0% found this document useful (0 votes)
71 views

Unit 3 (a) : Time Value Of Money 1: Analyzing Single Cash Flows 货币时间价值 1 :分析单一现金流 - Chapter 4

Uploaded by

KaMan CHAU
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
0% found this document useful (0 votes)
71 views

Unit 3 (a) : Time Value Of Money 1: Analyzing Single Cash Flows 货币时间价值 1 :分析单一现金流 - Chapter 4

Uploaded by

KaMan CHAU
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 72

Unit 3 (a)

TIME VALUE OF MONEY 1 :


ANALYZING SINGLE CASH FLOWS
货币时间价值 1 :分析单一现金流
- Chapter 4
Introduction
• Time Value of Money (TVM)
• Used by financial and non-financial business
managers as a powerful financial decision-making
tool.
• Key to making sound personal financial decisions.

货币时间价值( TVM )
被财务和非财务业务经理用作强大的财务决策工具。
做出正确的个人财务决策的关键。
Introduction
• Basic TVM Concept : 基本 TVM 概念:
• $1 today is worth more than $1 next year.

今天的 1 美元比明年的 1 美元还值钱。


• TVM decisions are based on : TVM 的决策基
于:
• Size of cash flows.
现金流的规模。
• Timing between cash flows. 现金流之间的时间间隔。
回报率。
• Rate of return.

$ Today > $ Next Year


Organizing Cash Flows
• Timing of cash flows is key to successful
business operations. 现金流的时间安排是成功
经营的关键。
• Cash Flow Analysis : 现金流量分析
• A time line shows the magnitude of cash flows at different
points in time. 时间线显示不同时间点的现金流大小。
• Monthly
月刊
• Quarterly 每季的
每半年
• Semi-annually
每年
• Annually
Organizing Cash Flows 组织现金流
• Cash Flow Analysis
• Inflow = Cash received 流入 = 收到的现金
• a “positive” number“ 正数”
• Outflow = Cash going out 流出 = 现金流出
• a negative number 负数

Inflow Outflow
Organization
Positive # Negative #
Example of a Time Line

Outflow Inflow
Future Value (FV)
• Value of an investment after one or more periods. 一个
或多个时期后的投资价值。
• Example :
Refer to the previous time line, the $105 payment your
bank credits to your account one year from the original
$100 investment at 5% annual interest.
请参阅上一个时间表,即您的银行从原始 100 美元投资一
年内以 5% 年利息记入您账户的 105 美元付款。

($100 x 1.05 = $105 after one year)


( 100 美元 x 1.05 = 一年后 105 美元)

Single-Period Future Value 单期未来价值
• Interest is earned on principal
• 利息按本金赚取
• Value in 1 year = Today’s Cash Flow + Interest
• 1 年内的价值 = 今天的现金流 + 利息
FV1 = Value in 1 year
PV = Total’s Cash Flow
i = interest rate
Example : Single-Period Future Value
单期未来价值
• Assumptions : 假设:
• Invest $100 today. 今天投资 $100
• Earn 5% interest annually (one period).
• 每年赚取 5% 的利息(一个时期)。

Compounding and Future Value 复利和未来价值

• Compounding 复合
• Interest is earned on both principal and interest.
利息从本金和利息中赚取。
• Today’s Cash Flow + Interest on Principal and
Interest on Interest = Value in 2 years 今天的现
金流 + 本金利息和利息 = 2 年内的价值

Example : Compounding and Future Value
• Assumptions : 假设
• Invest $100 today.
• Earn 5% annual interest for more than one year
(2 years in the following equation). 赚取 5% 的
年利息超过一年(在以下等式中为 2 年)。

The Power of Compounding 复合的力量
Compound interest is a powerful wealth-building tool 
Exponential Growth 复利是一种强大的财富积累工具  指数增长
Present Value (PV)
• The opposite of Future Value (FV)
• Future Value = Compounding
• Present Value = Discounting
• 未来价值 ( FV ) 相反
• 未来价值 = 复利
• 现值 = 贴现
Present Value (PV)
• Discounting
• Value today of sum expected to be
received in future. 预计将来收到的金额的
今天价值。
• Next period’s valuation ÷ One period of
discounting 下一期的估值 ÷ 一个贴现期

Example : Discounting and Present Value
• Assumptions : 假设
• Banks pays $105 in 1 year. 银行在 1 年内支付
105 美元。
• Interest rate = 5% interest per year. 利率 = 每年
5% 的利息。
• Present Value (PV :
Example : Present Value Over Multiple Periods
• Assumptions :
• $100 payment five years in the future.
• 五年后支付 100 美元。
• Interest rate = 5% interest per year.

