Or Lecturen
Or Lecturen
MANAGEMENT SCIENCE
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I. INTRODUCTION TO THE SUBJECT MATTER
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1.1 OR: Origin and Meaning:
Operations Research (OR) started just
before World War II in Britain with the
establishment of teams of scientists to study
the strategic and tactical problems involved
in military operations.
The objective was to find the most effective
utilization of limited military resources by
the use of quantitative techniques.
Following the war, numerous peacetime
applications emerged, leading to the use of
3
1.2 Features of OR:
Operations Research:
1) Primarily Addressed to the Managerial Decision
Making and Problem Solving;
2) Employs the Scientific Approach to Decision Making;
3) Employs Objective Measures (such as Profit, Return
on Investment, Cost) of Effectiveness as the Basis to
Compare the Alternative Courses of Action;
4) Interdisciplinary in Nature and Requires a Team
Approach to a Solution of the Problem;
5) Uses Digital Computer as an Integral Part of Its
Approach.
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1.3 The Scope of OR Applications to Business
Decision Making:
The Breadth of Application of OR to Decision
Making is usually Wide, including:
1) Finance and Accounting
2) Marketing
3) Production Management
4) Personnel Management
5) General Management
6) Stock re-ordering policies
7) Transport schedules
8) Product mix and Production flows
9) Allocation problems i.e. which jobs should be allocated to
which machines
10) Time wasted queuing at issuing, counters
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1.4 Fundamental Utilities/Functions/Advantages /Purposes of OR
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1.6 Modeling on OR
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1.7 Methods of Driving the Solution to an OR
Model
I. The Analytical Method
Involves:
Expressions of the Model by:
Graphic Solutions or
Mathematical Calculations.
All the Tools of Classical Mathematics such as Calculus, Set
Theory, etc. are used for Analysis.
Example: The Geometric/Graphical Method of Solving LPPs .
II. The Numerical/Iterative/Trial and Error
Method
Starts from an Initial Solution/Trial, and Repeated with Certain
Rules so that the Initial Solution is Gradually Modified at each
Subsequent Step Till Optimal Solution is Obtained.
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OR Methods Contd……….
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1.8 Some Useful Techniques and Theories of OR:
Linear Programming Technique,
Goal Programing Technique,
Transportation Algorism Technique,
Assignment Algorism Technique,
Decision Theory and Decision Tree,
Game Theory,
Queuing Theory, etc.
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1.9 Limitations of OR in Practice (Managerial Activities):
1. Inaction Gap:
In Practice there is an Inaction Gap Existing between Most
Managers and Operations Research.
2. Quantification Techniques:
In Practice there are Huge Qualitative Measures of
Effectiveness in Managerial Activities.
3. Finite Variables:
In Practice there are Unlimited Number of Variables in
Managerial Activities.
4. Limited Number of Constraints:
In Practice there are Unlimited Number of Constraints in
Managerial Activities.
5. Single Objective Function:
In Practice More than One Objective Function Exist in
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UNIT-II:
LINEAR PROGRAMMING TECHNIQUES FOR
OPTIMAL ALLOCATION OF SCARECE RESOURCES
a)2 x1 + 5 x2 ≤ 40;
b)4 x1 + 1x2 ≤ 20;
c) 10 x1 + 5 x2 ≤ 60
X1 , x2 ≥ 0.
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Step iii: Convert the Inequalities into
Equalities
a)2 x1 + 5 x2 = 40;
b)4 x1 + 1x2 = 20;
c) 10 x1 + 5 x2 = 60
Step iv: Draw the Graph of Each Constraint
by Identifying X- and Y-Intercepts:
A. The Y- and X-Intercepts of Constraints a, b and c:
Constraint ‘a’ Intercepts (0, 8) and (20, 0);
Constraint ‘b’ Intercepts (0, 20) and (5, 0);
Constraint ‘c’ Intercepts (0, 12) and (6, 0).
