Interest Rate Risk Chapter 4
Interest Rate Risk Chapter 4
Thirteenth Edition
Chapter 4
Interest Rates
Types of Rates
• Treasury rates
• Overnight rates
• Repo rates
• LI BO R
Treasury Rate
• Rate on instrument issued by a government in its own
currency
Overnight Rates
• Unsecured borrowing and lending between banks as they
adjust the reserve requirements they are required to keep
with the central bank.
• Referred to as the Fed Funds Rate in the U.S.
• The effective fed funds rate is the weighted average of
the rates on brokered transactions.
• Central bank may intervene with its own transactions to
raise or lower the overnight rate.
Repo Rate
• Repurchase agreement is an agreement where a
financial institution that owns securities agrees to sell
them for X and buy them back in the future (usually the
next day) for a slightly higher price, Y
• The financial institution obtains a loan.
• The rate of interest is calculated from the difference
between X and Y and is known as the repo rate.
LIB OR
• LIBOR is the rate of interest at which a AA-rated bank
estimates it can borrow money on an unsecured basis
from another bank at 11am.
• Several currencies and maturities
• There have been some suggestions that banks
manipulated LIBOR during certain periods. Why would
they do this?
LIBOR Phase Out
• Regulators plan to phase out LIBOR by the end of 2021
and replace it with rates based on transactions observed
in the overnight market.
• The new reference rates (e.g., for a 3-month period) will
be calculated at the end of the period as the compounded
overnight rates for that period.
The New Reference Rates (1 of 2)
• US dollar: SOFR (secured overnight funding rate)
• GBP: SONIA (sterling overnight index average)
• EU: ESTER (euro short-term rate)
• Switzerland: SARON (Swiss average overnight rate)
• Japan: TONAR (Tokyo average overnight rate)
The New Reference Rates (2 of 2)
• SOFR is calculated from repos and is therefore a
secured rate.
• The others are calculated from unsecured overnight
borrowing and lending between banks.
The Risk-Free Rate
• The Treasury rate is considered to be artificially low
because:
– Banks are not required to keep capital for Treasury
instruments.
– Treasury instruments are given favorable tax treatment
in the U. S.
.
R
Rc m ln 1 m
m
Rm m e Rc / m 1
Examples
• 10% with semiannual compounding is equivalent to
2 ln(1.05) 9.758% with continuous compounding
(100 100d )m
c
A
2.00%
1.50%
1.00%
0.50%
Maturity (years)
0.00%
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3
Forward Rates
• The forward rate is the future zero rate implied by today’s
term structure of interest rates.
Formula for Forward Rates
• Suppose that the zero rates for time periods T1 and T2
are R1 and R2 with both rates continuously compounded.
R2 T2 R1 T1
T2 T1
Year (n) Zero rate for n-year Forward rate for nth
investment year
(% per annum) (% per annum)
Blank
1 3.0
2 4.0 5.0
3 4.6 5.8
4 5.0 6.2
5 5.5 6.5
Instantaneous Forward Rate
• The instantaneous forward rate for a maturity T is the
forward rate that applies for a very short time period
starting at T. It is
R
R T
T
Yield Curve
• For an upward sloping yield curve:
at time t i is
n ci e yti
D ti
i 1 B
B
Dy
B
Key Duration Relationship (2 of 2)
• When the yield y is expressed with compounding m
times per year
BDy
B
1 y m
• The expression
D
1 y m
1 d 2B i 1 ci t i2e yti
n
C 2
B dy B
B 2
When used for bond portfolios, it allows larger shifts in the
yield curve to be considered, but the shifts still have to be
parallel.
Theories of the Term Structure
• Expectations Theory: forward rates equal expected
future zero rates
• Market Segmentation: short, medium and long rates
determined independently of each other
• Liquidity Preference Theory: forward rates higher than
expected future zero rates
Liquidity Preference Theory
(Table 4.7)
• Suppose that the outlook for rates is flat and you have
been offered the following choices:
1 year 3% 6%
5 year 4% 7%
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