rule 2 is fired first as the topmost one, and as a
result, its THEN part is executed and linguistic
object action obtains value stop. However, Rule 3
is also fired because the condition part of this rule
matches the fact traffic light is red, which is still in
the database. As a consequence, object action takes
new value go.

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 Methods used for conflict resolution
Fire the rule with the highest priority. In simple applications, the
priority can be established by placing the rules in an appropriate
order in the knowledge base. Usually this strategy works well for
expert systems with around 100 rules.
Fire the most specific rule. This method is also known as the
longest matching strategy. It is based on the assumption that a
specific rule processes more information than a general one.
Rule 1:
IF the season is autumn
AND the sky is cloudy
AND the forecast is rain
THEN the advice is stay home
Rule 2:
IF the season is autumn
THEN the advice is take an umbrella
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 Fire the rule that uses the data most recently
entered in the database. This method relies on time
tags attached to each fact in the database. In the
conflict set, the expert system first fires the rule
whose antecedent uses the data most recently added
to the database.

Rule 1:
IF the forecast is rain [08:16 PM 11/25/96]
THEN the advice is take an umbrella
Rule 2:
IF the weather is wet [10:18 AM 11/26/96]
THEN the advice is stay home

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 Metaknowledge
Metaknowledge can be simply defined as
knowledge about knowledge. Metaknowledge is
knowledge about the use and control of domain
knowledge in an expert system.
In rule-based expert systems, metaknowledge is
represented by metarules. A metarule determines
a strategy for the use of task-specific rules in the
expert system.

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 Metarules
Metarule 1:
Rules supplied by experts have higher priorities than
rules supplied by novices.
Metarule 2:
Rules governing the rescue of human lives have
higher priorities than rules concerned with clearing
overloads on power system equipment.

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 Advantages of rule-based expert systems
Natural knowledge representation. An expert
usually explains the problem-solving procedure
with such expressions as this: In such-and-such
situation, I do so-and-so. These expressions can
be represented quite naturally as IF-THEN
production rules.
Uniform structure. Production rules have the
uniform IF-THEN structure. Each rule is an
independent piece of knowledge. The very syntax
of production rules enables them to be self-
documented.
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 Advantages of rule-based expert systems
Separation of knowledge from its processing. The
structure of a rule-based expert system provides an
effective separation of the knowledge base from the
inference engine. This makes it possible to develop
different applications using the same expert system
shell.
Dealing with incomplete and uncertain
knowledge. Most rule-based expert systems are
capable of representing and reasoning with
incomplete and uncertain knowledge.

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 Disadvantages of rule-based expert systems
Opaque relations between rules. Although the
individual production rules are relatively simple and
self-documented, their logical interactions within the
large set of rules may be opaque. Rule-based
systems make it difficult to observe how individual
rules serve the overall strategy.
Ineffective search strategy. The inference engine
applies an exhaustive search through all the
production rules during each cycle. Expert systems
with a large set of rules (over 100 rules) can be slow,
and thus large rule-based systems can be unsuitable
for real-time applications.
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 Disadvantages of rule-based expert systems
Inability to learn. In general, rule-based expert
systems do not have an ability to learn from the
experience. Unlike a human expert, who knows
when to break the rules, an expert system cannot
automatically modify its knowledge base, or adjust
existing rules or add new ones. The knowledge
engineer is still responsible for revising and
maintaining the system.

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