Sports Obermeyer Case: Secb - Group8 - Caseso
Sports Obermeyer Case: Secb - Group8 - Caseso
CASE
SecB_Group8_CaseSO
Made by
Shubham Shakar
Rahul Kr Tiwari
Nikhil Jaiswal
Prithvi V
Saurav Prasad Malik
Question 1
Using the sample data given in Exhibit 10, make a recommendation for how
many units of each style Wally Obermeyer should order during the initial
phase of production. Assume that all ten styles in the sample problem are
made in Hong Kong, and that Obermeyer's initial production commitment
must be at least 10,000 units. (Ignore price differences among styles in your
initial analysis)
Co Var
0.19
0.31
0.18
0.13
0.35
0.19
0.47
0.14
0.32
0.29
The table given in the book did not consist of the column indicating the Coefficient of Variation. While
Standard Deviation gives the absolute value of variation from mean Coefficient of Variation shows it
relative to the mean and hence is more representative of the true picture.
Assumptions to be made:
a) All production activities are being carried out in Hong Kong. Thus the minimum order quantity
for any style must be 60 units/month.
b) Initial production commitment must be at least 10,000 units.
c) Order is being placed in November. Therefore number of months till the Las Vegas show (to be
held in March) is equal to 4. Thus, minimum order quantity/item for this period should be 240.
Basis for deciding on style will be Coefficient of Variation and not Standard Deviation.
Orders to be placed:
Obermeyer must order the maximum amount of those styles with the minimum value for CoVar.
The reason is that the variation of their forecasted demand is lesser than the others. Now, the
value for % to be ordered has been derived as:
% to be ordered= (1-CoVar-0.02)*100%
0.02 in the above formula corresponds to 2%. This 2% has been kept as a precaution against
actual demand falling way below the forecasted demand. For Isis this safety margin has been
increased to 5% as the CoVar for Isis and other brands is way beyond the ones with the minimum
CoVar (Styles with figures from 0.13 till 0.19). The figure for Anita has been derived by adhering
to the minimum order quantity per style of 240. The idea is to delay ordering as much as possible
as the March show in Las Vegas provided information which led to greater accuracy in
forecasting.
Improve the demand forecasts made by buying committee. Should use a weighted average
method instead of just using a simple average.
Obtaining market feedback earlier than Las Vegas which can help converting some
Speculative production to Reactive production. For maximizing the value of this feedback
Sport Obermeyer’s should include both small and large retailers & Urban and Resort retailers
Predicting customer demand for individual styles and if possible reducing number of styles
being handled.
Production system
Increasing quality of production in china
Reducing lead time of production specifically for preparation of raw materials.
Decreasing lead time for finished goods, which in turn will help to cater to existing
capacity
Information Systems
Collect old data and analyze demand of show in Vegas and compare with actual purchase
Using historical data to capture the market trend and market movement
Question 3
• Smaller volumes required, 600 Units in same style • Larger volumes required, 1200 Units in same style
• More flexible • Less flexible
Staff is more cross trained, Faster production Staff is less cross trained , Slower production
Staff is more efficient, 12 people in each parka line Staff is more inefficient, 40 people in each parka line,
leading to greater imbalance in these line
RECOMMENDATION
SHORT TERM
Hong Kong will be the ideal location for production in short term
LONG TERM
China should be focused for the long-term sourcing as per the above calculations
and hence devote more time on developing the cost propositions
Short term practice to be done only if quantity to be produced is higher
Increasing efficiency of workers by cross training at Hong Kong location, giving
cross operational roles to reduce line size and introducing incentives (KPIs) to
improve process and quality