• 利率 = 每年 5% 的利息。
Present Value with Multiple Rates 具有多个利率的现值

• Concept : Discounting 概念 : 折扣
• Value today of sum expected to be received in
future -- Variable rates of interest over N periods.
预计未来收到的金额的今天价值 - N 个时期的可变
利率。

Example : Present Value with Multiple Rates 示例:
具有多个汇率的现值
• Assumptions :
• Banks pays $2,500 at the end of 3rd year.

银行在第三年年底支付 2 , 500 美元。


• Interest rate year 1 = 7%
• Interest rate year 2 = 8%
• Interest rate year 3 = 8.5%
Present Value and Future Value
• Concepts : Discounting &
Compounding 概念:贴现和复利
• Move cash flows around in time. 及时移动现金
流。
• Use PV calculation to discount the cash flow.
使用 PV 计算对现金流进行贴现。
• Use FV calculation to compound the cash
flow. 使用 FV 计算来复利现金流。
Example : Present and Future Value
• Assumptions : PV
• Expected cash flow of $200 in 3 years. 预计 3 年内现
金流为 200 美元。
• Decision : change receipt of CF to 2 years (one year
earlier). 决定:将 CF 的收据更改为 2 年(提前一年)。
• Discount rate = 6% per year

• PV calculation to discount the cash flow


for 1 year. PV 计算,以贴现 1 年的现金流。

Example : Present and Future Value
• Assumptions : FV

• Expected cash flow of $200 in 3 years. 预计


3 年内现金流为 200 美元。
• Decision : change receipt of CF to 5 years
later. 决定:将 CF 的收据更改为 5 年后。
• Compound rate = 6% per year. 复合率 = 每
年 6% 。
• FV calculation to compound the cash flow for 5 years. FV 计
算,以复利 5 年的现金流。
Rule of 72
• Concept : Compound Interest 概念 : 复利
• How much time for an amount to double ? 多少时间使金额翻倍?

• Example :
• Interest rate = 6% per year 利率 = 每年 6%
• Rule of 72 calculation : 72 计算法则:

72 / 6 = 12 years
It takes roughly 12 years to double the original amount.
72 / 6 = 12 年
大约需要 12 年才能使原始金额翻倍。
Interest Rate to Double an Investment 投资翻倍的利率
Computing Interest Rates 计算利率
• Concept : Solving for Interest Rate
• 概念 : 解决利率问题
Assumptions :

Bought asset for $350; Sold asset for $475
以 350 美元的价格购买了资产 ; 以 $475 的价格出售资

Timeframe : 3 years 时间范围 : 3 年
$475 = $350 x (1 + i)3
(1 + i)3 = 1.36
Take the cubic root : 1 + i = 1.11
Solving for Time 求解时间
• Concept : Solving for Time
• Assumptions/Known Data : 假设 / 已知数据
• Starting Cash Flow
• Interest Rate
• Future Cash Flow
• 起始现金流
• 利率
• 未来现金流
Example : Solving for Time
• When interest rates are 9% per year, how long
will it take $5,000 to double ?
当利率为每年 9% 时, 5 , 000 美元需要多长时间
才能翻倍?
• Assumptions :
• Interest = 9% per year
• PV = - 5,000
• PMT = 0
• FV = 10,000

• Solution : 8.04 years


Texas Instruments :
德州仪器
TI-BA II Plus, or
TI-BA II Plus Professional
FINANCIAL
CALCULATOR WIZARD 金融计算器向

M: Finance 3rd Edition
Cornett, Adair, and Nofsinger
Copyright © 2016 by McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved.
Compounding and Future Value 复利和未来价值

• Solve for 2 years :

INPUT 2 5 -100 0
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 110.25

What is the FV if we invest $100 today and earn 5% annual


interest for a two-year period ? 如果我们今天投资 100 美元,
并在两年内赚取 5% 的年利息,那么 FV 是什么?
Compounding and Future Value
• Solve for 5 years :

INPUT 5 5 -100 0
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 127.63

What is the FV if we invest $100 today and earn 5% annual


interest for a five-year period ? 如果我们今天投资 100 美元,
并在五年内赚取 5% 的年利息,那么 FV 是什么?
TVM Relationships Are Exponential Not Linear
TVM 关系是指数关系,而不是线性关系
What is the FV of $100 if invested for 20 years at 5% annual interest ?
如果以 5% 的年利率投资 20 年, 100 美元的 FV 是多少?
INPUT 20 5 -100 0
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 265.33
What is the FV of $100 if invested for 40 years at 5% annual interest?
如果以 5% 的年利率投资 40 年, 100 美元的 FV 是多少?