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B. Draw the Graph of the Constraints:
25
20
15
10
B (0, 8)
C
The
( 2.5, 7)
5
Feasibl D (4, 4)
e
Region
0
A
0 (0,0) E (5,50) 10 15 20 25
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Step v: Identify Corner Points of the Feasible
Region and Determine the Optimal Solution and the
Optimum Value (Maximum Value in Our Case) :
A (0, 0) Br. 0
B (0, 8) Br. 640
C (2.5, 7) Br. 1160
D (4, 4) [the Optimal Solution] Br. 1280 [ the Optimum
Value]
E (5, 0) Br. 1200
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Step vi: Interpret the Result Obtained:
The Result in the Previous Table Implies that 4
Tons of Type I Steel and 4 Tons of Type II
Steel [Optimal Production Schedule] should
be Manufactured and Sold so that the Total
Profit will be Birr 1280 [Maximum Possible
Profit, Optimum Value].
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B. Example of a Minimization LPP
Suppose that a machine shop has two different types of
machines: Machine I and Machine II, which can be used to
make a single product. These machines vary in the amount of
product produced per hr., in the amount of labor used per hr.
and in the costs of operations. Assume that at least a certain
amount of product must be produced and that we would like
to utilize at least the regular labor force. How Much should we
Utilize
Itemson Each Machine in order
Resource Usedto Minimize the TotalRequired
Minimum Cost and
still Meet the Requirements? Hours
Machine 1 Machine 2
(X1) (X2)
Product/hr. 20 15 100
Labor/hr. 2 3 15
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SOLUTION:
1. Formulate the Mathematical Model
of the LPP:
Minimize: Z = 25 x1 + 30x2
Subject to:
A (0, 20/3)
7
The Feasible Region
6
4
B (2.5, 3.33)
3
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
C (7.5, 0)
7 8
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Minimize:
CORNER COORDINATES Z = 25x1 + 30x2
S
A (0, 20/3) 200
B (2.5, 3.33) 162.5
(Optimal) (Optimum)
C (7.5, 0) 187.5
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3) The Optimal Solution:
Since Our Objective is to Minimize the Total
Cost of Operations, the Minimum Amount
(162.5) will Be Attained at Point ‘B’ (2.5,
3.33).
4) The Interpretation:
In order to Minimize the Total Operations Cost and
Still Meet the Requirements, the Machine Shop
should Utilize 2.5 Labor Hours on Machine I and
3.33 Labor Hours on Machine II.
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2.6 Special Cases in LPPs:
Multiple optimal solutions: This is the situation when more
than one optimal solution arises. This will happen whenever
the objective function equation represents a line parallel
to some edge of the bounded solution space.
Unbounded solution: it exists when an LP problem has no
limit on the constraints i.e., the feasible region is not
bounded in any respect. Theoretically, the value of the
decision variable increases infinitely without violating the
feasibility, and value of the objective function can increase
to infinity. Mostly this situation occurs when the
assumption of finiteness is violated.
Infeasible solution: infeasibility is a condition that exists
when there is no solution to an LP problem that satisfies all
the constraints and non-negativity restrictions. It means that
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Redundant Constraint(s): If the constraint, when plotted
does not form part of the boundary marking the feasible
region of the problem, it is said to be redundant. The
inclusion or the exclusion of a redundant constraint
obviously does not affect the optimal solution to the
problem.
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UNIT III: SPECIAL TYPES OF LINEAR PROGRAMMING
3.1. Transportation
Problems
3.2. Assignment Problems
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3.1. Transportation Problems
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3.1.0 Section Learning Ojectives
Understand Issues in Transportation Problems;
Build Mathematical Models for TPs;
Find the IBFS to TPs by Applying various
Algorithms;
Test for Optimality of IBFS to a TP by the Use
of Stepping Stone and Modified Distribution
Techniques;
Modify the IBFS.
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3.1.1 Introduction and Objective:
One important application of linear programming is
the area of physical distribution (transportation) of
goods from several supply centers (origins) to
several demand centers(destinations).
The structure of transportation problem involves a
large number of transportation /shipping/ routes from
several supply origins to several demand
destinations.
Objective: to Determine the Amount of
Commodities which should Be Transported from
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Sources or Origins are the Places where Goods
Originate from (like plants, warehouses etc.).
Destinations are Places where Goods are to Be
Shipped (like Markets).
The Transportation Algorithm Applies to
Minimize the Total Cost of Transporting a
Homogenous Commodity (Product) from
Different Supply Origins to Different Demand
Destinations.
