Risk Communication & Risk

Management ON/OFF Duty

Mr. D.C. Weightman

Deputy Director
HQMC (Safety Division)
 History of Risk Management
 Navy / Marine Corps ORM Order published
1998
 Navy/ Marine Corps ORM Order update
2000
 Mandate ORM Training for all Marines and
civilian Marines 2000.
Is Risk Management Working?
 All indications point to some commands are
doing better than others. However, one can
safely say even though it has been adopted,
trained, it is not being applied as intended.
 Doing Risk Management on a Dumb Idea
will not make it Smart or Safe!!!
 Risk Management
“A New Look!”
 We do Risk Management, but don’t want to
call it RM.
 We don’t Market it well, e.g., Ensuring we
review to check how it is being used, and
test the results with After Action Report
(AAR) and Lessons Learned.
 CVORRTTEX another look!!!!!
 “New Look”
CVORRTTEX
 C = Communications
 V = Visibility
 O = Outside Support
 R = Rest
 R = Rehearsal
 T = Threat
 T = Training
 E = Environmental Data/Weather
 X = Experience
 CVORRTTEX
 CVORRTTEX was designed as both a
planning tool and a last minute check for
operations, training exercises, and leave
and liberty.
 It focus on differences between initial
planning and the current conditions, and
how those differences can effect our
mission, training, and leave and liberty.
 CVORRTTEX
 Statements / Questions in BLUE should
be addressed during initial mission
planning and before leave and liberty.
 Statements / Questions in RED are last
minute checks as you walk out the door.
 CVORRTTEX
 C=CUMMUNICATION  Communication is time
 Have you exercised the critical and having a
ability to communicate Comm Plan, Emergency
with all assets on all nets, Phone Numbers makes
phones, etc. prior to life a lot easier in an
launch time? emergency. The trick is
 If unable to talk on a net,
to exercise the Comm
Plan. Make the call
phone, etc., is it critical
before hand. Stay in
to mission success and
touch ( Comm Checks.)
can you work around the
Oh yeah, have a plan B.
problem?
 CVORRTTEX
V = Visibility  “If I can’t see them
 Variation in visibility they can’t see me” is
that effect mission, not always the best
leave and liberty way of looking at
success. things. Determine
 Has the visibility what visibility is the
best for what your
changed and does it
help us or hurt us? plan to do and adjust
accordingly.
 CVORRTTEX
O = Outside Support  Outside support are those
Mission Essential items
 Are all supporting that are a must. The big
assets on station and question is if something
happen to one or more of
operational? them what do you do?
 Is the loss of an asset Example: Loose your
wallet with all the things
critical to medevac you carrying in it. How
capabilities or does that effect your
mission success? leave/liberty. Who do
you call?
MOM/Buddy/Supervisor
 CVORRTTEX
R = REST  Recovery time is a
 Have we successfully must!! We work/train
trained to execute this and fight hard. We also
mission at this level of do the same on leave and
fatigue?
liberty. Take the time to
 Have my assets
plan rest into the cycle.
successfully trained to
execute this mission at As fatigue increase so do
this level of fatigue? mishap as do there
 How does current state of results..FATALITIES!
fatigue, hydration, and
nutrition, impact mission
success?
 CVORRTTEX
R = Rehearsals  Practice makes
 Have you rehearsed all perfect!! Nothing
phases of this operation new here. The
and corrected any
problem is change.
problems identified
during rehearsal? “THE MOTHER OF
 Do you know the intent
ALL PROBLEMS.”
of the Mission? Shortcuts come to
 Do you know your role mind too. Train to a
as it pertains to this standard and execute
mission? to that standard!!
 CVORRTTEX
T = Threat  Remember, you may
 What is my biggest look into the mirror
threat at each phase every morning and
of the mission and shave or brush the
does the plan reduce teeth of the biggest
their impact? threat. Yes, you!!!
 Has the threat
Understanding what
drives the enemy
changed or changes
to the plan caused an provides better
increase in the threat understanding of
impact? success!!
 CVORRTTEX
T = Training  Do it by the book!
 Have we trained the The book was written
necessary tasks to in blood because of
properly execute the to a shortcut and over
standard that ensures assumptions. Test the
success? training, test the
 Have we identified and thoughts of others,
covered all the “Oh-by- test yourself. Because
the-way” initiatives that without you it can’t
have been reported or get done.
supposed?
 CVORTTEX
E = Environment data/  The weather is
Weather something you can
 How does the forecast do nothing about. Be
affect my plan?
smart, be ready, and
 Are we dressed for the
be flexible. Look at
environment?
the history of the
 What are the weather
area at the time of
conditions now and do I
need to alter my plan year. The weather
because of them? guesser’s can get it
right.
 CVORRTTEX
X = Experience  Experience is the key
 How will attachments and
detachments affect out
factor in our ability
experience level? to recognize and
 Do we have the experience reduce risk!!
and equipment to execute
this mission?
 Do we have the experience
to adapt to contingencies?
 Have changes in the plan
affected our experience
level?
 CVORRTTEX
Risk Management is successful when we
standardize how we do business both on an
off-duty.
– Have we taken all possible actions to control or
reduce theses concerns?
– Could the cumulative effect of these concerns come
together to cause mission failure or unnecessary
loss of life?
– Have we addressed these concerns, up the chain of
command, to allow senior leadership to make an
informed decision based on risk over gain?
Risk Management and the
Bottom line!
 Risk Management is not a process it is a tool.
 We must and are required to implement in all we
do from the most basic (training, leave and
liberty) to the most complex real world initiatives.
 When implemented it creates a systematic focus
that addresses all potential risk as they relate to
what we are about to do.
 We operate and live in an ambiguous and
dynamic environment, THEREFORE RISK
IDENTIFICATION AND MANAGEMENT BY
ALL IS AN UN-ENDING PROCESS.
The No.1 Killer of our personnel!
 Leadership & Accountability help keep
personnel alive both on & off duty
 The Killer Highway is the greatest threat
to your command
 Demand a risk assessment for every
mission, event, exercise, deployment, etc.
Risk Control Desired Effect
Drive probability down

PROBABILITY

LIKELY PROBABLY MAY UNLIKELY

to occur very will occur in occur in time to occur in
soon time time

A B C D
Drive Severity Down

Catastrophic I

Critical II
SEVERITY

Moderate II

Neglibible V

RISK ASSESSMENT
 Identify Hazards

If we continue to do
Supervise Assess
What we have always done Hazards

We will continue to get

What we always got

Implement Make Risk

Controls Decisions
 Anticipate & Manage Risk by
Planning
Identify Hazards
Supervise Assess
Initial Tasking Hazards
& Analysis
Command Staff
Decision Estimates
Ops Planning
Process

Recommended Commander’s
COAs Guidance
Implement Make Risk
Controls Decisions
 SUMMARY
 Hx OF Risk Management
 Is RM Working?
 RM “A New Look”
 CVORRTTEX
 RM and the Bottom line
 Identifying Hazards
 Anticipating Hazards through Planning
“And...you gotta try not to get famous
while you’re in the act.”

Any Questions???