Chapter 5 Clinical Trials
Chapter 5 Clinical Trials
Introducing clinical
trials
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Introduction: Experimental design
• An experiment can be defined as planned research conducted to obtain new
facts, or to confirm or refute the results of previous experiments
• An experiment helps a researcher to get an answer to some question or to
make an inference about some phenomenon
• In a narrow sense, an experiment is conducted in a controlled environment in
order to study the effects of one or more categorical or continuous variables
on observation
• The planning of an experiment begins with an introduction in which a
problem is generally stated, and a review of the relevant literature including
previous results and a statement of the importance of solution of the problem
• An experimental design declares how to obtain data. Data can come from
observations of natural processes, or from controlled experiments
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4.1. Clinical trial (under controlled conditions)
• A controlled trial is a planned experiment carried out on subjects maintained
in their normal (i.e. usual) environment
• Clinical trials date back to the 18th century, when they provided clues to the
cause of disease
• The provision of citrus fruits to English sailors prevented scurvy, indicating that
the cause (subsequently shown to be vitamin C deficiency) was nutritional
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4.1. Clinical trial…
• In veterinary medicine, effects may include improvements in
production as well as amelioration of clinical disease
• The procedure may be a surgical technique, modification of
management (e.g., diet), or prophylactic or therapeutic
administration of a drug
• A clinical trial would also include studies of pattern of absorption,
metabolism, distribution of drugs within the body and excretion of
active substances
• The term clinical trial is often used synonymously for controlled trial.
However, some authors restrict its use to trials of therapeutic
products and/or trials carried out in a clinical setting
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4.1. Clinical trial…
•Controlled trials: the best way for evaluating animal-health interventions
(better control of potential confounders than observational studies)
•CL is prospective study and is the best study design to address the questions about
treatment or prevention
•Clinical trial uses generally the Randomized Controlled Trial (RCT) format
•Controlled trials are valuable for assessing:-
• Initial trials of therapeutic effect and safety (Used to document the activity of
the drug)
• Phase III trials are much larger (thousands of patients with the condition)
•Studies carried out for the purpose of registration of animal products (Phase III trials)
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4.2. Phases of Clinical Trial…
•Phase III trials
• Need to be carried out according to good clinical practice (GCP) standards
• The results of several randomized trials are often combined, sometimes using a
systematic review and sometimes a meta-analysis.
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4.2. Phases of Clinical Trial…
• The basics on how to comply with GCP
1. Write a good protocol -Weigh risks vs. benefits
2. Obtain IRB/IEC approvals
3. Protect the subjects –
Obtain Informed Consent,
Ensure safety, rights & confidentiality
4. Use qualified study team
5. Handle investigational products appropriately
6. Implement quality systems
7. Record and analyze information appropriately
8. Follow the protocol and trial SOP’s!!!
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4.2. Phases of Clinical Trial…
•Phase IV trials
• Are post-registration trials (after a license has been issued) designed to evaluate the
most effective way of using a product
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4.3. Randomized Controlled Trial (RCT)
• Also called "Randomized Clinical Trial"
• The mainstay of experimental medical studies, normally used in
testing new drugs and treatments
1. A sample of patients with the condition, and who meet other
selection criteria, are randomly allocated to receive either the
experimental treatment, or the control treatment (commonly the
standard treatment for the condition).
2. Occasionally, a placebo or sham treatment will be used in the
control group, but where there already is a standard treatment, it is
unlikely to be ethical to use a placebo.
3. The experimental and control groups are then followed for a set
time, and relevant measurements are taken to indicate the results (or
'outcomes') in each group. 12
4.3. Randomized Controlled Trial (RCT)…
• Not possible to use RCTs to test effects of exposures that are expected to be
harmful, for ethical reasons
• Advantage
• Controls for all main forms of bias
• Good for both etiologic and evaluative research
• Disadvantage
• Often uses selected populations: issues of generalizability?
• Very expensive
• Ethical concerns in etiological applications
• Not appropriate to answer certain types of questions
• it may be unethical, for example, to assign persons to certain treatment or
comparison groups
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4.3. Randomized Controlled Trial (RCT)…
• The "random" of RCT refers to:-
• Random allocation to either experimental or control group;
• It does not refer to random selection or sampling of the patients to include in
the trial
• Do not confuse these two concepts:
• Random selection of a sample ensures that the sample is representative of the
broader population; it is typically used in a survey (an observational study)
• Random allocation ensures the experimental and control groups are
equivalent, but does not ensure they are representative of all patients with the
condition.
