Module 4 SCM
Module 4 SCM
16-2
Bullwhip Effect
• Fluctuations in orders increase as they move up
the supply chain from retailers to wholesalers to
manufacturers to suppliers
• Distorts demand information within the supply
chain, where different stages have very different
estimates of what demand looks like
• Results in a loss of supply chain coordination
• Examples: Proctor & Gamble (Pampers); HP
(printers); Barilla (pasta)
16-3
The Effect of Lack of
Coordination on Performance
• Manufacturing cost (increases)
• Inventory cost (increases)
• Replenishment lead time (increases)
• Transportation cost (increases)
• Labor cost for shipping and receiving (increases)
• Level of product availability (decreases)
• Relationships across the supply chain (worsens)
• Profitability (decreases)
• The bullwhip effect reduces supply chain profitability by making it
more expensive to provide a given level of product availability
16-4
Obstacles to Coordination
in a Supply Chain
• Incentive Obstacles
• Information Processing Obstacles
• Operational Obstacles
• Pricing Obstacles
• Behavioral Obstacles
16-5
Incentive Obstacles
When incentives offered to different stages or
participants in a supply chain lead to actions that
increase variability and reduce total supply chain
profits – misalignment of total supply chain
objectives and individual objectives
• Local optimization within functions or stages of a
supply chain
• Sales force incentives
16-6
Information Processing Obstacles
When demand information is distorted as it moves
between different stages of the supply chain,
leading to increased variability in orders within the
supply chain
• Forecasting based on orders, not customer
demand
• Forecasting demand based on orders magnifies
demand fluctuations moving up the supply chain from
retailer to manufacturer
• Lack of information sharing
16-7
Operational Obstacles
Actions taken in the course of placing and filling
orders that lead to an increase in variability
• Ordering in large lots (much larger than dictated
by demand) –
• Large replenishment lead times
• Rationing and shortage gaming (common in the
computer industry because of periodic cycles of
component shortages and surpluses)
16-8
Pricing Obstacles
Occurs when the pricing policies for a product lead
to an increase in variability of order placed
• Lot-size based quantity decisions – Increases lot
size and results in bullwhip effect
• Price fluctuations – trade promotions and other
short term discounts result in forward buying
16-9
Behavioral Obstacles
Problems in learning, often related to communication in the supply chain and
how the supply chain is structured
• Each stage of the supply chain views its actions locally and is unable to see the
impact of its actions on other stages
• Different stages react to the current local situation rather than trying to
identify the root causes
• Based on local analysis, different stages blame each other for the fluctuations,
with successive stages becoming enemies rather than partners
• No stage learns from its actions over time because the most significant
consequences of the actions of any one stage occur elsewhere, resulting in a
vicious cycle of actions and blame
• Lack of trust results in opportunism, duplication of effort, and lack of
information sharing
16-10
Managerial Levers to
Achieve Coordination
• Aligning Goals and Incentives
• Improving Information Accuracy
• Improving Operational Performance
• Designing Pricing Strategies to Stabilize Orders
• Building Strategic Partnerships and Trust
16-11
Aligning Goals and Incentives
• Align incentives so that each participant has an
incentive to do the things that will maximize total
supply chain profits
• Align incentives across functions
• Pricing for coordination
• Alter sales force incentives from sell-in (to the
retailer) to sell-through (by the retailer)
16-12
Improving Information Accuracy
• Sharing point of sale data
• Collaborative forecasting and planning
• Single stage control of replenishment
• Continuous replenishment programs (CRP)
• Vendor managed inventory (VMI)
16-13
Improving Operational Performance
• Reducing replenishment lead time
• Reduces uncertainty in demand
• EDI (Electronic Data Interchange)is useful
• Reducing lot sizes
• Computer-assisted ordering, B2B exchanges
• Shipping in LTL sizes by combining shipments
• Technology and other methods to simplify receiving
• Changing customer ordering behavior
• Rationing based on past sales and sharing information to limit
gaming
• “Turn-and-earn”
• Information sharing
16-14
Designing Pricing Strategies
to Stabilize Orders
• Encouraging retailers to order in smaller lots and reduce forward
buying
• Moving from lot size-based to volume-based quantity discounts
(consider total purchases over a specified time period)
• Stabilizing pricing
• Eliminate promotions (everyday low pricing, EDLP)
• Limit quantity purchased during a promotion
• Tie promotion payments to sell-through rather than amount purchased
• Building strategic partnerships and trust – easier to implement
these approaches if there is trust
16-15
Building Strategic Partnerships and Trust in a
Supply Chain
• Background
• Designing a Relationship with Cooperation and
Trust
• Managing Supply Chain Relationships for
Cooperation and Trust
16-16
Building Strategic Partnerships and Trust in a
Supply Chain
• Trust-based relationship
• Dependability
• Leap of faith
• Cooperation and trust work because:
• Alignment of incentives and goals
• Actions to achieve coordination are easier to
implement
• Supply chain productivity improves by reducing
duplication or allocation of effort to appropriate stage
• Greater information sharing results
16-17
Trust in the Supply Chain
• Historically, supply chain relationships are based
on power or trust
• Disadvantages of power-based relationship:
• Results in one stage maximizing profits, often at the
expense of other stages
• Can hurt a company when balance of power changes
• Less powerful stages have sought ways to resist
16-18
Building Trust into a
Supply Chain Relationship
• Deterrence-based view
• Use formal contracts
• Parties behave in trusting manner out of self-interest
• Process-based view
• Trust and cooperation are built up over time as a result
of a series of interactions
• Positive interactions strengthen the belief in
cooperation of other party
• Neither view holds exclusively in all situations
16-19
Building Trust into a
Supply Chain Relationship
• Initially more reliance on deterrence-based view,
then evolves to a process-based view
