Module 2 - National Income and Its Determination
Module 2 - National Income and Its Determination
determination
National Income:
Examples:
Indian Reporter placed in Iraq sends his income back to India to be included
in India’s GNP
German investor who transfers her profits earned in India back to Germany –
Excluded from India’s GNP.
Indian based airline ‘Vistara’ generates revenue from its overseas operations
should be included in India’s GNP.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
Gross domestic product (GDP) is defined as the total value of all the final
goods and services produced by all the enterprises (both resident and non-
resident) within the domestic territory of a country in a particular year.
The GDP, one of the most essential macroeconomic variables, can be said to
measure both a nation’ total income and its total output of goods and services.
It is believed to be one of the best indicators of judging an economy’
performance.
In calculating the GDP,
(1) only market prices are used as they reveal the willingness of the public to pay
for a good or a service;
(2) only the value of currently produced goods and services are included.
Contd.
Real GDP is the total value of the final goods and services calculated at
constant prices.(adjusted for inflation)
It is calculated using the prices of a selected base year.
Real value is not influenced by changes in price, it is only impacted by
changes in quantity.
Base year in India: 2011-12
Contd.
Measurement of Real GDP:
Real GDP can be calculated in following two ways:
(1) by using base year prices;
(2) by using chain weighted measures
GDP and the Other Measures of Income:
From the GDP, we can arrive at the other measures of income in the national income accounts.
Gross National Product (GNP):
Personal income is the income received by the households and the non-
corporate businesses.
It includes income from all sources.
Personal Income = National Income (NI) - (Corporate Profits + Social Security
Contributions+Net Interest) + (Dividends +Transfers from Government to
individuals + Personal Interest Income)
Contd.
We can arrive at the personal income from the national income by making some
adjustments in the following sectors:
(1) Corporate sector:
(a) Deduction to be made from the national income of undistributed corporate
profits (or retained earnings) and the corporate taxes paid to the state.
(b) Addition to be made to the national income of dividends.
(2 ) Government sector:
(a) Deduction of the contributions to social insurance.
(b) Addition to be made of the net amount the government pays as transfer
payments to the individuals.
Contd.
The GDP price deflator measures the changes in prices for all of the
goods and services produced in an economy.
The GDP price deflator is a more comprehensive inflation measure
than the CPI index because it isn't based on a fixed basket of goods.
The GDP deflator is a measure of inflation.
It is the ratio of the value of goods and services an economy produces in a
particular year at current prices to that of prices that prevailed during the base
year.
This ratio helps show the extent to which the increase in gross domestic
product has happened on account of higher prices rather than increase in
output.
GDP at Market Price and Factor Cost
GDP at Market Price:
GDPMP = GDPFC + Indirect Taxes- Subsidies
GDP at Factor Cost:
GDPFC = GDPMP -Indirect Taxes+ Subsidies
Gross Value Added (GVA):
GVA at basic prices =GVA at factor cost + (Production taxes less production
subsidies)
GDP at market prices = GVA at basic prices + Product taxes – Product subsidies
Basic price = Factor cost + Production taxes – Production subsidy
Contd.
Most of the international agencies including IMF report GDP at Market Prices.
This led to confusion between calculations made by India (done at FC) and
International agencies(done at MP)
India started the calculations at MP from 2015
Source:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/india-changes-gdp-calculation-method-142262
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IMPUTATIONS IN GDP
Imputed value is an assumed value given to an item when the actual value is
not known or available.
Gross domestic product (GDP) is a comprehensive measure of the nation’s
production.
In order to be comprehensive, it must include some goods and services that
are not traded in the market place.
Those components of the GDP are called imputations.
Examples include the services of owner-occupied housing, financial services
provided without charge, and the treatment of employer-provided health
insurance.
Treatment of certain transactions in
GDP
4)Services of homemaker/housewives-
should ideally be included. But is not accounted for.
“If you hire a caretaker and pay her salary, the GDP will go up. But if the same
work is done by woman in the family without any payment then the GDP will
go down.”
5)Services of consumer durables-
should be included. Imputed values are used for the durable goods which are
owned by households.
National Income Accounting Identity:
Theoretically, the three approaches must yield the same result because the
total expenditures on goods and services (GNE) must be equal to the total
income paid out to the producers (GNI), and that in turn must also be equal to
the total value of the output of goods and services (GNP).
Contd.
1. Output Approach:
It is also called the product method or the value added method.
To estimate the GDP by this approach, the total value of all the final goods and
services produced in an economy during a given time period are estimated.
Value Added or Value Addition = Value of Output - Intermediate Consumption
What is Intermediate Consumption?
All inputs other than factor inputs of land, labor, capital and entrepreneurship. Basically
all raw materials.
What is a Value of output?
It refers to the market value of goods and services produced by a firm during an
accounting year (Price*quantity).
Contd.
If the entire output of the year is sold during the year, value of output = Sales
If some output remains unsold during the year then,
Value of Output = Sales + Change in Stock
Gross Value Added by all the producing enterprises within the domestic territory of the
country (Primary sector + Secondary sector + Tertiary sector).
= Gross Domestic Product at market price (GDPmp)
(-) Depreciation
= Net Domestic Product at market price (NDPmp)
(-) Net Indirect Taxes
= Net Domestic Product at factor cost (NDPfc)
(+) Net Factor Income from Abroad
= National Income (NNPfc)
Contd.
Example:
Country A and B produced goods of factor cost $100.
Suppose Net Indirect Taxes (tax-subsidies) in country A is $20 and in country B
is $5.
NNP mp of A is $120 and of B is $105.
But actual production was same $100.
Hence it is not fair to compare National Income at MP because the difference is
just caused by taxes and subsidies, and not actual production.
