Chapter 8 Part 2 (B)
Chapter 8 Part 2 (B)
Part 2/4
Present Worth
Edited by
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Four different methods:
Present worth
Annual equivalent cash flow
Internal rate of return
Benefit/cost ratios
All are mathematically equivalent:
Slightly different pluses and minuses
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One alternative might have:
Higher initial cost, but
Lower annual cost or longer life
Must convert to comparable terms
Alternatives may also have different income tax
implications:
Compare based on after-tax performance!
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Based on discounting!
Future costs and benefits discounted to present
Discount rate = minimum rate of return i*
Tells us how much we care about the future
Present worth is the most intuitive method:
All costs and benefits are converted to year 0
Easy to interpret
But can be difficult to implement for projects with
different lives
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Current labor cost is $9200/year
Option to build new equipment:
First cost $15,000
Labor $3300/year
Power $400/year
Maintenance $1100/year
Property tax and insurance $300/year
Income tax $1040/year
Total annual cost $6140/year > $3300!
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Note:
Only need to account for changes in property tax,
insurance, etc.
Assumptions:
Lifetime of equipment is 10 years
Minimum rate of return i* = 9%
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Present worth (cost) of current option:
$9200 (P/A, 9%, 10) = $59,050
Present worth (cost) of new equipment:
$6140 (P/A, 9%, 10) = $39,407
First cost = $15,000
Total = $54,407
Is the new equipment better?
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Example Using
Formula
Alternative X has a first cost of $20,000, an operating cost of $9,000 per year,
and a $5,000 salvage value after 5 years. Alternative Y will cost $35,000
with an operating cost of $4,000 per year and a salvage value of $7,000
after 5 years. At an i of 12% per year, which should be selected?
DETERMINING THE NET PRESENT VALUE DETERMINING THE NET PRESENT VALUE
Firm's cost of capital 12% Firm's cost of capital 12%
machine A Year-End Cash Flow machine A Year-End Cash Flow
interest 0.12 interest 0.12
Year Project A using Formula Year Project A using Formula
0 (20,000) (20,000.00) first year cost 0 (35,000) (35,000.00)
Select alternative Y
Using table
Example
Alternative X has a first cost of $20,000, an operating cost
of $9,000 per year,
and a $5,000 salvage value after 5 years. Alternative Y will
cost $35,000
with an operating cost of $4,000 per year and a salvage
value of $7,000
after 5 years. At an i of 12% per year, which should be
selected?
PWX = -20,000 - 9000(P/A,12%,5) + 5000(P/F,12%,5)
= -$49,606
Select alternative Y
Cannot just bring back to present worth
For example:
20 years of service at a cost of $20,000
may (or may not) be worth more than
10 years of service at a cost of $15,000
When using present worth method:
Must compare options with equivalent lives
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Compare options A and B at i* = 11%:
A: First cost = $50,000
Annual cost = $9,000/year for 20 years
Salvage value = $10,000 in year 20
B:First cost = $120,000
Annual cost = $7,000/year for 40 years
Salvage value = $20,000 in year 40
Salvage value should be subtracted from cost!
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Present worth (cost) of option B:
First cost = $120,000
$7000 (P/A, 11%, 40) = $62,657
-$20,000 (P/F, 11%, 40) = - $308
Total = $182,349
This option provides 40 years of service
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Must convert option A to 40 years!
First cost = $50,000
$50,000 (P/F, 11%, 20) = $6201
$9000 (P/A, 11%, 40) = $80,559
-$10,000 (P/F, 11%, 20) = - $1240
-$10,000 (P/F, 11%, 40) = - $154
Total = $135,326
First cost, salvage value appear twice!
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Which option is better?
Option B has:
Longer lifetime
Lower annual cost
Higher salvage value at end of life
But two copies of option A can provide 40 years of
service with lower present worth!
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To evaluate based on present worth:
Must convert lifetimes of all projects to their least
common multiple!
In this example, that was easy:
Least common multiple of 20 and 40 is 40
In some problems, it can get complicated:
Least common multiple of 7 and 12 is 84!
Would need 12 copies of one, 7 of the other
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Example: Different-Life
Alternatives
Compare the machines below using present worth analysis at i = 10% per year
Machine A Machine B
First cost, $ 20,000 30,000
Annual cost, $/year 9000 7000
Salvage value, $ 4000 6000
Life, years 3 6
Solution:
DETERMINING THE NET PRESENT VALUE DETERMINING THE NET PRESENT VALUE
Firm's cost of capital 12% Firm's cost of capital 10%
machine A Year-End Cash Flow MACHINE B Year-End Cash Flow
interest 0.12 interest 0.1
Year Project A using Formula Year Project A using Formula
0 (20,000) (20,000.00) first year cost 0 (30,000) (30,000.00)
operation
c1 3 (9,000) (22,381.67) cost 6 (7,000) (30,486.82)
3 4,000 3,005.26 salvarege 6 6,000 3,386.84
present value (39,376.41)
present
3 (20,000) (15,026.30) value (57,099.98)
6 (9,000) (39,197.35)
6 4,000 2,257.90
c2 present value (51,965.75)
3 6
Solution: LCM = 6 years; repurchase A after 3 years
PWA = -20,000 – 9000(P/A,10%,6) – 16,000(P/F,10%,3) + 4000(P/F,10%,6)
20,000 – 4,000
= $-68,961 in year 3
PWB = -30,000 – 7000(P/A,10%,6) + 6000(P/F,10%,6)
= $-57,100
Select alternative B
Some projects may last so long that they can be
modeled as perpetual!
Even projects with perpetual lives can have a finite
present worth:
Why?
General formula for perpetual lives:
P = A/i*, or A = P i*
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First cost = $50,000
Annual cost = $9,000/year forever
Interest rate i* = 11%
Present worth:
$50,000 + $9,000/.11 = $131,818
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Some perpetual costs are not annual
For example, every 20 years we may:
Need to purchase new equipment ($50,000)
Get salvage value of old equipment ($10,000)
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Every 20 years we:
Need to purchase new equipment
$50,000
Get salvage value of old equipment
$10,000
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Present worth of continuing project A in perpetuity:
First cost in year 0 = $50,000
Annual cost $9,000/i = $81,818
$40,000 (A/F, 11%, 20)/i = $5664
(Replacement cost minus salvage value)
Total present worth = $137,482
Only slightly greater than 2 copies ($135,326)
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Why use perpetual lives?
Avoids the need to analyze numerous copies of a
project:
If least common multiple of lives is large
Can simply convert all projects to their perpetual
equivalent
(Assuming an infinite number of copies)
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The comparison methods so far:
Least common multiple of lifetimes
Perpetual lifetimes
make sense if the best option would be used for an
extended period of time
This may not always be the case:
E.g., computers (due to rapid change)
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An industrial engineer is considering two robots for
purchase by a fiber-optic manufacturing company.
Robot X will have a first cost of $80,000, an annual
maintenance and operation (M&O) cost of $30,000
and a $40,ooo salvage value. Robot Y will have a first
cost of $97,ooo, an annual M&O cost of $27,000 and a
$50,000 salvage value. Which should be selected on
the basic of a future worth comparison at an interest
rate of 15% per year? Use a 3 year study period.
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Robot X Robot Y First cost 80000 97000 M&O/year
30000 27000 Salvage 40000 50000
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Compare the alternatives shown on the basis of their
capitalized cost using an interest rate of 10% per year.
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