• Random allocation is used mainly to avoid confounding
• The major type of experimental study
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4.3. Randomized Controlled Trial (RCT)
…
• To make sure that any differences in the final outcome
measurements were due to your experimental treatment and
not to a confounding factor, you want the two groups to be
comparable on all other factors (you want to control all other
factors)
• If you know about a confounder before beginning the
experiment, you could match the two groups on it (e.g.,
ensure equal numbers of males and females in each group)
• Randomization protects against all potential confounding
factors, both known and unknown
• A basic rule in running a trial is to include everyone in the
analysis, including those who drop out 16
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4 .4.Clinical field trial (Under natural field conditions)
• Ethical considerations
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4.6. Importance of control group
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4.6. Importance of control group…
• For a historical control trial to have any validity, four criteria must be
met
• The outcome being measured must be predictable (e.g. constant
incidence of neonatal diarrhea from year to year)
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4.8. Methods of randomization…
2. Stratified randomization…
• This ensures that all herd factors that might influence the outcome are
balanced across study groups
• 3.Blocked randomization
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4.9. Blinding
• A key component in the effort to prevent bias in controlled trials is the use of
masking (or blinding)
• single-blind study:
• the participant is unaware of the identity of the intervention going to the
study subjects
• help ensure equal follow-up and management of subjects in the various
intervention levels
• Double blind study:
• both the participant and the study team (i.e. people administering the
interventions and assessing the outcomes) are unaware of intervention assignment
• helps ensure equal assessment of the subjects in different intervention levels
• Triple-blind study:
• the investigators analyzing the data are also unaware as to which group received which
treatment
• designed to ensure that the analysis is conducted in an unbiased manner
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4.10. A placebo
• Is a product that is indistinguishable from the product being evaluated and which
is administered to animals in the groups designated to receive the comparison
treatment
• In many drug trials, the placebo is simply the vehicle used for the drug, but
without any active ingredient
• A placebo is an inactive treatment or procedure
• When people know they are taking medication or receiving a treatment, they can
gain a psychological and neurobiological boost which improves their condition.
This is known as the placebo effect
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4.12. Concept of blocks…
• Complete randomized block design
• The term randomized block emanated from agronomic research wherein several
variables or treatments are applied to different blocks of land to study the effect
of replication on experimental effort, such as, yield of different types of
sugarcane by using variable amounts of water to irrigate the fields.
• is a design in which the subjects are matched according to a variable that the
experimenter wishes to control
• The subjects are put into groups (blocks) of the same size as the number of
treatments
• The members of each block are then randomly assigned to different treatment
groups
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4.13. Quasi-experimental designs
• In these, there is an intervention, but it is often not completely
planned by the person doing the research
• Is observational study, but there was also an intervention, although it
was not the experimenter who decided when and how the change
would occur and to whom it would be applied, so this is a "quasi-
experiment."
• Typically, random allocation is not involved.
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4.14. Cross-over trials
• A crossover study, also referred to as a crossover trial/Change-over
trial/ is a longitudinal study in which subjects receive a sequence of
different treatments (or exposures)
• Patients (experimental units) cross over from one treatment to
another during the trial course
• In contrast to a parallel design where patients are randomized to a
treatment and remain on that treatment throughout the trial duration
• Use the participant as their own control
• Each participant gets more than one treatment
• While crossover studies can be observational studies, many important
crossover studies are controlled experiments
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4.14. Cross-over trials…
•A crossover trial has a repeated measures design in which each patient
is assigned to a sequence of treatments, including at least two
treatments (of which one may be a standard treatment or a placebo)
• Popular in medicine, agriculture, manufacturing, education, and
many other disciplines
• Not preferred routinely because of the problems inherent with this
design
• Subjects are randomly allocated to study arms where each arm
consists of a sequence of two or more treatments given consecutively
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4.14. Cross-over trials…
• The simplest model is the AB/BA study. Subjects allocated to the AB
study arm receive treatment A first, followed by treatment B, and vice
versa in the BA arm
If treatment A cures the patient during the first period, treatment B will
not have the opportunity to demonstrate its effectiveness when the
patient crosses over to treatment B in the second period
This type of design works only for those conditions that are chronic, e.g.,
asthma where there is no cure, and the treatments attempt to improve
quality of life
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4.14. Cross-over trials…
• Nearly all crossover designs have "balance", which means that all
subjects should receive the same number of treatments and that all
subjects participate for the same number of periods
• In most crossover trials, in fact, each subject receives all treatments,
usually in a random order
•The issue of "carry-over" between treatments, confounds the estimates
of the treatment effects
•"carry-over" effects can be avoided with a sufficiently long "wash-out"
period between treatments
•However, planning for sufficiently long wash-out periods requires expert
knowledge of the dynamics of the treatment, which is often unknown.
