Investment Risk and Return CH 2 MBA 2016
Investment Risk and Return CH 2 MBA 2016
S=10%
Example---
• When we put the expected return and
variability information for our two stocks
together, we have the following:
Which
stock is
more risky?
Portfolios
• Portfolio is a group of assets such as stocks
and bonds held by an investor.
• Investors tend to own more than just a single
stock, bond, or other asset.
• Portfolio weight is the percentage of a
portfolio’s total value that is invested in a
particular asset.
PORTFOLIO EXPECTED RETURNS
• Example
– Suppose we have the following projections for three stocks:
PORTFOLIO EXPECTED RETURNS
• The expected returns of each stock are:
Where:
- E(Ri) = expected return on asset i
- Rf = expected return on the risk-free asset
- E(RM) = expected return on the market
- E(RM) – Rf = market risk premium
- ßi = degree of market risk for asset i
Limitations of the CAPM
• As we have seen, the CAPM allows us to focus on
the risk that is important in asset pricing—market
risk. However, there are some drawbacks to
applying the CAPM.
• A beta is an estimate. For stocks, the beta is
typically estimated using historical returns. But the
estimate for beta depends on the method and period
in which is it is measured. For assets other than
stocks, beta estimation is more difficult.
• The CAPM includes some unrealistic assumptions.
For example, it assumes that all investors can
borrow and lend at the same rate.
Limitation ---
• The CAPM is really not testable. The market
portfolio is theoretical and not really observable, so
we cannot test the relation between the expected
return on an asset and the expected return of the
market to see if the relation specified in the CAPM
holds.
• In studies of the CAPM applied to common stocks,
the CAPM does not explain the differences in
returns for securities that differ over time, differ on
the basis of dividend yield, and differ on the basis
of the market value of equity (the so called “size
effect”).
The Arbitrage Pricing Model (APM)
• An alternative to CAPM in relating risk and
return.
• Is an asset pricing model that is based on the
idea that identical assets in different markets
should be priced identically.
• APM states that an asset’s returns should
compensate the investor for the risk of the
asset where the risk is due to a number of
economic influences or company factors
rather than the market portfolio unlike CAPM.
APM
• Therefore, the expected return on the asset i, ri,
is: