Unit IV Management of Transaction Exposure
Unit IV Management of Transaction Exposure
FINANCIAL
MANAGEMENT
Fourth Edition
EUN / RESNICK
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Management of
Transaction Exposure 8
Chapter Eight
INTERNATIONAL
Chapter Objective: FINANCIAL
MANAGEMENT
This chapter discusses various methods available
for the management of transaction exposure facing
Fourth Edition
multinational firms.
EUN / RESNICK
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Chapter Outline
Forward Market Hedge
Money Market Hedge
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Chapter Outline (continued)
Hedging Through Invoice Currency
Hedging via Lead and Lag
Exposure Netting
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Forward Market Hedge
If you are going to owe foreign currency in the
future, agree to buy the foreign currency now by
entering into long position in a forward contract.
If you are going to receive foreign currency in the
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Forward Market Hedge: an Example
You are a U.S. importer of British woolens and have
just ordered next year’s inventory. Payment of
£100M is due in one year.
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Money Market Hedge
A U.S.–based importer of Italian bicycles
In one year owes €100,000 to an Italian supplier.
The spot exchange rate is $1.25 = €1.00
The one-year interest rate in Italy is i€ = 4%
€100,000
Can hedge this payable by buying €96,153.85 = 1.04
today and investing €96,153.85 at 4% in Italy for one year.
At maturity, he will have €100,000 = €96,153.85 × (1.04)
€100,000
$123,798.08 = S($/€)× T × (1+ i$)
T
(1+ i€)
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Money Market Hedge: Step One
Suppose you want to hedge a payable in the amount
of £y with a maturity of T:
i. Borrow $x at t = 0 on a loan at a rate of i$ per year.
£y
$x = S($/£)× (1+ i )T
£
0 T
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Money Market Hedge: Step Two
£y
ii. Exchange the borrowed $x for
(1+ i£)T
at the prevailing spot rate.
£y
Invest at i£ for the maturity of the payable.
(1+ i£) T
the currency.
If the currency appreciates, your call option lets you
buy the currency at the exercise price of the call.
To hedge a foreign currency receivable buy puts
on the currency.
If the currency depreciates, your put option lets you sell
the currency for the exercise price.
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Options Market Hedge
Suppose the
The importer will be better off
forward exchange
if the pound depreciates: he still
rate is $1.50/£.
buys £100m but at an exchange
If an importer who $30m rate of only $1.20/£ he saves
owes £100m does $30 million relative to $1.50/£
not hedge the
payable, in one $0
Value of £1 in $
year his gain (loss) $1.20/£ $1.50/£ $1.80/£ in one year
on the unhedged
position is shown –$30m
in green. But he will be worse off if Unhedged
the pound appreciates. payable
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Options Markets Hedge
Profit Long call on
Suppose our £100m
importer buys a
call option on
£100m with an
exercise price
of $1.50 per –$5m Value of £1 in $
pound. $1.55/£ in one year
$1.50/£
He pays $.05
per pound for
loss
the call.
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Options Markets Hedge
Profit Long call on
The payoff of the
portfolio of a call £100m
and a payable is
shown in red. $25m
He can still profit
from decreases in
the exchange rate –$5m Value of £1 in $
below $1.45/£ but $1.20/£ in one year
has a hedge against $1.45 /£
unfavorable
increases in the $1.50/£ Unhedged
exchange rate. loss payable
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Options Markets Hedge
If the exchange Profit Long call on
rate increases to £100m
$1.80/£ the
importer makes
$25 m
$25 m on the call
but loses $30 m on
the payable for a
maximum loss of –$5 m Value of £1 in $
$5 million. $1.80/£ in one year
$1.45/£
This can be –$30 m
thought of as an $1.50/£ Unhedged
insurance loss payable
premium.
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Options Markets Hedge
IMPORTERS who OWE EXPORTERS with accounts
foreign currency in the receivable denominated in
future should BUY foreign currency should BUY
CALL OPTIONS. PUT OPTIONS.
If the price of the currency
goes up, his call will lock in
If the price of the currency goes
an upper limit on the dollar down, puts will lock in a lower
cost of his imports. limit on the dollar value of his
If the price of the currency exports.
goes down, he will have the If the price of the currency goes
option to buy the foreign up, he will have the option to sell
currency at a lower price. the foreign currency at a higher
price.
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Hedging Exports with Put Options
Show the portfolio payoff of an exporter who
is owed £1 million in one year.
The current one-year forward rate is £1 = $2.
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Options Market Hedge:
Exporter buys a put option to protect the dollar
value of his receivable.
$1,950,000
e
bl
va
ei
c
re
d
ge
ed
H
S($/£)360
–$50k
Long put
le
ab
$2 $2.05
iv
ce
re
ng
Lo
–$2m
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The exporter who buys a put option to protect
the dollar value of his receivable
has essentially purchased a call.
e
bl
va
ei
c
re
d
ge
ed
H
S($/£)360
–$50k
$2 $2.05
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Hedging Imports with Call
Options
Show the portfolio payoff of an importer who owes
£1 million in one year.