• Co-identification: ideal goal
• Two phases to a supply chain relationship
• Design phase
• Management phase
16-20
Designing a Relationship
with Cooperation and Trust
• Assessing the value of the relationship and its
contributions
• Identifying operational roles and decision rights
for each party
• Creating effective contracts
• Designing effective conflict resolution mechanisms
16-21
Assessing the Value of the Relationship and
its Contributions
• Identify the mutual benefit provided
• Identify the criteria used to evaluate the
relationship (equity is important)
• Important to share benefits equitably
• Clarify contribution of each party and the benefits
each party will receive
16-22
Identifying Operational Roles and Decision
Rights for Each Party
• Recognize interdependence between parties
• Sequential interdependence: activities of one partner
precede the other
• Reciprocal interdependence: the parties come together,
exchange information and inputs in both directions
• Sequential interdependence is the traditional
supply chain form
• Reciprocal interdependence is more difficult but can
result in more benefits
• Figure 17.4
16-23
Effects of Interdependence on Supply
Chain Relationships (Figure 17.4)
Organization
Low Level of Relatively
Low Interdependence
Powerful
Low High
Partner’s Dependence
16-24
Creating Effective Contracts
• Create contracts that encourage negotiation when
unplanned contingencies arise
• It is impossible to define and plan for every
possible occurrence
• Informal relationships and agreements can fill in
the “gaps” in contracts
• Informal arrangements may eventually be
formalized in later contracts
16-25
Designing Effective Conflict Resolution
Mechanisms
• Initial formal specification of rules and guidelines
for procedures and transactions
• Regular, frequent meetings to promote
communication
• Courts or other intermediaries
16-26
Managing Supply Chain Relationships for
Cooperation and Trust
• Effective management of a relationship is
important for its success
• Top management is often involved in the design
but not management of a relationship
• Perceptions of reduced benefits or opportunistic
actions can significantly impair a supply chain
partnership
16-27
Achieving Coordination in Practice
• Quantify the bullwhip effect
• Get top management commitment for coordination
• Devote resources to coordination
• Focus on communication with other stages
• Try to achieve coordination in the entire supply chain
network
• Use technology to improve connectivity in the supply
chain
• Share the benefits of coordination equitably
16-28
Role of Information Technology
in a Supply Chain
• Information is the driver that serves as the “glue” to create a
coordinated supply chain
• Information must have the following characteristics to be
useful:
• Accurate
• Accessible in a timely manner
• Information must be of the right kind
• Information provides the basis for supply chain management
decisions
• Inventory
• Transportation
• Facility
17-29
Characteristics of Useful
Supply Chain Information
• Accurate
• Accessible in a timely manner
• The right kind
• Provides supply chain visibility
17-30
Use of Information
in a Supply Chain
• Information used at all phases of decision making:
strategic, planning, operational
• Examples:
• Strategic: location decisions
• Operational: what products will be produced during
today’s production run
17-31
Use of Information
in a Supply Chain
• Inventory: demand patterns, carrying costs,
stockout costs, ordering costs
• Transportation: costs, customer locations,
shipment sizes
• Facility: location, capacity, schedules of a facility;
need information about trade-offs between
flexibility and efficiency, demand, exchange rates,
taxes, etc.
17-32
Role of Information Technology
in a Supply Chain
• Information technology (IT)
• Hardware and software used throughout the supply
chain to gather and analyze information
• Captures and delivers information needed to make
good decisions
• Effective use of IT in the supply chain can have a
significant impact on supply chain performance
17-33
The Importance of Information
in a Supply Chain
• Relevant information available throughout the
supply chain allows managers to make decisions
that take into account all stages of the supply
chain
• Allows performance to be optimized for the entire
supply chain, not just for one stage – leads to
higher performance for each individual firm in the
supply chain
17-34
The Supply Chain IT Framework
• The Supply Chain Macro Processes
• Customer Relationship Management (CRM)
• Internal Supply Chain Management (ISCM)
• Supplier Relationship Management (SRM)
• Plus: Transaction Management Foundation
• Figure 16.1
• Why Focus on the Macro Processes?
• Macro Processes Applied to the Evolution of Software
17-35
Macro Processes in a Supply Chain
(Figure 16.1)
17-36
Customer Relationship
Management
• The processes that take place between an enterprise
and its customers downstream in the supply chain
• Key processes:
• Marketing
• Selling
• Order management
• Call/Service center
17-37
Internal Supply Chain Management
• Includes all processes involved in planning for and
fulfilling a customer order
• ISCM processes:
• Strategic Planning
• Demand Planning
• Supply Planning
• Fulfillment
• Field Service
• There must be strong integration between the ISCM
and CRM macro processes
17-38
Supplier Relationship Management
• Those processes focused on the interaction between
the enterprise and suppliers that are upstream in the
supply chain
• Key processes:
• Design Collaboration
• Source
• Negotiate
• Buy
• Supply Collaboration
• There is a natural fit between ISCM and SRM processes
17-39
The Transaction Management Foundation
17-40
The Future of IT in the Supply
Chain
• At the highest level, the three SCM macro processes
will continue to drive the evolution of enterprise
software
• Software focused on the macro processes will become
a larger share of the total enterprise software market
and the firms producing this software will become
more successful
• Functionality, the ability to integrate across macro
processes, and the strength of their ecosystems, will
be keys to success
17-41
Supply Chain Information Technology in
Practice
• Select an IT system that addresses the company’s key
success factors
• Take incremental steps and measure value
• Align the level of sophistication with the need for
sophistication
• Use IT systems to support decision making, not to
make decisions
• Think about the future
17-42
E business and the supply chain