MNC and Foreign Exchange Market - Lecture 1
MNC and Foreign Exchange Market - Lecture 1
FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
Important theories in international finance include the Mundell-Fleming model, the optimum
currency area (OCA) theory, as well as the purchasing power parity (PPP) theory. Whereas
international trade theory makes use of mostly microeconomic methods and theories, international
finance theory makes use of predominantly macroeconomic methods and concepts.
Benefits of studying IF
Among the events that affect the firm and that must be managed are
changes in exchange rates, inflation rates, and asset values (and these
events are often themselves related).
Inflation, jobs, economic growth rates, bonds and stock prices, oil and
food prices, government revenues and other important financial
variables are all tied to exchange rates and other developments in the
increasingly integrated financial market.
Growing importance of IF
Over the last decades international financial flows have grown much faster
than world GDP or world trade. This trend is in large parte a reflection of
international trade and the process of globalization. International financial
flows have grown much faster than the real economy.
Financial flows are extremely volatile. Between 2002 and 2007 (before the
start of the current crisis international financial flows (gross) have grown
from 5% to 17% of world GDP. After the Lehman default (gross)
international financial flows plummeted to 1% of GDP in 2008!!
Factors behind the growth of IF
Growth of International Trade (finance associated to commercial trade –
export and import)
Currencies
Market and policy variables (exchange rates, interest rates, risk,
ratings)
Assets/financial instruments (cash and deposits, bonds, stock,
loans,
derivatives, insurance contracts, etc.)
Players (international organizations, central banks, supervisory
authorities, accounting standard setting bodies, rating agencies,
commercial and investment banks, institutional investors,
sovereign funds, MCEs, financial lobbies, etc.)
Markets: the (physical or virtual) places or ‘centres’ where
financial transactions take place
Introduction to MNCs and Foreign
Exchange market
Dividend
Remittance
Exporting & Financing Investing
& Importing & Financing
For corporations with shareholders who differ from their managers (separate
between ownership and managent), a conflict of goals can exist - the agency
problem.
An agency cost is an economic concept concerning the fee to a "principal" (an
organization, person or group of persons), when the principal chooses or hires
an "agent" to act on its behalf.
Question
Financing at A Financing at B
Financing at A Financing at B
this style gives more control to those managers who are closer to
the subsidiary’s operations and environment.
This style is more likely to result in higher agency costs because
subsidiary managers may make decisions that do not focus on
maximizing the value of the entire MNC
Centralized Management
Territorial rights Offered to franchisee Not offered; licensee can sell similar licenses and products in
same area
Use of trademark/logo Logo and trademark retained by franchiser and used by Can be licensed
franchisee
control Franchiser exercise control over franchisee. licensor does not have control over licensee
International
Business Methods
• A joint venture is a venture that is jointly owned and operated by two or more
firms (in ownership and operation).
• allow two firms to apply their respective comparative advantages in a given
project.
• A joint venture can help your business grow faster, increase productivity and
generate greater profits. A successful joint venture can offer: access to new
markets and distribution networks, increased capacity, sharing of risks and costs
with a partner, access to greater resources, including specialised staff, technology
and finance
• However, the partners have different objectives for the joint venture; the partners
bring in different levels of expertise, investment or assets into the venture;
different cultures and management styles result in poor integration and co-
operation; the partners don't provide sufficient leadership and support in the early
stages
International
Business Methods
Firms may also penetrate foreign markets by
engaging in a acquisition of an existing
business
Acquisitions allow firms to have full control over their foreign
businesses and to quickly obtain a large portion of foreign market
share.
However, because of the large investment required, normally, an
acquisition of an existing corporation is subject to the risk of large
losses.
International
Business Methods
Firms can also penetrate foreign markets by establishing new foreign
subsidiaries.
In general, any method of conducting business that requires a direct
investment in foreign operations is referred to as a direct foreign investment
(DFI). Foreign direct investment (FDI) occurs when a company from one
country makes a significant investment that leads to at least a 10% ownership
interest in a firm in another country.
Foreign direct investments can be made in a variety of ways, including the
opening of a subsidiary or associate company in a foreign country, acquiring a
controlling interest in an existing foreign company, or by means of a merger or
joint venture with a foreign company
The optimal international business method may depend on the characteristics
of the MNC.
42 International Business Models
LEAST MOST
RISK RISK
Purely
Investment
Domestic
Opportunities MNC
Marginal Firm
Return on
Projects MNC
Purely
Marginal Domestic
Cost of Firm
Capital
Financing Appropriate Size
Opportunities for Purely Appropriate Size
Domestic Firm for MNC
X Y Asset Level
of Firm
International Opportunities
• Opportunities in Europe
• The Single European Act of 1987.
• The removal of the Berlin Wall in 1989.
• The inception of the euro in 1999.
• Opportunities in Latin America
• The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) of 1993.
• The General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) accord.
International Opportunities
Opportunities in Asia
The reduction of investment restrictions by many Asian countries
during the 1990s.
China’s potential for growth.
The Asian economic crisis in 1997-1998.
Online Application
For more information on the Asian crisis, check out the following
sites:
http://www.stern.nyu.edu/~nroubini/asia/AsiaHomepage.html
http://www.asienhaus.org/navigat/english/asienhau.htm
Exposure to International Risk
Domestic Model
n
E CF$, t
Value =
t =1 1 k
t
m
n
E CFj , t E ER j , t
j 1
Value =
t =1 1 k t
E (CFj,t ) = expected cash flows denominated in
currency j to be received by the U.S. parent at the
end of period t
E (ERj,t ) = expected exchange rate at which
currency j can be converted to dollars at the end of
period t
k = the weighted average cost of capital of the
Valuation Model for an MNC
Exposure to
Foreign Economies Exchange Rate Risk
m
n
E CFj , t E ER j , t
j 1
Value =
t =1 1 k t
Political Risk
Chapter Review
International Opportunities
Investment Opportunities
Financing Opportunities
Opportunities in Europe
Opportunities in Latin America
Opportunities in Asia
Chapter Review