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Chapter 5 (Fall 2016)

This chapter introduces key concepts related to the time value of money, including future value, present value, and discount rates. It outlines how to use a financial calculator and spreadsheets to solve time value of money problems, such as computing the future or present value of an investment given the interest rate and time period. Examples are provided to illustrate future and present value calculations in different scenarios.

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Eugene M. Bije
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
27 views

Chapter 5 (Fall 2016)

This chapter introduces key concepts related to the time value of money, including future value, present value, and discount rates. It outlines how to use a financial calculator and spreadsheets to solve time value of money problems, such as computing the future or present value of an investment given the interest rate and time period. Examples are provided to illustrate future and present value calculations in different scenarios.

Uploaded by

Eugene M. Bije
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PPT, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 27

CHAPTER 5

INTRODUCTION TO VALUATION: TIME VALUE OF


MONEY (CALCULATOR)

Copyright © 2016 by McGraw-Hill Global Education LLC. All rights reserved.


KEY CONCEPTS AND SKILLS
• Be able to compute the future value of an investment made today

• Be able to compute the present value of cash to be received at some


future date

• Be able to compute the return on an investment

• Be able to compute the number of periods that equates a present


value and a future value given an interest rate

• Be able to use a financial calculator and a spreadsheet to solve time


value of money problems

5C-2
Copyright © 2016 by McGraw-Hill Global Education LLC. All rights reserved.
CHAPTER OUTLINE

• Future Value and Compounding

• Present Value and Discounting

• More about Present and Future Values

5C-3
Copyright © 2016 by McGraw-Hill Global Education LLC. All rights reserved.
BASIC DEFINITIONS
• Present Value – earlier money on a time line

• Future Value – later money on a time line

• Interest rate – “exchange rate” between earlier money


and later money
 Discount rate
 Cost of capital
 Opportunity cost of capital
 Required return

5C-4
Copyright © 2016 by McGraw-Hill Global Education LLC. All rights reserved.
FUTURE VALUES
• Suppose you invest $1,000 for one year at 5% per
year. What is the future value in one year?
 Interest = 1,000(.05) = 50
 Value in one year = principal + interest = 1,000 +
50 = 1,050
 Future Value (FV) = 1,000(1 + .05) = 1,050

• Suppose you leave the money in for another year.


How much will you have two years from now?
 FV = 1,000(1.05)(1.05) = 1,000(1.05)2 = 1,102.50

5C-5
Copyright © 2016 by McGraw-Hill Global Education LLC. All rights reserved.
FUTURE VALUES: GENERAL FORMULA

• FV = PV(1 + r)t
 FV = future value
 PV = present value
 r = period interest rate, expressed as a decimal
 t = number of periods

• Future value interest factor = (1 + r)t

5C-6
Copyright © 2016 by McGraw-Hill Global Education LLC. All rights reserved.
EFFECTS OF COMPOUNDING

• Simple interest vs. Compound interest

• Consider the previous example


 FV with simple interest = 1,000 +
50 + 50 = 1,100
 FV with compound interest = 1,102.50
 The extra 2.50 comes from the interest of .05(50) = 2.50 earned
on the first interest payment

5C-7
Copyright © 2016 by McGraw-Hill Global Education LLC. All rights reserved.
CALCULATOR KEYS
• Texas Instruments BA-II Plus
 FV = future value
 PV = present value
 I/Y = period interest rate
• P/Y must equal 1 for the I/Y to be the period rate
• Interest is entered as a percent, not a decimal
 N = number of periods
 Remember to clear the registers (CLR TVM) after
each problem
 Other calculators are similar in format

5C-8
Copyright © 2016 by McGraw-Hill Global Education LLC. All rights reserved.
FUTURE VALUES – EXAMPLE 2
• Suppose you invest the $1,000 from the previous
example for 5 years. How much would you have?
 5 N; 5 I/Y; 1,000 PV
 CPT FV = -1,276.28

• The effect of compounding is small for a small number


of periods, but increases as the number of periods
increases. (Simple interest would have a future value of
$1,250, for a difference of $26.28.)