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4.14. Cross-over trials…
• Advantages of cross-over designs
each participant acts as their own control
removes variability between participants,
fewer subjects needed.
• Disadvantages of cross-over designs
Main disadvantage: Carryover effects may be aliased (confounded) with direct
treatment effects, i.e., these effects cannot be estimated separately
A carryover effect: the effect of the treatment from the previous time
period on the response at the current time period
Significant carryover effects can bias the interpretation of data analysis, so
it should be proceeded cautiously whenever considering the
implementation of a crossover design
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4.14. Cross-over trials…
How to deal with this carryover effect?
The incorporation of lengthy washout periods in the experimental design
can diminish the impact of carryover effects
A washout period: the time between treatment periods
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4.14. Cross-over trials…
• Cross-over trials are suitable for:
• chronic diseases (asthma, arthritis)
• symptomatic treatment
• quick, quantitative outcome (attack frequency, lung function, pain
scores)
• early stage in treatment development.
• Cross-over trials are not suitable for:
• acute conditions (myocardial infarction, pneumonia),
• treatment to cure (clot-busters, antibiotics),
• slow or qualitative outcomes (time to recurrence, death),
• later stages in development (side effects of long term treatment).
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4.14. Cross-over trials…
• A sequence: the order of treatment administration in a crossover experiment
• Sequences should be determined a priori, and the experimental units are
randomized to sequences
• A period: the time of a treatment administration
• 2×2 crossover design: 2-sequence, 2-period, 2-treatment, crossover design, with
sequences AB and BA
• Most popular crossover design
• Experimental units, randomized to sequence AB, receive treatments A and B
in the first and second period, respectively; experimental units, randomized
to sequence BA, receive treatments B and A in the first and second period,
respectively
• E.g., to examine the effects of replacing butter with margarine on the
lipoprotein profile of subjects with hypercholesterolaemia
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4.14. Cross-over trials…
• Patients were randomized to a six week butter diet followed by a six week
margarine diet, or the reverse sequence
• The impact on lipoprotein profiles was measured from blood specimens taken in
the last week of each experimental period
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• Table1 : 2×2 crossover design (AB|BA)
Period 1 Period 2
Sequence AB A B
Sequence BA B A
Sequence BAA B A A
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Table 3: 3-period, 2-treatment crossover designs (AAB|ABA|BAA)
Sequence ABA A B A
B A A
Sequence BAA
Sequence BCA B C A
Sequence CAB C A B
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Table 5: 3-period, 3-treatment crossover designs (ABC|BCA|CAB|ACB|BAC|CBA)
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Results from clinical trials
• Typically the outcomes from a clinical trial are summarized using some measure of
incidence
• Incidence is the number of new events in the population or group over a particular
time period
• The event may be death, recovery, occurrence of a disease, relapse, a particular sign
or clinical finding, or any other specific measurement of interest
• The key element here is new events
• Therefore, the animal must be free of that event at the beginning of the study, so that
the event developed after the intervention groups were formed and intervention
initiated
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Results from clinical trials…
•This means that there will always be at least two assessments for the event of interest, one at the beginning of
the study and one later in the study to confirm or deny the event occurred while the patient was undergoing
intervention
•Two common types of incidence are cumulative incidence and incidence density
•Cumulative incidence is the number of individuals that have the event during the study period divided by the
number of individuals that could develop the event at the start of the study (sometimes called population at risk)
•For example, in a randomized clinical trial on the efficacy of Escherichia coli antiserum in neonatal foals, 30 of 138
treated foals became ill with some health problem. This corresponds to a cumulative incidence of 22%
•Incidence density has the same numerator as cumulative incidence but is divided by the sum of the length of
time of observation for all individuals before the event occurred. This denominator is often measured in animal-
years at risk or animal-months at risk
•This measurement is used infrequently in veterinary medicine. However, it can be extremely useful in a setting in
which the time the animals were included in the study varied, as would happen if animals were entered into the
