MDU
MDU
Applications of Stochastic
Calculus in Finance
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Dr. Babita Goyal
Department of Statistics, Ramjas College
University of Delhi
Delhi-110007
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Market Volatility and Stochastic
Calculus
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Stochastic Calculus Vs Mathematical
Calculus
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Brownian motion
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Financial Market Jargon
Financial products are very complex in nature
and require sophisticated mathematical tools for
analyzing them. The risk involved in these
products is large and needs to be taken care of.
To cover the risk, various types of financial
derivatives have been proposed. These
derivatives are used to hedge the risk and hence
are more complex in nature.
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Financial Market Jargon
• Portfolio
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• Arbitrage
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A risk- neutral probability measure P * on a
sample space Ω is such that the expected value
of an asset Ѕ at time t1 is given by
E P* St1 (1 r ) t1 t0
St0
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Financial Derivatives and Stochastic
Processes
Portfolio vector 0 , 1 ,..., n
Price vector at time ‘t’
St S0,t , S1,t ,..., S n ,t ; t 0,1, 2,...N
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Portfolio allocation (portfolio strategy)
If i i denote the proportions of assets, then
is a portfolio allocation
t ; t 0,1, 2,...N is a portfolio strategy
A portfolio strategy t ; t 0,1,2,...N is self-
financing if
t St t1 S t1 ; t 1, 2,..., N 1
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Cox-Ross-Rubinstein Model (CRR) -
Binomial Model
A two assets only Portfolio 0 , 1
(1 u ) S1,t 1 if Rt u
Return on risky asset 1 = S1,t
(1 d ) S1,t 1 if Rt d
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Value of a self-financing portfolio at time ‘t’
Vt V0 j X j X j 1
t
j 1
Sj
where X j j = 1,2,…,t.
1 r
j
X t ; t 0,1, 2,...N .
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Limiting case of a CRR model-
stochastic integral
T x rT
2T
x2 / 2
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The total size of the movement in an interval
[0, T] is given by BT Bs ~ N 0, T
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If the money invested in the asset with the price
St can be described as a function f (t ) of t, then
the value of the portfolio in 0,T can be
described as T T
f (t )dS
0
t f (t )dBt
0
where
T
f (t )dB a B
n
t i ti Bti1
0 i 1
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A square-integrable function f in the
space 2
: f t dt
2 2
If f : s. t. f 2
0
f (t )dB N 0, f t dt
2
Then t
0 0
2
Further E f t dBt f t dt
2
- Itô isometry
0 0
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Itô stochastic integrals
A stochastic integral defined with respect to a
square- integrable adapted process
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Equation of an Itô process
For a Brownian motion, the Itô integral is
t t
1
f Bt f B0 f ' Bs dBs f '' Bs ds
0
20
0
20
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Itô formula for Itô processes-for a
continuous function of two variables
For a function f t , x continuous in R ,
f f
t t
f t , X t f 0, X 0 vs s, X s ds us s, X s dBs
0
x 0
x
f
t t 2
1 f
s, X s ds + us 2
s, X s ds
2
0
x 20 x
Equivalently
f f 1 2 2 f
df t , X t t , X t dt t , X t dX t ut 2
t , X t dt
t t 2 x
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Major difference between this expression and
the deterministic calculus expression lies in the
inclusion of the second order term. The reason
for inclusion is the size of the increment in a
Brownian motion, i.e. dBt dt which means
that dBt dt and hence second order terms
2
cannot be ignored.
So, if we integrate f t, Bt Bt 2 , then we have
T
BT 2 T
0 Bs dBs 2 2
Note the additional second term.
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Using Itô integral for a portfolio process
dSt St dt St dBt
1 2
we get St S0 exp t Bt
2
i.e. St : t R is a geometric Brownian
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Black –Scholes’ Partial Differential
Equation
For a self-financing portfolio strategy such that
the value of the portfolio is of the form Vt g t, St
where g .,. is a continuous function of t and St
on space R R. Then g t, St satisfies the
Black- Scholes’ PDE
g g 1 2 2 2 g
r.g t , St t , St r.St t , St St 2 t , St ; t R
t St 2 St
and g ; t R
St
t
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If the portfolio is hedging an option with pay-off
C f ST , then this is the price of the option
which satisfies the boundary conditions
g T , ST f ST
i.e. C g T , ST T AT T ST
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Black-Scholes option pricing formula
The solution of this equation is the famous
Nobel Prize winning Black-Scholes formula
g t, St St d2 Ker (T t ) d1
where x
1
x e
t 2 / 2
dt ; x R
2
t
S 2
log r T t
K 2
d2 ; d1 d2 T t
T t
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The price of a European call option is given by
ST K ; ST K
C
0; ST K
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Jump processes
Count Process
Nt = 1Tk , (t ); t R
k 1
1 if t Tk
1Tk , (t ) is the jump size
0 if 0 t Tk
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A Poisson process is given by
t
e ( t )k
P Nt k ; k 0,1, 2...; 0
k!
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Compensated Poisson process- N t : t R
t
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A stochastic integral with respect to a
compound Poisson process
Stochastic process t
: t R
Compound Poisson process Yt : t R
T NT
Stochastic integral dY
t t
k 1
Tk Zk
0
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This representation finds a natural
interpretation in financial markets, explaining
the value of a portfolio at time T when the
portfolio has a (fractional) quantity t of a risky
asset whose price evolves according to random
return Z k at random times Tk
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Stochastic integral of a jump-diffusion
process with respect to a compound
Poisson process
t
: t R
- a standard Brownian motion
t t
X t us ds s ds Yt : t R
0 0
- a jump-diffusion process
The stochastic integral is
T T T NT
dY
t t t ut dt tt dt Tk Z k ; T 0
0 0 0 k 1
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Itô formula For a general jump
process (a Lèvy process)
t t t
f X t f X 0 us f ' X s
1
ds f '' X s us ds s f ' X s dYs
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2
0 0
t
f X s f X s X s f ' X s d N s s
0
t
f X s f X s X s f ' X s ds; t R
0
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Solutions of SDEs of a jump process
(i) dSt St St St ; t 0 St S0 1 N ; t 0
t
s ds s ds
1 ;
Nt
St S 0 e 0 0
Tk t R
k 1
t t t t
1
s ds E Z
s ds s ds s ds Nt
2
1 Tk Z k ; t R
2
St S 0 e 0 0 0 0
k 1
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Girsanov Theorem for Jump Processes
- allows for a change in probability measure and
hence pricing of a contract.
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These were some of the techniques which can
be used to price a portfolio of riskless assets,
risky assets and (vanilla option) derivatives.
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Some other techniques are change in probability
measures and change of numèraire , Reflexion
principle and martingales.
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Bibliography
1. Stochastic Finance- An Introduction with
Market Examples (2014): Privault N. - Chapman
& Hall/CRC Financial Mathematics Series.
2. Investment Science: David G. Luenberger (2015)
- Oxford University Press(South Asian edition).
3. Statistics of Financial Markets- An Introduction
(2011): Franke, J., Hardle, W.K. And Hafner, C.M. –
3rd Edition, Springer Publications.
4. A Course on Statistics for Finance (2012)-
Stanley L. S. - Chapman and Hall/CRC.
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