Contd.
The output approach: It is also called the product method or the value added
method.
To estimate the GDP by this approach, the total value of all the final goods and
services produced in an economy during a given time period are estimated.
The stages involved are: (a) Estimation of gross value of the domestic product:
Firstly, this involves a classification of the production enterprises according to
their activities.
The three sectors here are the primary sector that relates to agriculture and
allied activities, secondary sector(manufacturing sector) that includes all units
engaged in producing material goods and tertiary sector (services sector) that
includes all the units engaged in producing services like banking and transport.
Contd.
Secondly, the gross value or the value of the output is estimated from all the sectors
in two ways:
(i) By multiplying the output of each sector with the respective price and then summing
them up.
(ii) By adding up the sales and change in stocks.
b. Estimation of the intermediate cost of production and depreciation: While
intermediate costs are estimated by including expenditure on non-factor inputs like raw
materials, electricity and fuel used in the production process, depreciation may be
estimated as a percentage of output or as a percentage of capital.
Deduction of the intermediate cost of production and depreciation from the gross
value to arrive at the net value of the domestic product.
Contd.
2. The income approach: It is also called the factor income method or factor share
method.
To estimate the GDP by this approach, the total sum of the factor payments
received during a given period is estimated.
National income is measured in terms of factor payment (wages. rent, interest and
profit) to the owners of factors of production during an accounting year.
However, in the estimation of national income, only those household are
considered who are residents of the country.
National income is estimated as the sum total of the factor income earned by the
residents of the country during an accounting year.
Net factor income from abroad is added to domestic to final national income.
Contd.
Depending on the way the income is earned, it can be classified into five
components:
(a) Employee’ compensation: the wages, salaries, and the fringe benefits
received by the workers. (Fringe benefits are benefits in addition to an employee's
wages: pension plans, profit-sharing programs, vacation pay, and company-paid life,
health, and unemployment insurance programs)
(b) Proprietor’ income: includes the incomes of non-corporate businesses
including small firms.
(c) Rental income: which includes all the rental income earned by the owners
of properties including the imputed rent on the houses which are self owned.
(d) Corporate profits: which include the incomes of corporations after having
made payments to the workers, creditors and others.
Contd.
(e) Net interest: which includes the interest paid by the domestic business to
households after deducting the interest received and also interest earned from
abroad.
All the different categories of income are added together to obtain the GDP
from the income method.
Contd.
It must be noted that factor incomes are only 'earned' incomes.
It does not include any income which is not earned or for which a factoring
service has not been rendered.
To illustrate, old age pension received by the senior citizens is not their
earned income. It is just a help by the government without anything in return.
Such receipts or payments are called transfer receipts or transfer payments.
These are not included in the estimation of national income.
Measurement of National Income using Income
Method
(+) Compensation of Employees
(+) Proprietor’s income
(+) Rental income
(+) Corporate profits
(+) Net interest
= Net Domestic Income
(+) Net Factor Income from Abroad
= National Income (NNPfc)
Contd.
Investment Expenditure: It consists of goods and services bought for use in the
future.
It can be further grouped into three categories:
(i) Business fixed investment: the purchase of new plant and equipment by
firms.
(ii) Residential investment: the purchase of new housing by households and
others.
(iii) Inventory investment: the change in the inventory of goods of the firm.
This change can be positive or negative depending on whether the inventories
increase or decrease.
Contd.
Government Purchases:
They include the goods and services bought by the different governments like
defense equipment.
It is to be noted that transfer payments to the individuals like social security
payments are not included in the GDP as they are not the payments for any
goods and services.
Net Exports: They are the values of goods and services exported to other
countries minus the value of goods and services imported into the country.
(X-M).
A sum of all these different expenditures will give the GDP by the expenditure
method.
Measurement of National Income using Expenditure Method.
(+) Private Final Consumption Expenditure (C)
(+) Government Final Consumption Expenditure (G)
(+) Gross Fixed Capital Formation (I)
(+) Change in stock or Inventory Investment
(+) Net Exports (exports-imports) (X-M)
= Gross Domestic Product at market price (GDP mp)
(-) Depreciation
= Net Domestic Product at market price
(-) Net Indirect Taxes
= Net Domestic Product at factor cost (NDPfc)
(+) Net Factor Income from Abroad
= National Income (NNP fc)
Contd.
It is important to understand that all the three methods discussed above yield
the GDP at market price or the GDP for a closed economy.
To arrive at the GDP for an open economy, we need to add to it the net factor
incomes earned from abroad.
Hence we will now obtain what is called the Gross National Income, GNI.
As already mentioned, theoretically, the three approaches must yield the
same result. However, in practice there exist minor differences in results
obtained from the various methods for several reasons; some of them are:
Contd.
1) Changes in inventory levels and errors in the statistics. This occurs because
the goods, which are in inventory have been produced (and are therefore
included in GNP), but they are not yet sold (and are therefore not yet included in
GNE).
(2) Issues relating to timing can cause a slight difference between the value of
goods produced (GNP) and the payments to the factors involved in the
production of the goods.
This is particularly so if the inputs are bought on credit, and also because the
wages are often collected after the production period.
National Income Identities:
Gross Domestic Product at Market Prices(GDPMP):
GDPmp=C + I +G+ (X-M)
GDP at Factor Cost(GDPfc):
GDPfc=GDPmp-Net Indirect Taxes
Net Domestic Product at Market Prices(NDPmp)
NDPmp=GDPmp-Depreciation
NDP at Factor Cost(NDPfc):
NDPfc = NDPmp- Net Product Taxes - Net Production Taxes
Gross National Product at Market Prices (GNPmp):
GNPmp = GDPmp + NFIA (Net factor income from abroad)
Contd.