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Lecture 5 Index Numbers

This document provides an overview of index numbers. It discusses the concept of index numbers, how they allow for relative comparisons over time, and the areas they are used to measure trends, including stock prices, cost of living, production and more. It also outlines different types of index numbers like simple index numbers (fixed base vs chain base), simple aggregate indexes, and simple mean indexes. Finally, it reviews several well-known indexes like the Consumer Price Index, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq Index.

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22 views

Lecture 5 Index Numbers

This document provides an overview of index numbers. It discusses the concept of index numbers, how they allow for relative comparisons over time, and the areas they are used to measure trends, including stock prices, cost of living, production and more. It also outlines different types of index numbers like simple index numbers (fixed base vs chain base), simple aggregate indexes, and simple mean indexes. Finally, it reviews several well-known indexes like the Consumer Price Index, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq Index.

Uploaded by

rosov22401
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© © All Rights Reserved
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Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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LECTURE 5

INDEX NUMBERS

Indira Khadjieva
Hasan Kamrul
QM Module Leaders
[email protected]
[email protected]

Office hours: by appointment


Room IB 205
EXT: 546
Lecture Outline

To understand the concept of index number and its use in


economics, finance and business

To represent data in terms of index numbers

To employ simple and aggregate index numbers to measure price


changes over time

To understand some well-known indices sush as Consumer Price


Index, Dow Jones Industrial Averages, the Nasdaq Index
Index Numbers
Index number is the measure of change in a variable over
time

Index numbers allows relative comparisons over time

They are typically used in economics to measure trends in


a wide variety of areas including: stock market prices, cost
of living, imports, exports, industrial or agricultural
production and etc,.
Simple Index numbers

When an item is considered:


1) Fixed base index
2) Chain base index

When a group of items are considered:


1) Simple mean index
2) Simple aggregate index
AAPL Income Statement
Fixed Base Index
• Definition: each value is compared with a value in the same (fixed)
base period.
yt
I y  100
y0
Where
Iy = index number of variable ‘y’
Yt = value of variable ‘y’ at time t
Y0 = value of variable ‘y’ in the base period
AAPL Income statement: Fixed Base Index
Chain Base Index
Definition each value is compared with a value
in the preceding period

Where
Iy = index number of commodity ‘y’
Yt = value of commodity ‘y’ at time t
Y0 = value of commodity ‘y’ in the base period
AAPL Income statement: Chain Base Index
Activity 1
Year GDP Uzbekistan (billions USD)
2020 57.71 Task
2019 57.73
2018 50.39
a) Calculate the chain-based index
2017 59.16 for the 2010-2020 years.
2016 81.78
2015 81.85
2014 76.66 b) Calculate the fixed-based index
2013 69
2012 63.63 for 2019 making 2011 the base year.
2011 56.52
2010 46.68
Hypothetical Index Composites
Simple Aggregate Index

Definition the index is calculated by finding the ratio of the


sum of the current values to the sum of the base values.

Where
Pc = the current value of an item,
P0 = the base value of the item
n = number of items
Simple Aggregate Index
Simple Mean Index

Definition the index is calculated by finding the average (mean)


of all the individual price relatives

Where
Pc = the current value of an item,
Pc = the base value of the item
n = number of items
Simple Mean Index
Uses of index numbers

 As Economic barometers

 Assist in formulating suitable economic policies

 Used in studying trends and tendencies

 Measure the Purchasing Power of Money


The Consumer Prices Index
Consumer Price Index (CPI) - is defined as the change in the prices
of a basket of goods and services that are typically purchased by
specific groups of households.

CPI is the main index used


to measure Inflation
Activity 2 Cost of purchasing
Item 2018 2019 2020 2021

Lamb (4 kilo) 198 000 255 000 300 000 320 000
Eggs (18 dozen) 10 190 12 540 18 000 21 000
Bread (10 pieces) 12 000 14 000 16 000 17 500
Tea (200 g) 50 000 87 000 92 000 98 000
Cottage Cheese (400 10 900 12 300 13 800 15 000
g)
Dow Jones Industrial Averages

 The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) - price-weighted average of 30 blue-


chip stocks that are generally the leaders in their industry.

 Widely followed indicator of the stock market since October 1, 1928.

 30 most important market-leading companies on the American stock exchange


and reflects their growth
The Nasdaq Index

 The Nasdaq 100 includes the shares of the 100 largest American and
international companies as measured by their market capitalization which do
not come from the financial sector and which are traded on the largest
electronic stock exchange in the USA.

The shares included in it are weighted according to market capitalization

 The index level represents the average of the shares included in it.

 Dividend payments are not considered when calculating the index.


Concluding remarks

Today, you learnt:

 The method of indexing data


 The different types of indices used to show the change of the data
over time
Essential readings

 Jon Curwin…, “Quantitative methods…”, Ch 7


 Glyn Burton…, “Quantitative methods…”, Ch 8
 Richard Thomas, “Quantitative methods…”, Ch 5.1-5.3
 Mik Wisniewski…, “Foundation Quantitative…”, Ch 7
 Clare Morris, “Quantitative Approaches…”, Ch 7
 Louise Swift “Quantitative methods…”, Ch DD2.

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