0% found this document useful (0 votes)
312 views16 pages

Hypothesis Testing Using P-Value Approach

1. The document discusses hypothesis testing using the p-value approach. It defines p-value as the smallest probability at which the null hypothesis would be rejected and explains that a smaller p-value indicates stronger evidence against the null hypothesis. 2. The p-value method has advantages over the traditional approach as it does not require comparing the test statistic to a critical value and provides insight into the strength of evidence against the null hypothesis. 3. Two examples are provided to demonstrate applying the p-value method to test claims, calculate the test statistic and p-value, and make a decision to reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis based on comparing the p-value to the significance level.
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
0% found this document useful (0 votes)
312 views16 pages

Hypothesis Testing Using P-Value Approach

1. The document discusses hypothesis testing using the p-value approach. It defines p-value as the smallest probability at which the null hypothesis would be rejected and explains that a smaller p-value indicates stronger evidence against the null hypothesis. 2. The p-value method has advantages over the traditional approach as it does not require comparing the test statistic to a critical value and provides insight into the strength of evidence against the null hypothesis. 3. Two examples are provided to demonstrate applying the p-value method to test claims, calculate the test statistic and p-value, and make a decision to reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis based on comparing the p-value to the significance level.
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 16

HYPOTHESIS TESTING

USING P-VALUE
APPROACH
What is p-value?
• The p-value (probability value) of test
statistic.
• It is the smallest probability value at which
the null hypothesis would be rejected. 
• A smaller p-value indicates that there is
stronger evidence against the null
hypothesis.
Comparing the P-Value Method to the
Traditional Method
Both approaches will ensure the same conclusion and
either one will work. However, using the p-value approach
has the following advantages:

1. In p-value method, there is no need to compare the test


statistic with the critical value.
2. The p-value gives us some idea of the strength of the
evidence against H0.
P­Value and Strength of Evidence against
H0
P-value Interpretation
Less than 0.01 >Difference is highly significant.
>There is a very strong evidence to reject H0.
0.01 to 0.05 >Difference is significant.
>Strong evidence to reject H0.
Greater than >Difference is not significant.
0.05 >Weak evidence to reject H0.
Determining p-value: One-Tailed Test
Left-Tailed Right-Tailed

p-value = P(ztest < zcomp) p-value = P(ztest > zcomp)


Area below
Determining p-value: Two-tailed Test

left right

p-value = 2 x P(ztest < - zcomp) or 2 x P(ztest > zcomp)


Decision Rule (p-value method)
For both one-tailed and two-tailed tests:

Reject H0 if p ≤ α. Otherwise,
do not reject H0 .
Steps using the P-value Approach
1. Null and Alternative Hypotheses
2. Type of Test, α level
3. Test Statistic (z or t), p-value
4. Decision Rule: Reject H0 if p ≤ α. Otherwise, do not
reject H0 .
5. Compare p-value with α and decide whether to reject
H0 or not.
6. Conclusion
Note: Only z-test will be used
for all examples in this module
since a graphing calculator is
needed to get the p-value for t-
test.
Example 1:
A dietitian claims that the average weight loss
of women using a certain drug is 4.55 kg per
month. Ten women chosen at random have
reported losing an average of 4.05 kg within a
month. If the population standard deviation is
0.91 kg, does this data support the claim of the
dietitian? Use 0.05 level of significance.
 Step p-value = 2 x P(z < -1.74)
1: Hypotheses
= 2(0.5 - 0.4591)
H0 : The average weight loss per
= 2(0.0409)
month of women using the drug is
4.55 kg/mo. (µ = 4.55) Claim p-value = 0.0818
Step 4: Decision rule
H1 : The average weight loss per
month of women using the drug is Reject H0 if p ≤ 0.05. Otherwise, do not
not equal to 4.55 kg/mo. (µ ≠ 4.55) reject H0.
Step 5: Decision
Since 0.0818 > 0.05, do not reject H0.
Step 2: Type of test
(Weak evidence against H0.)
two-tailed, α = 0.05
Step 6: Conclusion
There is no significant difference between
Step 3: Test Statistic and p-value the sample mean and the population mean.
Thus, the average weight loss per month of
women using the drug is 4.55kg.
Example 2:
The dean claims that the average height
of HRM students is more than 155 cm. To
verify this, a random sample of 100 HRM
students of a certain college was selected
and their average height is 157 cm.
Previous study shows that σ = 5 cm. Use α
= 0.01 to test the claim.
 Step 1: Hypotheses p-value = P(z > 4) = (0.5 – 0.4999)
p-value = 0.0001
H0 : The average height of HRM
students is less than or equal to 155 Step 4: Decision rule
cm. (µ ≤ 155) Reject H0 if p ≤ 0.01. Otherwise, do not
H1 : The average height of HRM reject H0.
students is more than 155 cm. Step 5: Decision
(µ > 155) Claim Since 0.0001 < 0.01, reject H0.
(very strong evidence against H0.)
Step 2: Type of test Step 6: Conclusion
right-tailed, α = 0.01 There is a significant difference
between the sample mean and the
Step 3: Test Statistic and p-value population mean.
Thus, the average height of HRM
students is more than 155 cm.
Activity 7: P-value Method
1. In a plant nursery, a botanist thinks that the seedlings sprayed with a
new kind of fertilizer has an average height of 26 cm after three days.
The botanist randomly selected 80 such seedlings and obtained a
mean height of 25 cm. Assume that the population standard
deviation is 10 cm. Test the claim using α = 0.01 and p-value method.
2. A manufacturing firm has been averaging 18 orders per week with a
population standard deviation of 2.3 orders for several years.
However, during a recession, orders appear to have slowed down.
Suppose the firm’s production manager randomly selects 32 weeks
and finds a sample mean of 15 orders per week. Use α = 0.05 and
the p-value approach to determine whether the average number of
orders has decreased during recession.
 Step 1: Hypotheses Step 4: Decision rule
H0 : µ = 26 Claim Reject H0 if p ≤ 0.05. Otherwise, do not
H1 : µ ≠ 26 reject H0.
Step 2: Type of test Step 5: Decision
two-tailed, α = 0.01 Since 0.3734 > 0.05, do not reject H0.
Step 3: Test Statistic and p-value (weak evidence against H0)
Step 6: Conclusion
p-value = 2 x P(z < -0.89) There is no significant difference
= 2(0.5 - 0.3133) between the sample mean and the
population mean.
p-value = 0.3734
Therfore, the average height of the
seedlings sprayed with new fertilizer is
equal to 26 cm after three days.
 Step 1: Hypotheses
P(z < -7.37) = 0.5 – 0.4999
H0 : The average number of orders
P-value = 0.0001
during recession greater than or
equal to 18 orders/wk Step 4: Decision rule
(µ ≥ 18) Reject H0 if p ≤ 0.05. Otherwise, do not
reject H0.
H1 : The average number of orders
during recession is lower than 18 Step 5: Decision
orders/wk. (µ < 18) Claim Since 0.0001 < 0.05, reject H0.
Step2: Type of test (Very strong evidence against H0.)
left tailed, α = 0.05 Step 6: Conclusion
Step 3: Test Statistic There is a significant difference between
the sample mean and the population mean.
Thus, the average number of orders per
week during recession is lower than 18.

You might also like