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Probability of Simple Event

Here are the answers to your questions: A. Probability is a measure of how likely an event is to occur. It is expressed as a number between 0 and 1, where 0 means the event cannot occur and 1 means the event is certain or definitely going to occur. B.1. The probability of choosing the letter E is 4/14 = 2/7 B.2. The probability of getting an 8 from a deck of 52 cards is 0 since there is no 8 card. B.3. The probability of choosing a day that starts with S is 2/7 since there are only 2 days out of 7 in a week (Saturday and Sunday) that start with S.

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LEONEL (MALIGAYA) NEBRIA
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123 views

Probability of Simple Event

Here are the answers to your questions: A. Probability is a measure of how likely an event is to occur. It is expressed as a number between 0 and 1, where 0 means the event cannot occur and 1 means the event is certain or definitely going to occur. B.1. The probability of choosing the letter E is 4/14 = 2/7 B.2. The probability of getting an 8 from a deck of 52 cards is 0 since there is no 8 card. B.3. The probability of choosing a day that starts with S is 2/7 since there are only 2 days out of 7 in a week (Saturday and Sunday) that start with S.

Uploaded by

LEONEL (MALIGAYA) NEBRIA
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Good morning!

Prayer
RECAP
You will identify if the given
situation is Experiment, Sample
Space, Event, or Outcome.
Two friends, Tom and Lisa, are playing a game where they roll a EXPERIMENT
six-sided die to determine their outcomes.

Before rolling the die, Tom examined all of its sides to determine OUTCOME
that there were six potential results that might appear: 1, 2, 3, 4,
5, and 6.

Tom and Lisa decide to see who can roll an even number. They b
oth take turns rolling the die. EVENT

Tom rolls the die and gets a 4, which is an even number. He chee OUTCOME
rs and claims victory in the game. Lisa rolls the die next and gets
a 3, which is an odd number. She pouts and admits defeat in the
game.
NEXT
EXPERIMEN
T
SAMPLE
SPACE
EVENT
OUTCOME
COIN FLIP
Game Name: Candy Flip
Genre: Betting/Chance-Based Game
Objective: The objective of the game is to accumulate the most number of
candies by winning coin flip rounds and ultimately become the grand winner
to claim the pot prize.
MECHANICS
1. Candy Distribution: Each 2. Round Betting: In each round, 3. Coin Flip: A coin is flipped,
student starts with one candy at students have the option to and the outcome is
the beginning of the game. participate or not. If they determined as either
choose to play, they must bet "Heads" or "Tails."
their candy for a chance to win
more.

4. Matching Outcome: Before 5. Winning the Round: If a


flipping the coin, a participant's prediction matches the
predetermined outcome announced outcome, they win the
(either Heads or Tails) is round. The winner receives an
announced for that particular additional candy from the pot. If
round. Participants must the prediction does not match, the
match the announced participant loses their bet candy,
outcome to win the round. which goes into the pot.
6. Next Round Participation: After
each round, winners have the option 7. Grand Winner: The game continues until there
to participate again in the subsequent is only one player left. The last remaining player
round or to stop playing. If they becomes the grand winner and claims the pot
choose to continue, they must bet one prize.
candy from their existing collection.
Non-winners keep their candy and
have the choice to participate or not in
the next round. Players with no more
candies to bet can no longer
participate.
HEAD
Next Round
TAIL
Next Round
TAIL
Next Round
Probability of
Simple Event
Objectives:
a. Define probability and simple
events
• At the end of this lesson, the
students are able to:
b. Determine the probability of
simple events

c. Apply the concept of


probability to real-life
scenarios
Free the Animal
Mechanics
 Players place their markers (animals) in any of the 6 cages. They may have more
than one animal in any cage and they may leave other cages empty, if desired.
 Players use the recording sheets to record the outcomes rolling the die
 Player A rolls one die and frees one animal from that number cage, if there is an
animal in the cage. (For example, if Player A tosses a 4, Player A would free one
animal from Cage #4, if there is an animal in that cage.)
 Player B rolls one die and frees one animal from that number cage, if there is an
animal in the cage.
 Play continues until one group frees all of his/her animals. This player is the
winner.
What comes into your mind when you
hear the word probability?
Probability – is the measure of how likely an event is to occur. The more
likely an event is to occur, the higher its probability. The less likely an event
is to occur, the lower its probability.

