Demand Analysis 1
Demand Analysis 1
Total population
Its own price
Consumers’ wealth
Consumers’ income Credit availability
Prices of other Government policy
commodities Past levels of
demand
Consumers’ tastes Past levels of income 1
The traditional theory of demand has concentrated on four of the
above determinants
Some of the other factors have been introduced in the theory of demand recently.
The traditional theory of demand examines only the final consumers’ demand for
durables and non-durables. It is partial in its approach in that it examines the
demand in one market in isolation from the conditions of demand in other markets.
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An important implicit assumption of the theory of demand is that firms sell their
products directly to the final consumers. This is not the general case in the modern
business world, and this has serious implications for the determination of prices.
Another shortcoming of the traditional theory is that it does not deal with the
demand for investment goods, nor with the demand for intermediate products.
Consumers’
Final Demand
demand
Total demand
Demand for
Intermediate Demand investment Goods
Traditional theory of demand deals only with consumers’ demand, which is only a
fraction of the total demand in the economy as a whole. Consumer demand ranges
between 30 and 40 per cent of total demand in developed countries. 3
Theory of Consumer Behaviour
The traditional theory of demand starts with the examination of the behaviour of the
consumer, since the market demand is assumed to be the summation of the demands
of individual consumers.
The consumer is assumed to be rational. Given his income and market prices of the
various commodities, he plans the spending of his income so as to attain the highest
possible satisfaction or utility. This is the axiom of utility maximisation.
In the traditional theory it is assumed that the consumer has a full knowledge of all
the information relevant to his decision, that is he has complete knowledge of all the
available commodities, their prices and his income.
In order to attain this objective the consumer must be able to compare the utility
(satisfaction) of the various “basket of goods’ which he can buy with his income.4
There are two basic approaches to the problem of comparison of utilities.
Cardinalist Approach
Ordinalist Approach
The Ordinalist school postulated that utility is not measurable, but is an ordinal
magnitude. The consumer need not know in specific units the utility of various
commodities to make his choice.
Indifference-Curve Approach
Assumptions:
5. The total utility of a ‘basket of goods’ depends on the quantities of the individual
commodities. If there are ‘n’ commodities in the bundle with quantities
x1 , x2 , ....., xn, the total utility is
U f ( x1 , x2 ,......, xn )
Additivity assumption was there in the very early version of the theory. This
assumption was dropped in the later versions.
It states that a consumer having a fixed income and facing given market prices of
goods will achieve maximum satisfaction or utility when the marginal utility of the
last dollar spent on each good is exactly the same as the marginal utility of the last
dollar spent on any other good.
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Why must this condition hold?
If the consumer derives greater utility from any one commodity, he
can increase his welfare by spending more on that commodity and less
on the other, until the above equilibrium condition is fulfilled.
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What are the implications of utility
maximisation?
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Derivation of the Demand Curve of the Consumer
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The Indifference-Curve Theory
Assumptions
If the utility of alternative A is 15 and the utility of b is 45, one can only say
that B is preferred to A, but it is meaningless to say that B is liked three
times as strongly as A. How much a particular bundle on the list is liked is
irrelevant; only the bundle at the top of the list will be purchased. 12
Diminishing Marginal Rate of Substitution
(MRS)
Preferences are ranked in terms of indifference
curves, which are assumed to be convex to the
origin.
13
The total utility of the consumer depends on the quantities of the
commodities consumed.
U f ( q1 , q2 ,..., q x , q y ,...., qn )
Consistency and Transitivity of choice: It is assumed that the
consumer is consistent in his choice, that is, if in one period he
chooses bundle A over B, he will not choose B over A in another
period if both bundles are available to him. The consistency of
assumption may be symbolically written as follows.
If A>B, then B >A
Similarly, it is assumed that consumer’s choice are characterised by
transitivity: if bundle A is preferred to B, and B is preferred to C,
then bundle A, is preferred to C. Symbolically, we may write the
transitivity assumption as follows:
If A>B, and B>C, then A>C
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Equilibrium of the Consumer
To define this we need to introduce the concept of Indifference curves an and of
their slope, and the concept of budget line.
