IMPT
IMPT
Experiments
1
IN DEX
• EXPERIMENTS
• A QUICK HISTORY OF DESIGN OF EXPERIMENTS
• WHY WE USE EXPERIMENTAL DESIGNS
• WHAT IS DESIGN OF EXPERIMENT
• HOW DESIGN OF EXPERIMENT CONTRIBUTES
• TERMINOLOGY
• ANALYSIS O F VARIATION (ANOVA)
• BASIC PRINCIPLE OF DESIGN OF EXPERIMENTS
• SOME EXPERIMENTAL DESIGNS
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EXPERIMENT
Experiments involve manipulation of one or
more independent variables, and observing
the effect on some outcome (dependent
variable). Experiments can be done in the
field or in a laboratory.
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A QUICK H ISTORY
OF
DESIGN OF EXPERIMENTS
• The agricultural origins, 1918 – 1940s
• R. A. Fisher & his co-workers
• Profound impact on agricultural science
• Factorial designs, ANOVA
• The first industrial era, 1951 – late 1970s
• Box & Wilson, response surfaces
• Applications in the chemical & process
industries
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CONTD
…
• The second industrial era, late 1970s – 1990
• Quality improvement initiatives in many companies
• TQM were important ideas and became management
goals
• Taguchi and robust parameter design, process robustness
• The modern era, beginning 1990
• Six sigma, Lean Six sigma
• Clinical Trails, Mathematical biology.
• Algorithm design and analysis,
• Networking, group testing, and cryptography 2 /7 /2020 5
Why we use
Experimental Designs
"All experiments are designed
experiments, it is just that some
are poorly designed and some are
well- designed."
Experimental designs are used so that the
treatments may be assigned in an organized
manner to allow valid statistical analysis to be
carried out on the resulting data. 2 /7 /2020 6
What is Design of
Experiments
It is a logical planning (or construction) of the
experiment having a complete sequence of steps taken
ahead of time to ensure that the appropriate data will
be obtained in a way which permits an objective
analysis of a particular problem leading to valid and
precise inference in most economic and useful forms.
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Subject Matter of
Design of
It includes:
Experiments
• Planning of the experiment
• Obtaining data from it
• Making statistical analysis of the data
obtained.
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HOW DESIGN OF EXPERIMENT
CONTRIBUTES
TREATMENT EXPERIMENTAL
RANDOMNESS
GROUP ERROR
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TERMINOLOGY
• Control Group :- A group assigned to the experiment, but not for the
purpose of being exposed to the treatment. Performance of this group
serves as a baseline.
• Treatment Group:- The Group in an experiment which receives the
specified treatment.
• Factor:- This term is used when an experiment involves more than
one
variable. These variables are often identified as factor.
• Level:- Refers to the degree or intensity of a factor.
• Randomness:-refers to the property of completely chance events that
are not predictable.
• Replication:- The repetition of the treatment under consideration.
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• Blocks:- refers to the categories of subjects with a treatment2/g7/r2o02u0 p.
EXPERIMENTA
L ERROR
MSTR / MSE
Error SSr dfe = dfT-dft MSE=SSr / dfe
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The Steps in Designing an
Experiment
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The Steps in Designing an
Experiment (Contd…)
• Step 3: Determine the number of experimental units.
In general, more experimental units is better.
Unfortunately, time and money will always be
limiting factors, so we have to decide an
appropriate number
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The Steps in Designing an
Experiment (Contd…)
• Step 4: Determine the level(s) of each factor.
We split factors up into three categories:
o Control: If possible, we try to fix the level of factors that we're
not interested in.
o Manipulate: This is the treatment - we manipulate the levels
of
the variable that we think will affect the response variable.
o Randomize: Often, there are factors we just can't control. To
mitigate their effect on the data, we randomize the groups. By
randomly assigning experimental units, these factors should
be equally spread among all groups.
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The Steps in Designing an
Experiment (Contd…)
• Step 5: Conduct the
experiment.
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BASIC PRINCIPLE OF
DESIGN OF
EXPERIMENTS
• Randomization
• Replication
• Local Control (Blocking)
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Complete and Incomplete Block
Designs
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SOME EXPERIMENTAL
DESIGNS
Complete
Designs
LSD RBD
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COMPLETELY RANDOMIZED DESIGN
(CRD)
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Characteristics of the CRD
etc.
EXAMPLE OF CRD
• In order to determine whether there is significant difference in the
durability of 3 makes of computers, samples of size 5 are selected
from each make and the frequency of repair during the first year is
observed. The results are as follows:
Makes
A B C
5 8 7
6 10 3
8 11 5
9 12 4
7 4 1 2 /7 /2020 25
VARIOUS STEPS TO BE FOLLOWED
Step 1.