The current one-year forward rate is £1 = $1.80; but
instead of entering into a short forward contract,
He buys a call option written on £1 million with an
expiry of one year and a strike of £1 = $1.80 The
cost of this option is $0.08 per pound.
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Forward Market Hedge:
GAIN
(TOTAL)
Importer buys £1m forward.
Long
currency
forward
Accounts Payable =
LOSS
Short Currency position
(TOTAL)
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Options Market Hedge:
$1.8m Importer buys call option on £1m.
$1,720,000
Call
Call option limits
the potential cost of
servicing the payable.
S($/£)360
–$80k
$1.80
$1.72 $1.88
U
nh
ed
ge
d
ob
li g
at
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io
n
Our importer who buys a call to protect himself
from increases in the value of the pound creates a
$1,720,000 synthetic put option on the pound.
He makes money if the pound falls in value.
S($/£)360
–$80k
$1.80
$1.72
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Taking it to the Next Level
Suppose our importer can absorb “small” amounts
of exchange rate risk, but his competitive position
will suffer with big movements in the exchange
rate.
Large dollar depreciations increase the cost of his
imports
Large dollar appreciations increase the foreign currency
cost of his competitors exports, costing him customers
as his competitors renew their focus on the domestic
market.
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Our Importer Buys a Second Call Option
This position is called a straddle
$1,720,000
2nd
$1,640,000 Call
S($/£)360
–$80k Importers synthetic put
$1.64 $1.80 $1.96
–$160k
$1.72 $1.88
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Suppose instead that our importer is willing to
risk large exchange rate changes but wants to
profit from small changes in the exchange rate,
$1,720,000 he could lay on a butterfly spread.
butterfly spread
S($/£)360
–$80k Importers synthetic put
$1.80 $1.90
$1.72 $2 buy a put $2 strike
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Cross-Hedging
Minor Currency Exposure
The major currencies are the: U.S. dollar,
Canadian dollar, British pound, Euro, Swiss franc,
Mexican peso, and Japanese yen.
Everything else is a minor currency, like the Thai
bhat.
It is difficult, expensive, or impossible to use
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Cross-Hedging
Minor Currency Exposure
Cross-Hedging involves hedging a position in one
asset by taking a position in another asset.
The effectiveness of cross-hedging depends upon
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Hedging Recurrent Exposure
with Swaps
Recall that swap contracts can be viewed as a
portfolio of forward contracts.
Firms that have recurrent exposure can very likely
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Hedging through
Invoice Currency
The firm can shift, share, or diversify:
shift exchange rate risk
by invoicing foreign sales in home currency
share exchange rate risk
by
pro-rating the currency of the invoice between foreign and
home currencies
diversify exchange rate risk
by using a market basket index
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Hedging via Lead and Lag
If a currency is appreciating, pay those bills
denominated in that currency early; let customers
in that country pay late as long as they are paying
in that currency.
If a currency is depreciating, give incentives to
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Exposure Netting
A multinational firm should not consider deals in
isolation, but should focus on hedging the firm as
a portfolio of currency positions.
As an example, consider a U.S.-based multinational
with Korean won receivables and Japanese yen
payables. Since the won and the yen tend to move in
similar directions against the U.S. dollar, the firm can
just wait until these accounts come due and just buy yen
with won.
Even if it’s not a perfect hedge, it may be too expensive
or impractical to hedge each currency separately.
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Exposure Netting
Many multinational firms use a reinvoice center.
Which is a financial subsidiary that nets out the
intrafirm transactions.
Once the residual exposure is determined, then the
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Exposure Netting: an Example
Consider a U.S. MNC with three subsidiaries and the
following foreign exchange transactions:
$20
$30
$40
$10 $35 $10 $30 $40
$25
$60
$20
$30
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Exposure Netting: an Example
Bilateral Netting would reduce the number of
foreign exchange transactions by half:
$20
$10
$30
$40
$20 $15 $10
$10$25$35 $30$10$40
$25
$60
$20
$10
$30
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Multilateral Netting: an Example
Consider simplifying the bilateral netting with multilateral
netting:
$10
$15
$20
$30
$40
$40 $15
$15$25
$15 $10 $10
$10
$10
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Should the Firm Hedge?
Not everyone agrees that a firm should hedge:
Hedging by the firm may not add to shareholder wealth
if the shareholders can manage exposure themselves.
Hedging may not reduce the non-diversifiable risk of
the firm. Therefore shareholders who hold a diversified
portfolio are not helped when management hedges.
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Should the Firm Hedge?
In the presence of market imperfections, the firm
should hedge.
Information Asymmetry
Themanagers may have better information than the
shareholders.
Differential Transactions Costs
Thefirm may be able to hedge at better prices than the
shareholders.
Default Costs
Hedging may reduce the firms cost of capital if it reduces the
probability of default.
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Should the Firm Hedge?
Taxes can be a large market imperfection.
Corporations that face progressive tax rates may find
that they pay less in taxes if they can manage earnings
by hedging than if they have “boom and bust” cycles in
their earnings stream.
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What Risk Management Products do
Firms Use?
Most U.S. firms meet their exchange risk
management needs with forward, swap, and
options contracts.
The greater the degree of international
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End Chapter Eight
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