Indifference curve
An indifference curve is the locus of points-particular combinations of goods-which
yield the same utility (the level of satisfaction) to the consumer, so that he is
indifferent as to the particular combination he consumes.
An indifference map shows all the indifference curves which rank the preferences
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of the consumer.
It is assumed that the commodities y and x can substitute one another
to a certain extent but are not perfect substitute. In case of perfect
substitutes the equilibrium of the consumer may be a corner solution.
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Properties of the Indifference Curve
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Two Indifference
Curves
cannot
Intersect
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Special Cases of Indifference Curve
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Derivation of the Budget Line of the
Consumer
The consumer has a given income which sets limits to his
maximising behaviour. Income acts as a constraint in the
attempt for maximising utility. The income constraint, in
case of two commodities, may be written:
Y px qx p y q y
MU x / MU y Px / Py
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The condition shown in the previous slide is the first-order
condition. This is necessary but not the sufficient condition.
It is denoted graphically by the point of tangency of the two
relevant curves.
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Graphical Derivation of Demand Curve Using Ordinal Approach
In the indifference curve approach the ‘law of demand’ is derived from what is known
as Slutsky’s Theorem which states that the substitution effect of a price change is
always negative.
Expenditure on
all other goods
a b Price-consumption
c d
curve
I4
I3
I
I1 2
B1 B2 B3 B4
Units of good X
P1 a
Price of good X
P2 b
P3 c
P4 d
Demand
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Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Units of good X
Price Effect (Income effect + Substitution effect)
We have seen in the previous slides that a fall in price of x from P 1 to P2 resulted in
an increase in the quantity demanded from x1 to x2.
This is the Total Price Effect which may be split into two separate effects, a
Substitution effect and an Income effect.
The substitution effect is the increase in the quantity bought as the price of the
commodity falls, after adjusting income so as to keep the real purchasing power of
the consumer the same as before.
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For Normal goods
Giffen Goods
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Now imagine a price increase of potatoes to $1 each. The consumer
could still buy 2 steaks, but could now only buy 10 potatoes. This
might leave them hungry, so it is possible they will buy less steak,
and more potatoes in order to get their calories. This means that 20
potatoes will still be purchased, but now only 1 steak is purchased.
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Law of Demand
It refers to a certain specified relationship of demand to one or more
related phenomenon which influence demand. In other words, it is
cause and effect relationship between quantity demanded and the
forces which influence this.
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Behaviour Pattern of Demand
(ii) When the demand is related with the income the relationship is
direct so that demand increases with increase in income and
decreases with decrease in income. However the trend of
increase or decrease may depend on the nature of the product. It
may increase rapidly if the commodity is of superior type but the
demand for essentials may not increase at the rate at which the
income increases.
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(iii) The demand for a product is directly related with the price of a
substitute but it is inversely related with the price of a
complementary product. In other words, in case of a rise in price
of a substitute the demand curve will be upward rising and in
the other case it will be falling downwards.
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Exception to the Law of Demand
(iii) Future expectations about price and ability may affect behaviour
pattern which is against the normal law of demand.
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(iv) The nature of product has considerable effect on demand of
certain goods in relation to changes in income. The Giffen effect
shows how with increase in price of both bread and butter the
demand for bread increased but of the butter came down because
of substitution of bread for butter. Giffen goods are inferior and
their demand curve has a positive slope. Giffen goods are rare in
practice.
41
Regarding the ordering of consumers’ preference, the
revealed preference hypothesis has advantage over the
Hicks-Allen approach of establishing the existence and the
convexity of the indifference curves (it does not accept
them axiomatically)
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Assumptions:
1. Rationality
The consumer is assumed to behave rationally, in that he
prefers bundles of goods that include more quantities of the
commodities.
2. Consistency
The consumer behaves consistently, that is, if he chooses
bundle A in a situation in which bundle B was also available
to him he will not choose B in other situation in which A is
also available.
If A>B, then B >A
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3. Transitivity
If in any particular situation
A>B, and B>C, then A>C
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