5C-9
Copyright © 2016 by McGraw-Hill Global Education LLC. All rights reserved.
FUTURE VALUES – EXAMPLE 3

• Suppose you had a relative deposit $10 at 5.5% interest 200


years ago. How much would the investment be worth today?
 200 N; 5.5 I/Y; 10 PV
 CPT FV = -447,189.84

• What is the effect of compounding?


 Simple interest = 10 + 200(10)(.055) = 120.00
 Compounding added $447,069.84 to the value of the investment

5C-10
Copyright © 2016 by McGraw-Hill Global Education LLC. All rights reserved.
FUTURE VALUE AS A
GENERAL GROWTH FORMULA
• Suppose your company expects to increase
unit sales of widgets by 15%
per year for the next 5 years. If you sell 3
million widgets in the current year, how many
widgets do you expect to sell in the fifth year?

 5 N;15 I/Y; 3,000,000 PV

 CPT FV = -6,034,072 units


(remember the sign convention)

5C-11
Copyright © 2016 by McGraw-Hill Global Education LLC. All rights reserved.
PRESENT VALUES

• How much do I have to invest today to have some amount in


the future?
 FV = PV(1 + r)t
 Rearrange to solve for PV = FV / (1 + r)t

• When we talk about discounting, we mean finding the present


value of some future amount.

• When we talk about the “value” of something, we are talking


about the present value unless we specifically indicate that we
want the future value.
5C-12
Copyright © 2016 by McGraw-Hill Global Education LLC. All rights reserved.
PRESENT VALUE – ONE PERIOD
EXAMPLE

• Suppose you need $10,000 in one year for the down


payment on a new car. If you can earn 7% annually,
how much do you need to invest today?

• PV = 10,000 / (1.07)1 = 9,345.79

• Calculator
 1N
 7 I/Y
 10,000 FV
 CPT PV = -9,345.79

5C-13
Copyright © 2016 by McGraw-Hill Global Education LLC. All rights reserved.
PRESENT VALUES – EXAMPLE 2
• You want to begin saving for your daughter’s
college education and you estimate that she will
need $150,000 in 17 years. If you feel confident
that you can earn 8% per year, how much do you
need to invest today?

 N = 17; I/Y = 8; FV = 150,000

 CPT PV = -40,540.34 (remember the sign


convention)

5C-14
Copyright © 2016 by McGraw-Hill Global Education LLC. All rights reserved.
PRESENT VALUES – EXAMPLE 3

• Your parents set up a trust fund for you 10


years ago that is now worth $19,671.51. If the
fund earned 7% per year, how much did your
parents invest?

 N = 10; I/Y = 7; FV = 19,671.51

 CPT PV = -10,000

5C-15
Copyright © 2016 by McGraw-Hill Global Education LLC. All rights reserved.
PRESENT VALUE – IMPORTANT
RELATIONSHIP I
• For a given interest rate – the longer the time period,
the lower the present value

 What is the present value of $500 to be received in 5 years? 10


years? The discount rate is 10%

 5 years: N = 5; I/Y = 10; FV = 500


CPT PV = -310.46

 10 years: N = 10; I/Y = 10; FV = 500


CPT PV = -192.77

5C-16
Copyright © 2016 by McGraw-Hill Global Education LLC. All rights reserved.
PRESENT VALUE – IMPORTANT
RELATIONSHIP II

• For a given time period – the higher the


interest rate, the smaller the present value
 What is the present value of $500 received in 5
years if the interest rate is 10%? 15%?
• Rate = 10%: N = 5; I/Y = 10; FV = 500
CPT PV = -310.46

• Rate = 15%; N = 5; I/Y = 15; FV = 500


CPT PV = -248.59

5C-17
Copyright © 2016 by McGraw-Hill Global Education LLC. All rights reserved.
THE BASIC PV EQUATION - REFRESHER

• PV = FV / (1 + r)t

• There are four parts to this equation


 PV, FV, r and t
 If we know any three, we can solve for the fourth

• If you are using a financial calculator, be sure to


remember the sign convention or you will receive an
error (or a nonsense answer) when solving for r or t

5C-18
Copyright © 2016 by McGraw-Hill Global Education LLC. All rights reserved.
DISCOUNT RATE