However, It can also Be Applied to the
Maximization of Some Total Value or Utility, in
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3.1.2 General Transportation Problem Model
A Transportation Problem Model, which has ‘m’
Sending Locations (Origins) and ‘n’ Receiving
Locations (Destinations), Provides a Framework
for Presenting All Relevant Data including:
Quantity Supply of Each Origin (SSi)
Quantity Demand of Each Destination (DDj)
Unit Transportation Cost from Each Origin to
Each Destination (Cij)
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To: D1 D2 …………… Dn Total SS
…
From:
S1 X11C11 …………… X1nC1n SS1
…
∑SS
∑DD
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Total DD DD1 DD2 …………… DDm
50
Where:
SSi is the total quantity of commodity available at
origin i (total supply of origin i)
DDj is total quantity of commodities needed at
destination j (total demand of destination j)
Cij measures (represents) the costs of shipping
(transporting) one unit of commodity from source i
to destination j.
Xij is the quantity of commodities transported
from ith origin to jth destination.
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3.1.3 Conditions of a Transportation Problem
1. Supplies (SS)and requirements (DD) must be
expressed in the same unit
This condition means that shipments received at
any destination from different sources must be
indistinguishable. In other words, all shipments
must be measured in homogenous units
2. Total supply must equal to total demand ( = )
The problem satisfying this condition is called
balanced transportation problem; otherwise it is
known as unbalanced transportation problem.
The condition is the necessary and sufficient
condition for the existence of feasible solution
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3.1.4 Assumptions of a Transportation Algorithm
1) All goods are homogenous, so that any origin is
capable of supplying to any destination.
2) Transportation costs are a linear function of the
quantity shipped over any route.
3) All the assumptions of the general LPP also hold
in the special case of the transportation problem.
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3.1.5 Methods of Solving Transportation Problems
The solution to the transportation problem can be
obtained in two stages.
1. Methods to Get the Initial Basic Feasible Solution:
A. The North-West Corner Method (NWCM)
B. The Least Cost Method (LCM), and
C. The Vogel’s Approximation Method (VAM).
2. Methods Used to Test Optimality and Improve the
Solution:
I. The Stepping Stone Method
II. The Modified Distribution Method
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Any initial solution to the transportation
problem can be accepted if it satisfies the
following conditions:
1. It must satisfy the rim Condition:
The sum of allocations along each row equals
the supply of each row and the sum of the
allocations down each column equals the
demand or requirement of each column. This
condition is known as rim condition.
2. It must be a basic feasible solution
A feasible solution is known as basic feasible
solution if the number of allocations is equal
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Steps of solving transportation problem using
NWC:
1. Start with the cell at the upper left hand corner,
and allocate as much as possible to that cell.
2.
i) If D1 > S1, move down vertically to the second row and
make the second allocation of the magnitude =min (S2,
D1 - X11) in cell (2, 1).
ii) ii) If D1 < S1 , move right horizontally to the second
column and make the second allocation of the
magnitude X12=min (S1 - X11,, D2) in cell (1, 2).
iii) iii) If D1 = S1 , there is a tie for the second allocation
because both the row and column are exhausted.
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3. Repeat step 2 until all the rim requirements are
satisfied.
4. Check the numbers of occupied cells are equal to
m+n-1.
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The steps involved in LCM are:
1. Select the cell with the lowest unit cost in the entire
transportation table and allocate as much as possible to
this cell, so that entire supply is exhausted or demand
is satisfied. In case the smallest unit cost cell is not
unique, then select the cell where maximum allocation
can be made.
2. After adjusting the supply and demand for all
uncrossed-out rows or columns, repeat the procedure
with the next lowest unit cost among the remaining
rows and columns of the transportation table and
allocate as much possible to that cell.
3. Repeat the procedure until the entire available supply
at various sources and demand at various destinations
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The steps involved in Vogel’s Approximation Method
(VAM) are:
1. For each row and column, compute the difference
between the lowest cost element and the next lowest
cost element of the row/column. The difference
between the lowest cost and the next lowest cost for a
given row or column is said to be the penalty number
for that row or column.
2. Select the row or column having the largest penalty
number. If there is a tie it can be broken by selecting
the cell where minimum cost of transportation is
found.
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3. Assign (allocate) the maximum number of units to
the lowest cost
cell in the corresponding row or column selected in
step 2. And
then eliminate a row or column whose supply is
exhausted or
requirement is satisfied.
4. Repeat step 1 to 3 until a complete initial solution is
obtained.