study across a 2-year time period and the study ended 3 years after the first animal was included
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Results from clinical trials…
• Relative risk (RR) is the incidence in the treated group, divided by the incidence
in the control or standard treatment group
• RR greater than one indicates that the event occurred more often in the treated
group than the control
• RR of less than one means that it occurred less frequently in the treated group
than the control or that the treatment is protective for the event
• A RR of one means that there is no difference in the incidence between the two
groups and that there is no association or relationship between the event and
the intervention groups
• However, p-value and CI is needed
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4.15. PILOT STUDY
• A pilot study, pilot project, pilot test, or pilot experiment
• Definitions: A pilot study is
• a mini-version of a full-scale study or a trial run /done in preparation of the
complete study. The latter is also called a ‘feasibility’ study. It can also be a
specific pre-testing of research instruments, including questionnaires or interview
schedules
• a ‘small study to test research protocols, data collection instruments, sample
recruitment strategies, and other research techniques in preparation for a larger
study
• is a small scale preliminary study conducted in order to evaluate feasibility, time,
cost, adverse events, and improve upon the study design prior to performance of
a full-scale research project
• A preliminary investigation intended to collect data to prepare for a larger, more
definitive study
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4.15. PILOT STUDY…
• Generally small in size, scope, duration and budget
• A pilot study allows you to know what things go wrong so you can fix
them before you start the large study
• The pilot study will thus follow after the researcher has a clear vision of
the research topic and questions, the techniques and methods, which
will be applied, and what the research schedule will look like
• It is “reassessment without tears trying out all research techniques and
methods, which the researcher have in mind to see how well they will
work in practice. If necessary it can then still be adapted and modified
accordingly
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4.15. PILOT STUDY…
• A pilot study is one of the important stages in a research project and
is conducted to identify potential problem areas and deficiencies in
the research instruments and protocol prior to implementation during
the full study
• Help members of the research team become familiar with the
procedures in the protocol, and can help them decide between two
competing study methods, such as using interviews rather than a self-
administered questionnaire
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4.15. PILOT STUDY…
The importance of a pilot study
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4.15. PILOT STUDY
• Sample Selection
• By definition, working with small samples. Use as rigorous a strategy as possible
but recognize the risk of less representative samples
• Try to make sure that your pilot subjects cover the entire range of subjects in
your full study
• Do not slap on the label of pilot study when your sample size is too small
• Feasibility
• Beware of the tendency to propose or do too much
• Sample size
• Depends on the objective of the study
• Some pilots don’t require formal sample size calculations
• Enough observations to provide useful information
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4.15. PILOT STUDY
• Design of the pilot is different from that actually employed in the trial
(leading to different effect sizes)
• Pilot is run by the interested, skilled, and dedicated researcher while
the follow-up confirmatory experiment is run by less interested,
skilled, and dedicated personnel (leading to reduced effect sizes in the
follow-up study)
• Analysis
• Be clear about how the data will be interpreted and utilized
• Analyses mainly descriptive although p values or confidence intervals
appropriate in some situations
• Treat results as preliminary and interpret with caution
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4.15. PILOT STUDY
• Budget
• Usually for specific expertise (data management, statistics, consultant), supplies,
part of study assistant effort
• Usually not for investigator salaries, full time study coordinators, equipment, travel
• Pilots help understand resource requirements in full study
• Challenges
• Short time frame
• IRB approval: A pilot takes as long as a large study
• Competing demands on your time: Teaching load changes, more clinic or rounding
time
• Supply chain problems : Animals, reagents, databases hard to get
• Data inconclusive: Uninformative numbers
• Equipment breakdown: Flow cytometer, multiplex assay system not working?
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Key Elements for Studies of Clinical Trials of Treatment or Prevention