INPUT 40 5 -100 0
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 704.00
More than
double
TVM Relationships Are Exponential Not Linear
What is the FV of $100 if invested for 40 years at 5% annual interest ?
如果以 5% 的年利率投资 40 年, 100 美元的 FV 是多少?

INPUT 40 5 -100 0
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 704.00
What is the FV of $100 if invested for 40 years at 10% annual interest ?
如果以 10% 的年利率投资 40 年, 100 美元的 FV 是多少?

INPUT 40 10 -100 0
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 4,525.93
Exponential
指数
Present Value

Solve for 2 years :

INPUT 2 5 0 100.00
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT
What is the PV if we can get $100 in the future and discount
for a two-year period at 5% annual interest ? 如果我们将来可
以获得 100 美元,并以 5% 的年利息在两年内贴现,那么 PV
是什么?
PV = - 90.70
Present Value
Solve for 5 years :

INPUT 5 5 0
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 100.00

What is the PV if we can get $100 in the future and discount for
a five-year period at 5% annual interest ? 如果我们将来可以获
得 100 美元,并以 5% 的年利息在五年内贴现,那么 PV 是什
么?

PV = - 78.35
Solving for Time

INPUT 9 -5,000 0 10,000


N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 8.04

How many years will it take for a $5,000 investment to


double to $10,000 at 9% annual interest ?
5 , 000 美元的投资需要多少年才能翻倍到 10 , 000 美
元,年利率为 9% ?
Unit 3 (b)
TIME VALUE OF MONEY 2 :
ANALYZING ANNUITY CASH FLOWS
货币的时间价值 2 :分析年金现金流
M: Finance 3rd Edition
- CHAPTER 5 Cornett, Adair, and Nofsinger
Copyright © 2016 by McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved.
Introduction
• Time Value of Money calculations 货币
的时间价值计算
• can deal with either single cash flows,
可以处理单一现金流,
• or multiple cash flows over time.
• 或随时间推移的多个现金流。
Future Value of Multiple Cash Flows 多个现金流
的未来价值
• Multiple Cash Flows 多种现金流
• Regular, evenly-spaced 规则,均匀分布
• Examples :
• Car loans and home mortgage loans
• Saving for retirement
• Companies paying interest on debt
• 汽车贷款和住房抵押贷款
• 退休储蓄
• 支付债务利息的公司
Future Value – Several Cash Flows
未来价值 – 多个现金流
• Concept : Compounding 概念 : 复合
• Value in the future. 未来的价值。
• Different cash flows paid in at different
times. 不同的现金流在不同的时间支付。

Example : Finding FV for Several Cash Flows
示例:为多个现金流查找 FV
• Assumptions :
• Invest $100 today (compounds for 3 years)
• 今天投资 100 美元( 3 年复合)
• Invest $125 at end of year 2 (compounds for 2
years) 在第 2 年年底投资 125 美元( 2 年复合)
• Invest $150 at end of year 3 (compounds for 1
year) 在第 3 年年底投资 150 美元( 1 年复合)
• Interest rates : 7% per year 利率 :每年 7%

Example : FV for Several Cash Flows
示例:多个现金流的 FV

Several
(Different)
Cash Flows
几种(不同
的)现金流
Future Value – Level Cash Flows 水平现金流

• Concept : Compounding 概念 : 复合
• Also called “annuities” 也称为 " 年金 "
• Value in the future. 未来的价值。
• Same cash flows paid in every period. 每
个期间支付的现金流相同。

...
Finding FV – Level Cash Flows/Annuity

• Assumptions :
• Invest $100 at the end of each year for 5
years. 每年年底投资 100 美元,为期 5 年。
• Interest rates : 8% per year 利率 :每年
8%

Level Cash Flows Time Line 水平现金流时间线

Level (Same) Cash Flows


Each Period 水平(相同)
每个期间的现金流
Future Value – Multiple Annuities 未来价值 – 多
种年金
• Concept : Compounding – annuity equation to compute
future value. 概念:复利 - 年金方程计算未来价值。
• To solve for multiple annuities, compute FV for each
separately and add them together. 要求解多个年金,请分
别计算每个年金的 FV 并将它们相加。
Finding FV – Multiple Annuities
• Assumptions :

• Invest $100 at end of years 1 - 3 at 8%.


