Project Analysis & Management Chapter-1-3
Project Analysis & Management Chapter-1-3
Instructor: Sewunet T.
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CHAPTER ONE
General Introduction
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OBJECTIVE
Within time
Within cost
At the desired performance/technology level/
While utilizing the assigned resources effectively
efficiently and
Accepted by the customer
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It is goal oriented.
It is being pursued with a practical end or goal in mind.
A program is thus,
larger in scope,
activity oriented
not necessarily time bound and
its objectives are broader
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Example,
The national goal: Poverty Eradication
Strategy: Increase productivity (in all sectors)
Development program: Increase agricultural
productivity
Activity
Classification of
Project
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plant project
Medium term projects: Construction of a factory Short
term project: Exhibition,trade fair
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Decay (Clean
Level Inception
up )
of
effort Maturity or
Implementation
Time
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its technical,
economic and
financial feasibilities have been established and it is ready for
appraisal.
Each stage follows the proceeding one and leads to the next
Identification
Preparation
Appraisal and Selection
Implementation
Evaluation
Later in 1978, the author has added additional two stages called
The European Commission/Europe Aid Approach
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Identification
Preparation
Appraisal & Selection
Negotiation and Financing
Implementation
Evaluation
The UNIDO Project Cycle
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Pre- Investment
investment
Operation
3. Operation
Commissioning and start-up
Replacement & rehabilitation
Expansion and Innovation
Identification
Pre-feasibilitystudy
Feasibility study
Selection and project design
Implementation
Ex-post evaluation
I. Identification
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1. Macro-level
The commercial,
Technical,
Financial,
Economic and
Environment
Market analysis
Technical analysis
Organizational analysis
Financial analysis
Social – economic analysis, and
Environmental analysis
IV. Selection (project
appraisal)
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The feasibility study would enable the project analyst to select the
most likely project out of several alternative projects. Selection
follows, and often overlaps with the feasibility analysis.
c) Commercial –
the way the necessary inputs for the project are supplied
and the arrangementsfor the supply of the products are
verified
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The effects (positive and negative) are taken into account and
check if all are correctly valued
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In this stage,
funds areactually disbursed to start the project and
keep running
contracts are signed
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Once a project has been carried out the actual progress with the
plans should be evaluated in order to judge whether the
decisions and actions taken were responsible and useful.
1. Generation of ideas
2. Monitoring the environment
3. Corporate appraisal (self-assessment)
4. Preliminary screening
5. Project rating index
3.1. Generation of ideas
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1. Economic aspects
State of the economy
2. National policy
Sectoral policy
Government program
Tax policy
Government support
Financial policy
3. Technological factor
Availability of technology
Accessibility of the available
technology
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6. Nature of input
supply Availability
Cost of raw material
3.3. Self assessment and scouting the project
idea
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C. Availability of inputs
D. Adequacy of the market
E. Cost of the project
F. Acceptability of risk level: The desirability of the
project idea depends upon the level of risk associated with
it
Federal/Central or Regional
Governments
Bilateral and Multilateral Agreements