5. Check to be sure that all rim conditions are satisfied
and that
m+n-1 cells are allocated.
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Exercises on Transportation Problems:
I: Determine an initial basic feasible solution for the
following transportation problem by using NWC,
D D D
LCM and VAM.
1 2 D SS
3 4
A 11 13 17 14 250
B 16 18 14 10 300
C 21 24 13 10 400
DD 200 225 275 250 950
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Solution-1: IBFS by NWC,
TTC:
11*200+13*50+18*175+14*125+13*150+10*250 =
12,200 D1 D2 D3 D4 SS
A 11 200 13 50 17 14 0
B 16 18 175 14 125 10 0
C 21 24 13 150 10 250
0
DD 0 0 0 0 950
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Solution-2: IBFS by LCM,
TTC:
10*250+11*200+13*150+13*50+14*125+18*175 =
12,200 D1 D2 D3 D4 SS
A 11 200 13 50 17 14 0
B 16 18 175 14 125 10 0
C 21 24 13 150
10 250
0
DD 0 0 0 0 950
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1.1 IBFS by VAM
D1 D2 D3 D4 SS Row Penalties
A 11200 1350 17 14 0 2 1 - - -
DD 0 0 0 125
Column 1st 5 5 1 0
Penalties - 2nd 5 1 0
- 3rd 6 1 0
- - 1 0
- - 6th -
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I. Checking Optimality and Modifying the Solution by Applying
MODI Technique.
1) Select row element (ui) and Column element (vj) for each
row and column, such that:
Ui + Vj = the actual cost of loaded cell. In transportation
problem, once any cell is loaded, its opportunity cost (U i +
Vj) – Cij) will be zero.
Empty cells can be evaluated simultaneously and get the
opportunity cost of the cell by using the formula (U i + Vj) –
Cij, where Cij is the actual cost of the cell.
2) For any empty cell, (implied cost – actual cost) will give
opportunity cost.
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3) How to select Ui and Vj:
Write arbitrarily any one of them against a row or
against a column.
The written Ui or Vj may be any whole number
i.e. ui or vj may be ≤ or ≥ to zero.
By using the formula (Ui+Vj) = Cij for a loaded
cell, we can write the other row or column
element.
For example, if the actual cost of the cell Cij = 5
and arbitrarily we have selected ui = 0, then vj is
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given by U +V = 0 + vj = 5.
Once we get all ui s and vj’s, we can evaluate empty cells by
using the formula (ui + vj ) – Actual cost of the cell =
opportunity cost of the cell, and write the opportunity cost
of each empty cell at left hand bottom corner.
Occupied
Unoccupied
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V1= 11 V2= 13 V3= 9 V4=6
SS
D1 D2 D3 D4
U1=0 200 50
0
A 11 13 17 14
U2=5 0
B 16 18 175
14 125 10
U3=4 150 250
0
C 21 24 13 10
DD 0 0 0 0
Total Cost = 11*200+13*50+18*175+14*125+13*150+10*250 = 12,200
V1 = 11 V2 = 13 V3 = 8 V4 = 5
D D D D SS
1 2 3 4
U1 = 0 A 11200 1350 17 14 0
DD 0 0 0 0 950
TTC = (11*200)+(13*50)+(18*175)+(13*275)+(10*125)+(10*125) = 12,075
a.A D3 = (0+8) -17=-9
b.AD4 = (0+5) -14=-9
c.BD1 = (5+11) -16=0 ►Indifference of the Cell
d.BD3 = (5+8) -14 = -1
e.CD1= (5+11) -21=-5
f. CD2 = (5+13) -24=-6
Since Pij’s for all unoccupied cells are ≤0, then we
conclude that we have reached optimality.
Accordingly, the Optimum Transportation Cost (or the
Minimum Possible Total Cost) of the given
transportation Problem is 12,075 units of money.
3.2 ASSIGNMENT PROBLEMS
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3.2.0 Section Learning Objectives
Know about variations of the assignment
problem;
Learn how to solve an unbalanced assignment
problem, profit maximization problem etc.
Understand how to solve a travelling salesman
problem
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3.2.1 INTRODUCTION
In many business situations, management needs to assign
personnel to jobs,
jobs to machines,
machines to job locations, or
salespersons to territories.
Consider the situation of assigning n jobs to n machines.