• Invest $150 at end of years 4 - 5 at 8%.
• 在 1 - 3 年末投资 100 美元,占 8% 。
• 在 4 - 5 年末投资 150 美元,占 8% 。

Future Value – Multiple Annuities
Step 1 (same as FV of Level Cash Flows Calculation
与水平现金流计算的 FV 相同

Step 2
Step 3
Add two sums together –
FV of both is $690.66
将两个总和相加 – 两者的
FV 为 $690.66
Present Value of Multiple Cash Flows 多个现金流的现
值• Multiple Cash Flows 多种现金流

• Car loans and home mortgage loans.

汽车贷款和住房抵押贷款。
• Determining value of business opportunities.

确定商机的价值
• Concept : Discounting 概念 : 折扣

• Value of future sum today. 今天未来总和的价值。

• Different cash flows paid in at different times.

不同的现金流在不同的时间支付
Present Value – Level Cash Flows 现值 – 水平现金流
• Concept : Discounting 概念 : 折扣

• Value of future sum today. 今天未来总和


的价值。
• Level cash flows paid in at different times.
在不同时间支付的水平现金流。
• Most loans are set up with even payments throughout
the life of loan. 大多数贷款都是在贷款的整个生命周期内
以均匀的付款设置的。

Finding PV – Level Cash Flows
• Assumptions :
• $100 payments at end of each year for 5 years.
每年年底支付 100 美元,为期 5 年。
• Interest rates : 8% per year
Present Value – Multiple Annuities
• Concept : Discounting
• Changing level cash flows. 改变水平现金流。
• Ex : Alex Rodriguez’s baseball contract
Example : PV – Multiple Annuities
• Assumptions (Alex Rodriguez’s
Contract) :
• $10 million signing bonus.
• $21 million per year from 2001 – 2004.
• $25 million per year in 2005 and 2006.
• $27 million per year in 2007 – 2010.
• Interest rates : 8% per year
Example : PV – Multiple Annuities
Refer to Alex Rodriguez’s example, it is equivalent
to 3 annuities :
Perpetuity – Special Annuity
• Concept : Discounting

• Stream of level cash flows that are paid forever.


永久支付的水平现金流流。
• Example : Preferred stocks (explained later) 优
先股(稍后解释)
• Value of investment is equivalent to the PV of
all future annuity payments.
• 投资价值相当于所有未来年金支付的 PV 。
Perpetuities 永久

• Suppose you will receive a fixed payment
every period (month, year, etc.) forever. This
is an example of a perpetuity.
• You can think of a perpetuity as an annuity
that goes on forever.
• 假设您将在每个时期(月,年等)永久收到固
定付款。 这是永久性的一个例子。
• 您可以将永久资本视为永远存在的年金。

54
Present Value of a Perpetuity 永久现值

When we find the PV of an annuity, we think of


the following relationship: 当我们发现年金的 PV
时,我们会想到以下关系:

PV = PMT (PVIFA i, n )

55
Mathematically, 1
1- (1 + i) n
(PVIFA i, n ) =
i
We said that a perpetuity is an annuity
where n = infinity. What happens to
this formula when n gets very, very
large? 我们说过,永久年金是 n = 无穷大
的年金。 当 n 变得非常非常大时,这个公
式会发生什么? 56
When n gets very large,

1 this becomes zero.


n
1- (1 + i)
i

1
So we’re left with PVIFA =
i
57
Present Value of a Perpetuity
• So, the PV of a perpetuity is very
simple to find: 永久性的 PV 很容
易找到:

PMT
PV =
i

58
Example: Perpetuity
What should you be willing to pay in order to
receive $10,000 annually forever, if you require
8% per year on the investment? 如果您需要每年
8% 的投资,那么为了永远每年获得 10 , 000 美元,
您应该愿意支付什么?

PMT $10,000
PV = =
i .08

= $125,000
59
Ordinary Annuities vs. Annuities Due 普通年金与到期年金

Two Types of Annuities :


• Ordinary Annuity 普通年金
• Payment occurs at the end of each period. 付款发生在每
个期间结束时
• (All previous examples showed ‘Ordinary Annuities)
(所有先前的例子都显示 " 普通年金 " )

• Annuity Due 到期年金


• Payment occurs at the beginning of each period. 付款发生
在每个时期的开始。

Example : Annuity Due
• Five annuity-due cash flows basically same as payment
today plus 4-year ordinary annuity payment. 五个年金到期
现金流基本与今天付款加上 4 年普通年金付款相同。
• Payments occur one period sooner than ordinary annuity,
and earn extra period of interest. 还款比普通年金早一个时
期,并赚取额外的利息。
Future Value of Annuity Due 到期年金的未来价值
• Concept : Compounding 概念 : 复合
• Value of future sum today. 今天未来总和的价值。
• Cash flows at beginning of each period. 每个期间开始时的现
金流。

(compound for one more period)


(再复合一段时间)
Future Value of Annuity Due 到期年金的未来价值

• Assumptions :

• Assumes a 5-year annuity-due, each cash


flow is equal to $100. 假设 5 年年金到期,
每个现金流等于 100 美元
• The first cash flow compounds for 5 years5 年来首次
现金流复合
• The last cash flow compounds for 1 year only. 最后的
现金流仅复利 1 年。
• Interest rates : 8%

FV for a 5-year Ordinary Annuity


Present Value of Annuity Due
• Concept : Discounting
• Today’s value of future sum.
• Cash flows at beginning of each period.
• 今天的价值与未来总和。
• 每个期间开始时的现金流。
Present Value of Annuity Due
• Assumptions :

• 5-year annuity-due, each cash flow equals to


$100. 5 年年到期,每个现金流等于 100 美元。
• The first cash flow is paid today – not discounted. 第一笔现
金流是今天支付的,而不是贴现的。
• The last cash flow is discounted for 4 years. 最后现金流贴
现4年
• All cash flows discounted for one year less than ordinary
annuity. 所有现金流贴现一年,均低于普通年金。
• Interest rates : 8% per year

PV for a 5-year Ordinary Annuity


Compounding Frequency 复合频率

• Used in situations that do not use yearly time


periods. 用于不使用年度时间段的情况。 For
example :
• Semi-annual bond payments (semi-annual compounding;
compound frequency = 2) 半年度债券支付(半年复利 ; 复合
频率 = 2 )
• Quarterly stock dividends (quarterly compounding;
compound frequency = 4) 季度股票股息(季度复利 ; 复合频
率= 4)
• Consumer loans – monthly payments (monthly
compounding; compound frequency = 12) 消费贷款 – 每月
还款额(每月复利 ; 复利频率 = 12 )
Effect of Compounding Frequency 复合频率的影响
• Assumptions :
• $100 deposit today; 12% annual interest rate. 今天存款
100 美元 ;12% 年利率。
• Bank compounds interest at six months instead of end of
year. 银行复利利率为六个月,而不是年底。
• Interest is earned on interest. 利息是根据利息赚取的。

Total amount after one year 一年后的总金额


= $100 x 1.06 x 1.06
= $112.36
( $100 x 1.12 = $112 if the interest is compound annually)
EARs and APRs
• Quoted, or nominal rate called “Annual Percentage Rate”
(APR). 报价或称为 " 年利率 " ( APR )的名义利率。
• Rate that incorporates compounding called “Effective
Annual Rate” (EAR). 包含复合的利率称为 " 有效年利
率 " ( EAR )。
• Relationship between APR and EAR

m = compound frequency
Example : EARs vs. APR
• Assumptions :
• Borrow $100 today; 12% annual interest
rate. 今天借 100 美元 ;12% 年利率。
• APR : Loan compounds annually -- you
pay 12.00% APR : 每年的贷款复合物 - 您
支付 12.00%
• EAR : Loan compounds monthly -- you pay
12.68%EAR : 每月贷款复合物 - 您支付
12.68%
Finding Payments on Amortized Loan 寻找摊销贷款的
付款
• Rearrange PV of annuity formula to solve for the payment.
重新安排年金公式的 PV 以解决付款问题。
Example : Payments on Amortized Loan
• Assumptions :

• You need $10,000 to buy a car; Loan term : 4


years; Payment : Monthly. 你需要 10 , 000 美
元才能买一辆车 ; 贷款期限 : 4 年 ; 付款:每月。
• Interest rate : 9% APR
• Use interest rate of 0.75% (= 9%/12) and 48 periods (= 4 x
12)


End of Unit 3

You might also like