• Write the hypotheses to be tested.
Step 2.
• Calculate the Correction Factor.
Step 3.
• Calculate the Total SS
Step 4.
• Calculate the Treatment SS
Step 5.
• Calculate the Error SS
Step 6.
• Complete the ANOVA table
Step 7.
• Look up Table F-values.
Step 8.
• Make conclusions.
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HYPOTHESIS
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TABLE FOR CALCULATION
MAK T2 ∑X2i
Xij
Ti ni i T i/ni
2
E j
C 7 3 5 4 1 20 5 400 80 100
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Null Hypothesis :
H0: the 3 makes of computers do not differ in the
durability
• CF = (Ti)2/ni
= (100)2/15
= 666.67
• SST = ∑∑X2 –
CF
ij
= 800 -666.67
= 133.33
• SSM = ∑Ti2/ni – CF
= 730 - 666.67
= 63.33
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CRD
Complete
Designs
LSD RBD
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RANDOMIZED BLOCK DESIGN
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RANDOMISED BLOCK
DESIGN (RBD)
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Two
WHAyYpAotNhAe
H : There is no significant difference between the doctors.
LsoneYofisS ISdoctor is significantly different.
0A
H : Atleast
1A the
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Table for calculations
2
Doctor 1 2 3 4 Ti K Ti / ∑X2ij
k
A 10 14 19 20 63 4 992.25 1057
B 11 15 17 21 64 4 1024 1076
C 9 12 16 19 56 4 784 842
D 8 13 17 20 58 4 841 922
∑Ti2 / k =
Tj 38 54 69 80 241 16 3641.25 3897
∑Tj2 / h
T j2 / h 361 729 1190.25 1600 = 3880.25
• SSTotal = ∑∑X2 - CF
ij
• SSD = ∑Ti2 / h – CF
= 3641.25 – 3630.06 = 11.19
• SSt = ∑Tj2 / k – CF
= 3880.25 -3630.06 = 250.19
= 6.02
Treatments 250.19 3 83.40 83.40 / 0.62
= 134.52
Error 5.56 9 0.62 -
Total 266.94 15
From F – Tables, F5%(v1= 3, v2= 9) = 3.86
F0 > F5%
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CRD
Complete
LSD RBD
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LATIN SQUARE DESIGN (LSD)
• A Latin square is a square array of objects (letters A, B, C, …) such that each
object appears once and only once in each row and each column.
• Example - 4 x 4 Latin Square.
A B C
D B C
D A C
D A B
DABC
• The Latin Square Design is for a situation in which there are two extraneous
sources of variation. If the rows and columns of a square are thought of as
levels of the the two extraneous variables, then in a Latin square each treatment
appears exactly once in each row and column.
• With the Latin Square design we are able to control variation in tw72/o20/ d20irecti4o6 ns.
CHARACTERISTICS
OF LSD
• In LSD we have three factors:
Treatments, Rows and Columns
• The number of treatments = the number of rows = the number of
colums = t (say).
• The row-column treatments are represented by cells in a t x t array.
• The treatments are assigned to row-column combinations using a
Latin-square arrangement, that is each row contains every treatment.
and each column contains every treatment.
• Every treatment occurs once in each row and column.
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Example
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HYPOTHESIS
• SSTotal =∑∑X2 – CF
ij
• SSD1=∑∑T i2 / n – CF
= 2370.99 – 2336.11 = 34.88
• SSD2=∑∑Tj2 / n – CF
= 2337.66 – 2336.11 = 1.55
• SSD3=∑∑T 2 / n – CF
k
= 2366.99 – 2336.11 =
30.88
• SSE = SSTotal – SSD1 – SSD2 – SSD3
= 1.55 2 /7 /2020 52
ANOVA TABLE
= 22.51
Engines 1.55 2 0.775 0.775 / 0.775
=1
Burners 30.88 2 15.44 15.44 / 0.775
= 19.93
Error 1.55 2 0.775
Total 68.89 8
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CONCLUSION
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BALANCED INCOMPLETE
BLOCK DESIGNS (BIBD)
• Situation where the number of treatments exceeds number of
units per block (or logistics do not allow for assignment of
all treatments to all blocks)
• # of Treatments v
• # of Blocks b
• Replicates per Treatment r < b
• Block Size k < v
• Total Number of Units N = kb = rv
• All pairs of Treatments appear together in =
r(k-1)/(v-1) Blocks for some integer
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N ESTED DESIGNS
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