When a job i (=1,2,....,n) is assigned to machine j
(=1,2, .....n) that incurs a cost Cij, then the objective is to
assign the jobs to machines at the least possible total cost.
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INTRODUCTION CONTD---------
This situation is a special case of the
Transportation Model And it is known as the
assignment problem.
Here, jobs represent “sources” and machines
represent “destinations.”
The supply available at each source is 1 unit And
demand at each destination is 1 unit.
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3.2.2 Assumptions:
1. There is a cost assignment matrix for the m
“people” to be assigned to m “tasks.” (If
necessary dummy rows or columns consisting of
all 0’s are added so that the numbers of people
and tasks are the same.)
2. All costs are nonnegative.
3. The problem is a minimization problem.
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3.2.3 THE HUNGARIAN ALGORITH
Initialization
1. For each row, subtract the minimum number
from all numbers in that row.
2. In the resulting matrix, subtract the minimum
number in each column from all numbers in the
column.
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3.2.4 ITERATIVE STEPS IN HUNGARIAN ALGORITH
80
ROW SUBTRACTION RESULTANT
MINIMUM UNCOVERED NUMBER AFTER
ROW SUBTRACTION IS 2
B. COLUNM SUBTRACTION
RESULTANT:
MINIMUM UNCOVERED NUMBER IS 1
C. FINAL REDUCTION RESULTANT: READY FOR
ASSIGNMENT
UNIT-IV: DECISION THEORY AND
DECISION TREE
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4.0 Unit Learning Objectives
Understand what Decision Theory is;
Understand various Environments of Decision
Making;
Choose the Best Decisions Under various
Decision Making Environments.
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4.1 THE DECISION THEORY:
4.1.1 AN INTRODUCTION
Decision Theory- is a methodology for making
management decisions which constitutes a
particular branch of operations research/decision
science.
Serves as the analysis of decision situations in
which certainty cannot be assumed.
Most of the time decision maker must choose
among several different courses of action in an
attempt to optimize his decision process.
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4.1.2 THE SIX STEPS IN DECISION
THEORY
1) Clearly define the problem at hand
2) List the possible alternatives
3) Identify the possible outcomes
4) List the payoff or profit of each combination of
alternatives and outcomes
5) Select one of the mathematical decision theory
models
6) Apply the model and make your decision
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4.1.3 Components of Decision Making
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4.1.4 TYPES OF DECISION-MAKING ENVIRONMENTS
92
A. THE MaxiMax CRITERION
In the MaxiMax criterion the decision maker selects the decision
that will result in the maximum of maximum payoffs; an optimistic
criterion.
93
B. THE MaxiMin CRITERION
In the MaxiMin criterion the decision maker selects the
decision that will reflect the maximum of the minimum
payoffs; a pessimistic criterion.
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C. THE MiniMax REGRET CRITERION
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D. THE EQUAL LIKELIHOOD (or
Laplace) CRITERION
The equal likelihood ( or Laplace) criterion multiplies the
decision payoff for each state of nature by an equal weight,
thus assuming that the states of nature are equally likely to
occur.
Decision Values
Apartment building $50,000(.5) + 30,000(.5) =
40,000
Office building $100,000(.5) - 40,000(.5) =
30,000
Warehouse $30,000(.5) + 10,000(.5) =
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20,000
Decision-Making Under Complete Uncertainty:
Summary of Criteria Results
A dominant decision is one that has a better payoff than another
decision under each state of nature.
The appropriate criterion is dependent on the “risk” personality and
philosophy of the decision maker.
Criterion Decision (Purchase)
Maximax Office building
Maximin Apartment building
Minimax regret Apartment building
Equal likelihood Apartment building
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2. DECISION MAKING UNDER RISK (WITH PROBABILITIES):
A. EXPECTED (Monetary) VALUE CRITERION
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THE CHOICE UNDER EXPECTED
VALUE CRITERION
EV(Apartment) = $50,000(.6) + 30,000(.4) =
42,000
EV (Office) = $100,000 (.6) – 40,000 (.4) =
44,000 (Choice)
EV (Warehouse) = $30,000 (.6) + 10,000 (.4) =
22,000
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DECISION MAKING WITH
PROBABILITIES:
B. EXPECTED
OPPORTUNITY LOSSloss is the expected
The expected opportunity value of
the regret for each decision.
The expected value and expected opportunity loss
criteria result in the same decision.