Simple event – it is an event which has a single outcome.


JUST AS LIKELY

HALF HALF

1 1
2 2
CERTAIN: 1
6
What is the probability of getting a 4?

Favorable outcome 1

All possible outcomes 6


𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑓𝑎𝑣𝑜𝑟𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑠
P=
𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑎𝑙𝑙 𝑝𝑜𝑠𝑠𝑖𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑠
1 2 3 4
1 2 3 4
1. The probability of any event is a
number (either a fraction, a
decimal, or a percent)
1. The probability of any event is a number (either a fraction,
a decimal, or a percent)

Example::
The weather forecast shows 70% of rain.

7
𝑃 ( 𝑟𝑎𝑖𝑛 ) =70 % 𝑜𝑟 0.7 𝑜𝑟
10

Rules
2. If an event will never happen,
then its probability is 0.
2. If an event will never happen, then its probability is 0.

Example: When a single die is rolled, find the probability of


getting an 8.

Since the sample space consists of 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6. It is


impossible to get an 8.

Therefore, 0
𝑃 (8)= ¿ 0
6

Rules
3. If an event is sure to happen,
then the probability is 1.
2. If an event will never happen, then its probability is 0.

Example: When a single die is rolled, what is the probability


of getting a number less than 7?
Favorable outcomes: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
All possible outcome: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Therefore, 6
𝑃 ( 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑙𝑒𝑠𝑠 𝑡h𝑎𝑛 7 ) = =1
6

Rules
4. The sum of the probabilities of
all outcomes in the sample
space is 1.
If a fair coin is flipped,

1 1
𝑃 ( 𝑇 ) = ¿ 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑃 ( 𝐻 )
2 2
𝑃 ( 𝑇 ) + 𝑃 ( 𝐻 ) =1
1 1
+ =1
2 2
REMINDER

ANSWERS SHOULD BE IN
SIMPLIFIED FORM
GROUP ACTIVITY

Situation: Pick and Carry is having an IPOD giveaway. They put all the
IPOD shuffles in a bag. Customers may choose an IPOD without
looking at the color. Inside the bag, there are 4 orange, 5 blue, 6 green
and 5 pink IPODS.

Group 1. If Maria chooses one IPOD at random, what is the probability


that she will choose an orange IPOD?
Group 2. If Maria chooses one IPOD at random, what is the probability
that she will choose a blue IPOD?
Group 3. If Maria chooses one IPOD at random, what is the probability
that she will choose a green IPOD?
Group 4. If Maria chooses one IPOD at random, what is the probability
that she will choose a pink IPOD?
Accuracy Most of the answers are Little to none of the
All the answers are correct
correct answers are correct
GROUP ACTIVITY

Situation: Pick and Carry is having an IPOD giveaway. They put all the
IPOD shuffles in a bag. Customers may choose an IPOD without
looking at the color. Inside the bag, there are 4 orange, 5 blue, 6 green
and 5 pink IPODS.

Group 1. If Maria chooses one IPOD at random, what is the probability


that she will choose an orange IPOD?
Group 2. If Maria chooses one IPOD at random, what is the probability
that she will choose a blue IPOD?
Group 3. If Maria chooses one IPOD at random, what is the probability
that she will choose a green IPOD?
Group 4. If Maria chooses one IPOD at random, what is the probability
that she will choose a pink IPOD?
Answer
1. P(orange) = 4/20 = 1/5 = 0.2 = 20%

2. P(blue) = 5/20 = 1/4 = 0.25 = 25%

3. P(green) = 6/20 = 3/10 = 0.30 = 30%

4. P(pink) = 5/20 = 1/4 = 0.25 = 25%


Let’s have a recap on what
we’ve learned today!
1. The probability of any event is a number either a
_________,fraction
a _________ and a _______.
decimal percent
2. If an event will never happen, then its probability is
___________. 0
3. If an event is sure to happen, then the probability is
__. 1
4. The sum of the probabilities of all outcomes in the
sample space is __. 1
DIRECTION: Answer directly in a ¼ sheet of paper.
A. Define probability (3pts)
B. Find the probability of the following: (2pts each)
1. If a letter is chosen at the random from the word
PERSEVERANCE, what is the probability that the letter
chosen is E?

2. What is the probability of getting an 8 from a deck of 52


cards?

3. Earl Darenz is asked to choose a day from a week. What is


the probability of choosing a day which starts with S?

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