Chapter 1
Chapter 1
LEARNING OBJECTIVE
Age
At the beginning of your adult life, you are more likely to have no dependents,
little if any accumulated wealth, and few assets. (Assets are resources that
As a young adult you also are likely to have comparatively small income
needs, especially if you are providing only for yourself. Your employment
income is probably your primary or sole source of income. Having no one and
almost nothing to protect, your willingness to asume risk is usually high. At
this point in your life, you are focused on developing your career and
increasing your earned income. Any investment you may have are geared
toward growth.
As income, spending, and asset base grow, ability to assume risk grows, but
wilingness to do so typically decreases. Now you have things that need
protection: dependents and assets. As you age, you realize that you require
more protection. You may want to stop working one day, or you may suffer a
decline in health. As an older adult you may want to create alternative
Figure 1.3 Financial Decisions Related to life Stages
Young Middle Older
Adulthood Adulthood Adulthood Retirement
Early and middle adulthoods are periods of building up: building a family,
building a career, increasing earned income, and accumulating assets.
Spending needs increase, but so do investments and alternative sources of
income.
Later adulthood is a period of spending down. There is less reliance on
earned income and more on the accumulated wealth of assets and
investments. You are likely to be without dependents,as your children have
grown up or your parents passed on, and so without the responsibility of
providing for them, your expenses are lower, You are likely to have more
liesure time, especially after retirement.
Without dependents, spending needs decrease. Om the other hand, you may
feel free to finally indulge in those things that you’ve ‘’alaways wamted.’’
There are no longer dependents to protect, but assets demand even more
protection as, without employment, they are your only soure of income.
Typically, your ability to assume risk is high because of your accumulated
assets, but your willingness to assume risk is low, as you are now dependet
on those assets for income. As a result, risk tolerance decreases; you are less
concerned with increasing wealth than you with protecting it.
* Personal circumstances that influence financial thinking include
family structure, health career choice, and age.
1. Identify the systematic or macro factors that affect personal financial planning.
In the long term, history has proven that an economy can grow over time, that
investments can earn returns, and that the value of currency can remain
relatively stable. In the short term, however, that is not continously true.
Contary or unsettled periods can upset financial plans, especially if they lat
long enough or happen at just the wrong time in your life. Understanding
large-scale economic patterns and factors that indicate the health of ajn
Bussiness Cycles
There are many metaphors to describe the cyclical nature of market ecnomies: ‘’peaks
and troughs,’’ ‘’boom ajnd bust,’’ growth and contraction,’’ ‘’expansion and correction,’’
and so on. While each cycle is born in a unique combination of circumstances, cycles
occur because things change and upset economic equilibrium. That is, events change
the balance between suppy and demand in the economy overall. Sometimes demand
grows too fst and supply can’t keep up, and sometimes suppy grows too fast for
demand. There are many reasons that this could happen, but whatever the reasons,
buyers and sellers react to this imbalance, which then creates a change.
Employment Rate
An economy produces not just goods and services to satisfy its members but also jobs,
because most people participate in the market economy by trading their labor, and most rely
on wages as their primary source of income. The economy therefore must provide
opportunity to earn wages so more poeple can participate in the economy throught the
market. Otherwise, more people must be provided for in some other way, such as a private or
public subsidy (charity or welfare).
Unemployment also shows that the economy is not efficient, because it is not able to put all
its productive human resources to work.
A healthy market economy uses its labor productively, is productive, and
provides employment opportunities as well as consumer satisfaction through
its markes. Figure 1.6 ‘’Cyclical Economics Effects’’ shows the
relationship between GDP and unemployment and each stage of the business
cycle. Boom Expansion
If there is too little demand for lafbor-more workers than jobs-then wages fail
or, more typically, there will be people without jobs, or unemployment. If
wages become low enough, employers theorerically will be encourage to hire
more labor, which would bring employment levels back up. However, it
doesn’t always work that way, because people have job mobility-they are
willingness and able to move beetween economies to seek employment.
If unemployment is high and prolonged, then too many people are without
wages for too long, and they are not able to participate in the economy
because they have nothing to trade. In that case, the market economy is just
not working for too many people, and they will eventually demand a change
Other Indicators of Economic Health
Other economic indicators give as clues as to how ‘’successful’’ our economy is, how well it is
growing, or how well positioned it is for future growth. these indicators include statistics,
such as the number of houses being built or existing home sales, orders for durable ggods
(e.g., appliances and automoiles), consumer confidence, producer prices, and so on.
However, GDP growth and unemployment are the two most closely watched indicators,
because they get at the heart of what our economy is supposed to accomplish: to provide
diverse opportunities for the most people to participate in the economy, to create jobs, and
to satisfy the consumption needs of the most people by enabling them to get what they
want.
An expanding and healthy economy will offernmore choices to participants: more choices for
trading labor and for trading capital. It offers more opportunities to earn a return or an
income and therefore also offers more diversification and less risk.
Naturally, everyone would rather operate in a healthier economy at all times, but this is not
always possible. Financial planning mustbinclude planning for the risk that economic factors
will affect financial realities. A recession may increase unemployment, lowering the return on
labor-wages-or making it harder to anticipate an increase in income. Wage income could be
A bedge against lost wages is investment to create other forms of
income. In a period of economic contraction, however, the
usefulness of capital, and thus its value, may decline as well. Some
businessnand industries are considered immune to economic
cycles (e.g., public education and health care), but overall,
investment returns may suffer. Thus, during your lifetime business
cycles will likely affect your participation in the capital markets as
well. CURENCY VALUE
Stable currency value is another important indicator or financial
planning. Like anything else, the value of a currency is based on its
usefulness. We use currency as a medium of exchange, so the
value of a currency is based on how can be used in trade, which in
turn is based on what is produced in the economy. If an economy
produces little that anyone wants, then its currency has little value
relative to other currencies, because there is little use for it in
trade. So a currency’s value is an indicator of how productive an
A curreny’s usefulness is based on what it can buy, ornits purchasing power. The more a
currency can buy. the more useful and valuable it is. When prices rise or when things cost
more, purchasing power decreases; the currency buys less and its value decreases.
When the value of a currency decreases, an economy has inflation. its currency has less
value because it is less useful; that is less can be bought with it. Prices are rising. It takes
more units of currency to buy the same amount of goods. When the value of a currency
increases, on the other hand, an economy ha deflation. Prices are falling; the currency is
worth more and buys more.
For example, say you can buy five video games for $20. Each game is worth $4, or each
dollar buys 1/4 of a game. Then we have inflation, and prices-including the price of video
games-rise. A year later you want to buy games, but now your $20 only buys to games. Each
one costs $10, or each dollar only buys one-tenth of a game. Rising prices have eroded the
purchasing power of your dollars.
If there is deflation, prices fall, so maybe a year later you could buy ten video games with
your same $20. Now each game costs only $2, and each dollar buys half a game. The same
amount of currency buys more games: its purchasing power has increased, as has its
usefulness and its value (Figure 1.7 ‘’ Dynamic of Currency Value’’).
Figure 1.7 Dynamics of currency Value
Inflation Deflation