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CHOICE UNDER EOL
EOL(Apartment) = $50,000(.6) + 0(.4) =
30,000
EOL(Office) = $0(.6) + 70,000(.4) =
28,000
EOL(Warehouse) = $70,000(.6) + 20,000(.4) =
50,000
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Decision Making with Probabilities:
C. Expected Value of Perfect
Information
The expected value of perfect information (EVPI) is the maximum
amount a decision maker would pay for additional information.
EVPI equals the expected value given perfect information minus the
expected value without perfect information.
EVPI equals the expected opportunity loss (EOL) for the best
decision.
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THE CHOICE UNDER EPVI
Decision with perfect information: $100,000(.60)
+ 30,000(.40) = $72,000
Decision without perfect information: EV(office)
= $100,000(.60) - 40,000(.40) = $44,000
EVPI = $72,000 - 44,000 = $28,000 = EOL
(Office), $0(.60) + 70,000(.4) = $28,000
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4.2 THE DECISION TREE
4.2.1 INTRODUCTION
Decision-tree models offer a visual tool that can
represent the key elements in a model for decision
making under uncertainty and help organize those
elements by distinguishing between decisions
(controllable variables) and random events
(uncontrollable variables).
In a decision tree, we describe the choices and
uncertainties facing a single decision-making agent.
This usually means a single decision maker, but it
could also mean a decision-making group or a
company.
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4.2.2 REPRESENTING DECISIONS
In a decision tree, we represent decisions as square
nodes (boxes), and for each decision, the alternative
choices are represented as branches emanating from
the decision node.
These are potential actions that are available to the
decision maker.
In addition, for each uncertain event, the possible
alternative states are represented as branches
emanating from a chance node, labeled with their
respective probabilities.
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4.2.3 ANALYZING THE DECISION TREE
Whereas we build the tree left to right, to reflect the
temporal sequence in which a decision is followed
by a chance event, we evaluate the tree in the
reverse direction.
At each chance node, we can calculate the expected
payoff represented by the probability distribution at
the node.
This value becomes associated with the
corresponding action branch of the decision node.
Then, at the decision node, we calculate the largest
expected payoff to determine the best action.
This process of making the calculations is usually
referred to as rolling back the tree.
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4.2.4 DECISION TREES: RISK PROFILES
The distribution associated with a particular action
is called its risk profile.
The risk profile shows all the possible economic
outcomes and provides the probability of each: It is
a probability distribution for the principal output of
the model.
This form reinforces the notion that, when some of
the input parameters are described in probabilistic
terms, we should examine the outputs in
probabilistic terms.
After we determine the optimal decision, we can
use a probability model to describe the profit
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4.2.5 DECISION TREES FOR A SERIES OF
DECISIONS
Decision trees are especially useful in situations
where there are multiple sources of uncertainty and
a sequence of decisions to make.
For example, suppose that we are introducing a
new product and that the first decision determines
which channel to use during test-marketing.
When this decision is implemented, and we make
an initial commitment to a marketing channel, we
can begin to develop estimates of demand based on
our test.
At the end of the test period, we might reconsider
our channel choice, and we may decide to switch to
another channel.
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EXAMPLE:
In the following example, we have depicted (in telegraphic
form) a situation in which we choose our channel initially,
observe the test market, reconsider our choice of a channel,
and finally observe the demand during full-scale
introduction.
113
Decision Tree for the EVPI Calculation
UNIT-5: NETWORK ANALYSIS
(FOR MANAGEMENT ONLY)
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5.0 Learning Objectives
Understanding Basic Terminology in the Study of
Network Analysis;
Practicing how to use PERT or CPM techniques in
Network Analysis;
Explaining the Importance of Network Analysis in
Planning and Scheduling functions.
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5.1 BASIC TERMINOLOGY
NETWORK:
It is a graphical representation of logical and sequentially
connected activities and events of a project.
Network is also called arrow diagram. PERT (Program
Evolution Review Technique) and (Critical Path Method) are the
two most widely applied techniques.
ACTIVITY:
Any individual operation, which utilizes resources and has an
end and a beginning, is called activity.
A task or a certain amount of work required in the project
Requires time to complete, Represented by an arrow.
These are usually classified into four categories: Predecessor
activity,
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Successor activity, Concurrent activity AND Dummy
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