• Often we will want to know what the implied interest


rate is on an investment

• Rearrange the basic PV equation and solve for r


 FV = PV(1 + r)t
 r = (FV / PV)1/t – 1

• If you are using formulas, you will want to make use


of both the yx and the 1/x keys

5C-19
Copyright © 2016 by McGraw-Hill Global Education LLC. All rights reserved.
DISCOUNT RATE – EXAMPLE 1

• You are looking at an investment that will pay $1,200


in 5 years if you invest $1,000 today. What is the
implied rate of interest?

 r = (1,200 / 1,000)1/5 – 1 = .03714 = 3.714%

 Calculator – the sign convention matters!!!


• N=5
• PV = -1,000 (you pay 1,000 today)
• FV = 1,200 (you receive 1,200 in 5 years)
• CPT I/Y = 3.714%

5C-20
Copyright © 2016 by McGraw-Hill Global Education LLC. All rights reserved.
DISCOUNT RATE – EXAMPLE 2

• Suppose you are offered an investment that will allow


you to double your money in 6 years. You have
$10,000 to invest. What is the implied rate of
interest?

N=6
 PV = -10,000
 FV = 20,000
 CPT I/Y = 12.25%

5C-21
Copyright © 2016 by McGraw-Hill Global Education LLC. All rights reserved.
DISCOUNT RATE – EXAMPLE 3

• Suppose you have a 1-year old son and you want


to provide $75,000 in 17 years towards his
college education.
• You currently have $5,000 to invest.
• What interest rate must you earn to have the $75,000 when you
need it?

 N = 17; PV = -5,000; FV = 75,000

 CPT I/Y = 17.27%

5C-22
Copyright © 2016 by McGraw-Hill Global Education LLC. All rights reserved.
FINDING THE NUMBER
OF PERIODS
• Start with the basic equation and solve for t (remember your
logs)
 FV = PV(1 + r)t
 t = ln(FV / PV) / ln(1 + r)

• You can use the financial keys on the calculator as well; just
remember the sign convention.

5C-23
Copyright © 2016 by McGraw-Hill Global Education LLC. All rights reserved.
NUMBER OF PERIODS – EXAMPLE 1

• You want to purchase a new car, and you are


willing to pay $20,000.
• If you can invest at 10% per year and you
currently have $15,000, how long will it be
before you have enough money to pay cash for
the car?
 I/Y = 10; PV = -15,000; FV = 20,000

 CPT N = 3.02 years

5C-24
Copyright © 2016 by McGraw-Hill Global Education LLC. All rights reserved.
NUMBER OF PERIODS – EXAMPLE 2

• Suppose you want to buy a new house.


• You currently have $15,000, and you figure you need to
have a 10% down payment plus an additional 5% of the
loan amount for closing costs.
• Assume the type of house you want will cost about
$150,000 and you can earn 7.5% per year.
• How long will it be before you have enough money for the
down payment and closing costs?

5C-25
Copyright © 2016 by McGraw-Hill Global Education LLC. All rights reserved.
NUMBER OF PERIODS – EXAMPLE 2
CONTINUED
• How much do you need to have in the future?
 Down payment = .1(150,000) = 15,000
 Closing costs = .05(150,000 – 15,000) = 6,750
 Total needed = 15,000 + 6,750 = 21,750

• Compute the number of periods

• Using a financial calculator:


 PV = -15,000; FV = 21,750; I/Y = 7.5
 CPT N = 5.14 years

• Using the formula:


 t = ln(21,750 / 15,000) / ln(1.075) = 5.14 years
5C-26
Copyright © 2016 by McGraw-Hill Global Education LLC. All rights reserved.
SPREADSHEET EXAMPLE
• Use the following formulas for TVM calculations
 FV(rate,nper,pmt,pv)
 PV(rate,nper,pmt,fv)
 RATE(nper,pmt,pv,fv)
 NPER(rate,pmt,pv,fv)

• The formula icon is very useful when you can’t


remember the exact formula
• Click on the Excel icon to open a spreadsheet
containing four different examples.

5C-27
Copyright © 2016 by McGraw-Hill Global Education LLC. All rights reserved.

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