Probability of An Event
Probability of An Event
OBJECTIV
ES:
At the end of the lesson, the learners should be able
to:
• understand simple events;
• solve for the probability of simple events, solve for
the complement and the odds of an event; and
• show cooperation in group activities.
START
Instructions
1. Click the questions button at
the left part to reveal the
question.
2. If they got the correct answer,
click the “Click to move”
button at the bottom left
corner to move the pirate.
3. If they finally reach the
treasure chest, click the
treasure chest to reveal
what’s inside.
START
LEVEL 1
LEVEL 2
LEVEL 3
LEVEL 4
LEVEL 5
LEVEL 6
LEVEL 7
Click to
Move
Question # 1
Reveal Answer
Answer for # 1
EXPERIMENT
Reveal Answer
Answer for # 2
SAMPLE SPACE
Reveal Answer
Answer for # 3
OUTCOME
Reveal Answer
Answer for # 4
TRIAL
Reveal Answer
Answer for # 5
EVENT
Reveal Answer
Answer for # 6
PROBABILITY
Reveal Answer
Answer for # 7
SIMPLE EVENT
P(E) =
EXAMPLE
1:
When tossing a coin two times, what is the
probability of at least getting a tail?
Solution:
Favorable outcomes = 3 (T)
Total no. of outcomes = 4 (HH, HT, TH,
TT)
1st toss 2nd Toss Outcomes
P(E) = Head HH
Head
P(E) = Tail HT
Solution:
Favorable outcomes = 4 (QH, QS, QC, QD)
Total no. of outcomes = 52
P(E) =
P(E) = or
P(E) = 0.08
EXAMPLE
4:
Picking a card
P(Picking a Jack) = P(E) = 4/52 = 1/13
P(Not picking a Jack) = P() = 48/52 = 12/13
P(E) + P() = 1/13 + 12/13
=1
Properties of Probability
Property 1. Probabilities are always between 0 and 1.
0 P(E) 1
Property 2. The probability of the event and the complement of an
event is equal to 1.
P(E) + P() = 1
Property 3. The probability of the event is equal to 1 minus the
probability of the complement of an event.
P(E) = 1 - P()
Property 4. The complement of an event is equal to 1 minus the
probability of the event
P() = 1 – P(E)
Properties of Probability
1. If the probability of an event is 3/8, what
is the probability of its complement?
Solution:
P() = 1 – P(E)
Property 1) 0 P(E) 1
P() = 1 – 3/8
Property 2) P(E) + P() = 1 P() = 5/8
2. If the complement event is 7/20, what is
Property 3) P(E) = 1 - P()
the probability of the event?
Solution:
Property 4) P() = 1 – P(E)
P(E) = 1 - P()
P(E) = 1 – 7/20
P(E) = 13/20
Properties of Probability
1. If the probability of an event is 3/8, what
is the probability of its complement?
Solution:
P() = 1 – P(E)
Property 1) 0 P(E) 1
P() = 1 – 3/8
Property 2) P(E) + P() = 1 P() = 5/8
2. If the complement event is 7/20, what is
Property 3) P(E) = 1 - P()
the probability of the event?
Solution:
Property 4) P() = 1 – P(E)
P(E) = 1 - P()
P(E) = 1 – 7/20
P(E) = 13/20
Odds of an Event
- The odds of an event is the ratio of the probability of an
event to the probability of its complement.
- It is the ratio of favorable outcomes to unfavorable
outcomes.
Solution:
Favorable outcomes: 3 – HT, TH, TT
Unfavorable outcome: 1 – HH
Therefore, the odds for it landing tails at
least once are 3 to 1, or 3:1.
Odds of an Event
If the probability of an event happening is 3/7, what are the
odds for that event?
Odds of an Event
If the probability of an event happening is 3/7, what are the
odds for that event?
Solution:
Since the probability of the event is 3/7, the probability of its
complement is 4/7.
Therefore, the odds for that event is 3/7:4/7 or 3:4.
QUIZ
Answer the following questions on a ¼ sheet of paper. (10 minutes)
A. From a standard deck of 52 cards, what is B. In rolling a die, what is the probability of
the probability of having
1. picking a black card? – 26/52 or ½ 5. a number greater than 3? – 3/6 or ½
2. picking a face card? – 12/52 or 3/13 6. a prime number? – 3/6 or ½
3. not picking a face card? – 40/52 or 10/13 7. a multiple of 2? – 3/6 or ½
4. picking a red face card? – 6/52 or 3/26 8. a number between 1 and 5? - 3/6 or ½
C. Complementary Events
9. What is the complement event of rolling a 5 on a die? – Rolling a 1,2,3,4, and 6
10. What is the complement event of getting rejected by your crush after a
confession? – Getting your feelings reciprocated
Do you have any questions?
@Princess Pauline Laiz