Present Worth Method of Comparison
Present Worth Method of Comparison
The present worth of Innovative Investment Ltd’s plan is more than that of Novel Investment
Ltd’s plan. Therefore, Innovative Investment Ltd’s plan is the best from investor’s point of
view.
FUTURE WORTH METHOD
In the future worth method of comparison of alternatives, the
future worth of various alternatives will be computed. Then, the
alternative with the maximum future worth of net revenue or
with the minimum future worth of net cost will be selected as
the best alternative for implementation.
5.2 REVENUE-DOMINATED CASH FLOW DIAGRAM
The formula for the future worth of the above cash flow diagram
for a given interest rate, i is
FW(i) = –P(1 + i)n + R1(1 + i)n–1 + R2(1 + i)n–2 + ...
+ R j(1 + i)n–j + ... + Rn + S
In this formula, the expenditures are assigned with positive sign and
revenues with negative sign. If we have some more alternatives which
are to be compared with this alternative, then the corresponding future
worth amounts are to be computed and compared. Finally, the
alternative with the minimum future worth amount should be selected
as the best alternative.
EXAMPLE 5.1 Consider the following two mutually exclusive
alternatives:
F = P × (1 + i)n
FWB(18%) = – 45,00,000(F/P, 18%, 4) + 18,00,000 (F/A,
18%, 4)
= – 45,00,000(1.939) + 18,00,000(5.215)
= Rs. 6,61,500
The future worth of alternative A is greater than that of alternative B. Thus, alternative A
should be selected.
EXAMPLE 5.2 A man owns a corner plot. He must decide
which of the several alternatives to select in trying to obtain a
desirable return on his investment. After much study and
calculation, he decides that the two best alternatives are as given
in the following table
Alternative 1—Build gas station
First cost = Rs. 20,00,000
Net annual income = Annual income – Annual property tax
= Rs. 8,00,000 – Rs. 80,000
= Rs. 7,20,000
Life = 20 years
Interest rate = 12%, compounded annually
.
The future worth of alternative 1 is computed as
FW1(12%) = –20,00,000 (F/P, 12%, 20) + 7,20,000
(F/A, 12%, 20)
= –20,00,000 (9.646) + 7,20,000 (72.052)
= Rs. 3,25,85,440
Alternative 2—Build soft ice-cream stand
First cost = Rs. 36,00,000
Net annual income = Annual income – Annual property tax
= Rs. 9,80,000 – Rs. 1,50,000
= Rs. 8,30,000
Life = 20 years
Interest rate = 12%, compounded annually
The cash flow diagram for this alternative is shown in Fig. 5.6.
EXAMPLE 5.4 M/S Krishna Castings Ltd. is planning to
replace its annealing furnace. It has received tenders from three
different original manufacturers of annealing furnace. The
details are as follows.
Solution Alternative 1—Manufacturer 1
First cost, P = Rs. 80,00,000 Life, n = 12 years
Alternative 3—Manufacturer 3
First cost, P = Rs. 90,00,000 Life, n
= 12 years
Annual operating and maintenance cost, A
= Rs. 8,50,000 Salvage value at the end of
furnace life = Rs. 7,00,000
The future worth amount of alternative 3 is calculated as
FW3(20%) = 90,00,000(F/P, 20%, 12) + 8,50,000(F/A, 20%, 12) – 7,00,000
= 90,00,000(8.916) + 8,50,000 (39.581) – 7,00,000
= Rs. 11,31,87,850
The future worth cost of alternative 2 is less than that of the other two
alternatives. Therefore, M/s. Krishna castings should buy the annealing furnace
from manufacturer 2.
Solution Machine A
Initial cost of the machine, P = Rs. 4,00,000
Life, n = 4 years
Salvage value at the end of machine life, S = Rs. 2,00,000
Annual maintenance cost, A = Rs. 40,000
Interest rate, i = 12%, compounded annually.
The cash flow diagram of machine A is given in Fig. 5.12.
FWA(12%) = 4,00,000 × (F/P, 12%, 4) + 40,000 × (F/A, 12%, 4) – 2,00,000
= 4,00,000 × (1.574) + 40,000 × (4.779) – 2,00,000
= Rs. 6,20,760
Machine B
Initial cost of the machine, P = Rs. 8,00,000 Life, n = 4 years
Salvage value at the end of machine life, S = Rs. 5,50,000 Annual
maintenance cost, A = zero.
Interest rate, i = 12%, compounded annually.
The cash flow diagram of the machine B is illustrated in Fig. 5.13.
ANNUAL EQUIVALENT METHOD
In the annual equivalent method of comparison, first the annual
equivalent cost or the revenue of each alternative will be computed.
Then the alternative with the maximum annual equivalent revenue
in the case of revenue-based comparison or with the minimum
annual equivalent cost in the case of cost- based comparison will
be selected as the best alternative.
6.2 REVENUE-DOMINATED CASH FLOW
DIAGRAM
The rate of return of a cash flow pattern is the interest rate at which the present
worth of that cash flow pattern reduces to zero. In this method of comparison,
the rate of return for each alternative is computed. Then the alternative which
has the highest rate of return is selected as the best alternative.
In this type of analysis, the expenditures are always assigned with a negative
sign and the revenues/inflows are assigned with a positive sign.
A generalized cash flow diagram to demonstrate the rate of return method of
comparison is presented in Fig. 7.1.
The first step is to find the net present worth of the cash flow
diagram using the following expression at a given interest rate,
i.
PW(i) = – P + R1/(1 + i)1 + R2/(1 + i)2 + ...
+ Rj/(1 + i) j + ... + Rn/(1 + i)n + S/(1 + i)n
Now, the above function is to be evaluated for different values
of i until the present worth function reduces to zero, as shown
in Fig.
In the figure, the present worth goes on decreasing when
the interest rate is increased. The value of i at which the
present worth curve cuts the X-axis is the rate of return of the
given proposal/project. It will be very difficult to find the
exact value of i at which the present worth function reduces
to zero.
7.2.
So, one has to start with an intuitive value of i and check
whether the present worth function is positive. If so, increase the
value of i until PW(i) becomes negative. Then, the rate of return
is determined by interpolation method in the range of values of i
for which the sign of the present worth function changes from
positive to negative.
EXAMPLE 7.1 A person is planning a new business. The initial outlay and
cash flow pattern for the new business are as listed below. The expected life
of the business is five years. Find the rate of return for the new business .