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Pertm. 3 IDF

The document discusses Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) analysis, which involves developing relationships between rainfall intensity, duration, and return period using historical rainfall data. The key steps in IDF analysis are: (1) selecting a storm duration, (2) collecting annual maximum rainfall depths, (3) determining a probability distribution and calculating design storm depths, and (4) constructing IDF curves. IDF curves are used to determine design storm intensities for various durations and return periods. The document also discusses design storm hyetographs and rainfall-runoff modeling concepts.

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54 views31 pages

Pertm. 3 IDF

The document discusses Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) analysis, which involves developing relationships between rainfall intensity, duration, and return period using historical rainfall data. The key steps in IDF analysis are: (1) selecting a storm duration, (2) collecting annual maximum rainfall depths, (3) determining a probability distribution and calculating design storm depths, and (4) constructing IDF curves. IDF curves are used to determine design storm intensities for various durations and return periods. The document also discusses design storm hyetographs and rainfall-runoff modeling concepts.

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Nuandw
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Pertemuan 3 Intensity-

Duration-Frequency (IDF)

Sumber:
Prof. Ke-Sheng Cheng
Department of Bioenvironmental Systems Engineering
National Taiwan UNiversity
Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF)
Analysis
 In many hydrologic design projects the first step
is the determination of the rainfall event to be
used.
 The event is hypothetical, and is usually termed
the design storm event. The most common
approach of determining the design storm event
involves a relationship between rainfall intensity
(or depth), duration, and the frequency (or return
period) appropriate for the facility and site
location.
Steps for IDF analysis
 When local rainfall data are available, IDF
curves can be developed using frequency
analysis. Steps for IDF analysis are:
 Select a design storm duration D, say D=24 hours.
 Collect the annual maximum rainfall depth of the
selected duration from n years of historic data.
 Determine the probability distribution of the D-hr
annual maximum rainfall. The mean and standard
deviation of the D-hr annual maximum rainfall are
estimated.
 Calculate the D-hr T-yr design storm depth XT by
using the following frequency factor equation:
X T    KT 
where ,  and KT are mean, standard deviation and
frequency factor, respectively. Note that the frequency
factor is distribution-specific.
 Calculate the average intensity iT ( D)  X T / D and
repeat Steps 1 through 4 for various design storm
durations.
 Construct the IDF curves.
Random Variable
Interpretation of IDF Curves
 Methods of plotting positions can also be used to
determine the design storm depths. Most of these
methods are empirical. If n is the total number of
values to be plotted and m is the rank of a value in a
list ordered by descending magnitude, the exceedence
probability of the mth largest value, xm, is , for large n,
shown in the following table.
Plotting position formula
Horner’s equation
 An IDF curve is NOT a time history of rainfall
within a storm.
 IDF curves are often fitted to Horner's equation

aT m
iT ( D) 
( D  b) c
Peak flow calculation－the Rational
method

Runoff coefficients for use in the rational formula (Table 15.1.1 of


Applied Hydrology by Chow et al. )
Rational formula in metric system
Assumptions of the rational method
 Rainfall intensity is constant at all time.
 Rainfall is uniformly distributed in space.
 Storm duration is equal to or longer than the
time of concentration tc.

 Definition of the time of concentration tc


 The time for the runoff to become established and
flow from the most remote part of the drainage area
to drainage outlet.
Rainfall－runoff relationship
associated with the rational formula
Storm Hyetographs
 Hyetographs of typical storm types
The Role of A Hyetograph in
Hydrologic Design
Rainfall frequency Total rainfall depth
analysis
Design storm Time distribution of
hyetograph total rainfall

Rainfall-runoff Runoff hydrograph


modeling
Design storm hyetograph
 The SCS 24-hr design storm hyetographs
Design storm hyetographs
 The alternating block model
 The average rank Model
 The triangular hyetograph model
 The simple scaling Gauss-Markov model
The alternating block model
 This model uses the intensity-duration-frequency
(IDF) relationship to derive duration- and return-
period-specific hyetographs (Chow et al., 1988).
The hyetograph of a design storm of duration tr
and return period T can be derived through the
following steps:
This model does not use rainfall data of real storm
events and is duration and return period specific.
The alternating block hyetograph model
The Average Rank Model
 Pilgrim and Cordery (1975) developed this
model by considering the average rainfall-
percentages of ranked rainfalls and the average
rank of each time interval within a storm.
Procedures for establishment of the hyetograph
model are:
The average rank model is duration-specific and
requires rainfall data of storm events of the same pre-
specified duration. Since storm duration varies
significantly, it may be difficult to gather enough storm
events of the same duration.
Raingauge Network
 Minimum density of precipitation stations (WMO)

 Ten percent of raingauge stations should be


equipped with self-recording gauges to know the
intensities of rainfall.
Adequacy of Raingauge Stations
 The minimum number of raingauges N required
to achieve a desired level of accuracy for the
estimation of area-average rainfall can be
determined by the following criteria:
 the coefficient of variation approach
 the statistical sampling approach
The coefficient of variation approach
 If there are already some raingauge stations in a
catchment, the optimal number of stations that
should exist to have an assigned percentage of
error in the estimation of mean rainfall is
obtained by statistical analysis as:
 This approach is based on the idea that the
standard deviation of the estimated average
rainfall should not be larger than a specified
percentage of the areal average rainfall.
2
X n ~ N (  ,  2 / n) , ( X n   ) ~ N (0, )
n
  CV
X    ,   n
n
n  
2
 CV 
n 
  

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