Introduction
Introduction
• The OSHA incidence rate tracks all types of work-related injuries and illnesses,
including fatalities.
• This metric offers a more comprehensive view of worker accidents compared to
systems that only focus on fatalities.
• For example, a plant might have numerous minor accidents with injuries but no
fatalities.
• However, fatality data cannot be isolated from the OSHA incidence rate without
additional details.
Accident and Loss Statistics
• The Fatal Accident Rate (FAR) is primarily used by the British chemical industry.
• This statistic is utilized because there is valuable and interesting FAR data
available in the open literature.
• The FAR measures the number of fatalities per 1,000 employees working their
entire lifetime.
• It assumes that employees work for a total of 50 years.
• The FAR calculation is based on 10⁸ working hours.
• The resulting equation provides a standardized measure of workplace fatalities
over a long-term period.
Accident and Loss Statistics
• The final method considered is the fatality rate or deaths per person per year.
• This method is independent of the actual number of hours worked.
• It reports only the number of fatalities expected per person annually.
• This approach is particularly useful for calculations involving the general
population, where the number of exposed hours is not well-defined.
• The relevant equation provides a measure of annual fatality risk per individual.
Accident and Loss Statistics
• Both the OSHA incidence rate and the Fatal Accident Rate (FAR) are dependent
on the number of exposed hours.
• An employee working a 10-hour shift is at greater total risk than one working an
8-hour shift.
• A FAR can be converted to a fatality rate (or vice versa) if the number of exposed
hours is known.
• The OSHA incidence rate cannot be easily converted to a FAR or fatality rate
because it includes both injury and fatality data.
Source:
https://aflcio.org/reports/death-job-
toll-neglect-2022
Source: A Policy
Intervention Study to
Identify High-Risk
Groups to Prevent the
Industrial
Accident in South
Korea
Example
• A process has a reported FAR of 2. If an employee works a standard 8-hr shift 300
days per year, compute the deaths per person per year.
Solution
Deaths per person per year = (8 hr/day) x (300 days/yr) x (2 deaths/108hr)
= 4.8 X 10-5
FAR analysis
• Employment: 1000 workers begin employment in the chemical industry.
• Direct Chemical Exposure: 1 out of these 1000 workers will die as a result of
direct chemical exposure.
• Total Deaths from Employment: 2 out of these 1000 workers will die as a
result of their employment throughout their working lifetime.
• Nonindustrial Accidents: 20 out of the 1000 workers will die due to nonindustrial
accidents (mostly at home or on the road).
• Disease: 370 out of the 1000 workers will die from disease.
• Smoking-related Disease: Of the 370 deaths due to disease, 40 will be a direct
result of smoking.
Example
If twice as many people used motorcycles for the same average amount of time
each, what will happen to (a) the OSHA incidence rate, (b) the FAR, (c) the fatality
rate, and (d) the total number of fatalities?
Solution:
a. The OSHA incidence rate will remain the same. The number of injuries and
deaths will double, but the total number of hours exposed will double as well.
b. The FAR will remain unchanged for the same reason as in part a.
c. The fatality rate, or deaths per person per year, will double. The fatality rate does
not depend on exposed hours.
d. The total number of fatalities will double.
Example
A friend states that more rock climbers are killed traveling by automobile than are
killed rock climbing. Is this statement supported by the accident statistics?
Solution:
The data from Table (previous slide) show that traveling by car (FAR = 57) is safer
than rock climbing (FAR = 4000). Rock climbing produces many more fatalities per
exposed hour than traveling by car. How- ever, the rock climbers probably spend
more time traveling by car than rock climbing. As a result, the statement might be
correct but more data are required.
• Chemical industry considered safe, yet concerns persist about plant safety.
• Concerns stem from potential for mass casualties (e.g., Bhopal, India disaster).
• Accident statistics often omit total deaths from single incidents, leading to
potential misinterpretation.
• Example:
• Plant A: 1 operator, explosion every 1000 years, 1 fatality.
• Plant B: 10 operators, explosion every 1000 years, 10 fatalities.
• Both plants have identical FAR and OSHA rates despite differing casualty numbers
• Individual risk remains the same across both scenarios.
Loss Data Trends (Post-1966):
• Losses reported every 10 years
• Steady increase in total losses, dollar amounts, and average loss per incident
• Total losses have doubled every decade
• Reasons for Increase:
• More chemical plants
• Larger plant sizes
• Use of more complex and hazardous chemicals
• Industry Response
• Despite safety improvements, losses continue to rise
Acceptable Risk
• Risk is inherent in every chemical process; total elimination is
impossible.
• Design stage decision:
• Determine if risks are "acceptable.“
• Compare risks to those in nonindustrial environments.
• Design effort vs. risk:
• Significant effort and cost required to achieve extremely low risks (e.g., lightning
strike level).
• Is designing for risk similar to sitting at home sufficient?
• Risk in a multi-process plant:
• Risk from multiple processes may be additive and too high.
• Engineer’s responsibility:
• Minimize risks within economic constraints.
• Never design a process that knowingly results in human loss or injury.
The manner in which workplace fatalities
occurred in 1998. The total number of
workplace fatalities was 6026. Source:
News, USDL 99-208 (Washington, DC: US
Department of Labor, Aug. 4, 1999).
Results from a public opinion survey
asking the question "Would you say
chemicals do more good than harm,
more harm than good, or about the
same amount of each?" Source:
The Detroit News.
The Nature of the Accident Process
• Risk is inherent in every chemical process; total elimination is
impossible.
• Design stage decision:
• Determine if risks are "acceptable.“
• Compare risks to those in nonindustrial environments.
• Design effort vs. risk:
• Significant effort and cost required to achieve extremely low risks (e.g., lightning
strike level).
• Is designing for risk similar to sitting at home sufficient?
• Risk in a multi-process plant:
• Risk from multiple processes may be additive and too high.
• Engineer’s responsibility:
• Minimize risks within economic constraints.
• Never design a process that knowingly results in human loss or injury.
The Nature of the Accident Process
• Chemical plant accidents follow typical patterns, helping in anticipation.
• Most common accident types:
• Fires (most frequent)
• Explosions
• Toxic releases
• Fatality risk:
• Highest in toxic releases
• Followed by explosions
• Economic losses:
• Highest in explosions, especially unconfined vapor cloud explosions (UVCEs)
• UVCEs involve large volatile vapor clouds igniting and exploding.
The Nature of the Accident Process
• Analysis of large chemical accidents:
• Vapor cloud explosions account for the largest losses (1998 dollars, worldwide).
• "Other" losses include floods and windstorms.
• Toxic release impacts:
• Minimal capital damage
• Significant personnel injuries, legal, and cleanup costs.