Topic 4 Valuation of Future Cashflows - Time Value For Money
Topic 4 Valuation of Future Cashflows - Time Value For Money
Introduction
to Finance
Topic 4
Valuation of Future
Cash Flows – Time
Value of Money
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Acknowledgement Ross et al, 2011, Essentials of Corporate Finance, 7 th Ed, McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc..
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Learning Outcomes
At the end of the lesson, students should:
Be able to compute:
The future value of an investment made today
The present value of cash to be received at some
future date
The return on an investment
The number of periods that equates a present value
and a future value given an interest rate
Be able to solve time value of money problems
using:
Formulas
A financial calculator
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Topic Outline
• Future Value and Compounding
• Present Value and Discounting
• Future and Present Values of
Multiple Cash Flows
• Valuing Level Cash Flows:
Annuities and Perpetuities
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Basic Definitions
• Present Value – earlier money
• Future Value – later money
• Interest rate – “exchange rate” between
earlier money and later money
– Discount rate
– Cost of capital
– Opportunity cost of capital
– Required return
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Effects of Compounding
• Simple interest
– Interest earned only on the original
principal
• Compound interest
– Interest earned on principal and on
interest received
– “Interest on interest” – interest earned
on reinvestment of previous interest
payments
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Compound Interest–Example 2
• Compound interest (interest is earned on
principal and on interest received)
• Consider the previous example
– FV with compound interest = $1,102.50
– The extra $2.50 comes from the interest
of .05($50) = $2.50 earned on the first interest
payment
– OR FV = PV(1 + r)t
= 1000 ( 1 + 0.05)2
= 1000 ( 1.05) ( 1.05)
= 1000 ( 1.1025) = 1,102.50
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Time Line
0 1 2 Year
r = 5%
-1000 1102.50
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Present Values
Present Values
FV = PV(1 + r)t
• Rearrange to solve for PV
PV = FV / (1+r)t
PV = FV(1+r)-t
PV – One-Period Example
• Suppose you need $10,000 in one year for
the down payment on a new car. If you can
earn 7% annually, how much do you need to
invest today?
• PV = $10,000 / (1.07)1 = $9,345.79
• Using Financial Calculator
N = 1 I/Y = 7 FV = 10,000 PMT = 0
CPT PV = – 9,345.79
** 0 = – PV + $10,000 / (1.07)1
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PV – Important Relationship I
• For a given interest rate – the longer the
time period, the lower the present value
(ceteris paribus: all else equal)
– What is the present value of $500 to be
received in 5 years? 10 years? The discount
rate is 10%
– 5 years: PV = $500 / (1.1)5 = $310.46
– 10 years: PV = $500 / (1.1)10 = $192.77
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PV – Important Relationship II
• For a given time period – the higher the
interest rate, the smaller the present value
(ceteris paribus)
– What is the present value of $500 received in
5 years if the interest rate is 10%? 15%?
• Rate = 10%: PV
= $500 / (1.10)5 = $310.46
• Rate = 15%; PV
= $500 / (1.15)5 = $248.59
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Discount Rate
• Often, we will want to know what the
implied interest rate is in an investment
• Rearrange the basic PV equation and
solve for r
FV = PV(1 + r)t
r = (FV / PV)1/t – 1
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= .172686 = 17.27%
N = 17; FV = 75,000; PV = - 5,000;
CPT I/Y = 17.27%
Practice
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Number of Periods–Example 1
• You want to purchase a new car and you
are willing to pay $20,000. If you can invest
at 10% per year and you currently have
$15,000, how long will it be before you have
enough money to pay cash for the car?
t = ln($20,000 / $15,000) / ln(1.1) =
3.02 years
I/Y = 10; FV = 20,000; PV = - 15,000;
CPT N = 3.02 years
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Table 4.4
Revision
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Comprehensive Problem
• You have $10,000 to invest for five years.
• How much additional interest will you earn
if the investment provides a 5% annual
return, when compared to a 4.5% annual
return?
• How long will it take your $10,000 to
double in value if it earns 5% annually?
• What annual rate has been earned if
$1,000 grows into $4,000 in 20 years?
Practice
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Practice
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Multiple Cash Flows – FV Example
• So far you have dealt with present value
of single future value or future value of
single present value
• We next explore FVs and PVs for multiple
c/flows
• Example :
– You can deposit $4k at the end of each
of the next 3 years at 8%
– You currently have $7k
– How much will you have in 3 years? 4
years?
FV ? FV ?
Yr 0 Yr 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 29
$7k $4k $4k $4k
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FV ?
Yr 0 Yr 1 Yr 2
500 600
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Example 2 Continued
• Suppose you invest $500 in a mutual fund
today and $600 in one year. If the fund pays
9% annually, how much will you have in two
years?
• Using formula:
FV = $500(1.09)2 + $600(1.09) = $1,248.05
• Calculator:
Year 0: N = 2; I/Y = 9; PV = 500; CPT FV = 594.05
Year 1: N = 1; I/Y = 9; PV = 600; CPT FV = 654.00
Total FV = 594.05 + 654.00 = 1,248.05
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Multiple Cash Flows –
PV Example
• You are considering an investment that will
pay you $1,000 in one year, $2,000 in two
years and $3,000 in three years. If you want
to earn 10% on your money, how much would
you be willing to pay?
PV = $1,000 / (1.1)1 = $909.09
PV = $2,000 / (1.1)2 = $1,652.89
PV = $3,000 / (1.1)3 = $2,253.94
PV = $909.09 + 1,652.89 + 2,253.94
= $4,815.93
Practice
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Time Line
Practice
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You are attempting to find the annuity value where PV is $3500
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Calculator:
N = 1; I/Y = 10; FV = 1,000; CPT PV = -909.09
N = 2; I/Y = 10; FV = 2,000; CPT PV = -1,652.89
N = 3; I/Y = 10; FV = 3,000; CPT PV = -2,253.94
PV = $909.09 + 1,652.89 + 2,253.94
= $4,815.93
NPV Function:
• CF [2ND CLR WORK] CF0= 0 C01=1000
F01=1 C02=2000 F02=1 C03=3000 F03=1
NPV I=10 CPT NPV= 4815.93
Practice
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Reading
• Ross Chapter 5
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