1_2PowerScenarioinIndia
1_2PowerScenarioinIndia
AUTHORITY
MINISTRY OF POWER
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
POWER SCENARIO
IN
INDIA
A.S.BAKSHI
CHIEF ENGINEER (PLANNING WING)
CENTRAL ELECTRICITY AUTHORITY
POWER SCENARIO
Energy Security
EVOLUTION OF POWER
SECTOR
POWER SECTOR-AN OVERVIEW
2,24,907 *
Thermal Nuclear
Hydro Renewable
1,32,329
1,24,287
1,18,426
1,07,877
1,05,046
81,171
63,636
42,585
28,448
16,664
9,027
4,653
2,695
1,362
'47 '55 '61 '66 '74 '80 '85 '90 '95 '02 '03 '04 '06 '07 '12
(Projeced)
% of Coal based
73 Capacity in Total
71
69 68 Generating Capacity
78. 6
78
C H A R T : 13 76. 8
74. 874. 3
73 72. 7
72. 2
69. 9
69
68 67. 3
63 64. 6
64. 4 64. 7
63 61
60
58
57. 1
56. 5 56. 5
53. 2 55 55. 3
53. 9
53
52. 4
48
Y ears
Source: CEA
MAJOR LEGISLATIVE / POLICY INITIATIVES
OF GOVERNMENT
1998- Electricity Regulatory Commission Act
January 2007- Report submitted by Working Group on Power for 11th Plan
constituted by Planning Commission.
R.E.S.,
NUCLEAR 12195 HYDRO,
4120 8.4% 36198,
2.8% 24.8%
THERMAL
93115
64%
TOTAL IC-1,45,627 MW
CENTRAL ELECTRICITY
AUTHORITY
EVOLUTION OF UNIT SIZE
OF
MINISTRY OF POWER
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
COAL BASED POWER
PLANTS
Largest unit size in 1950-30 MW
First re-heat unit of 82.5 MW in 1966 at
Bandel TPS
First 200 MW unit at Obra TPS in 1977
First 500 MW unit at Trombay in 1984
Committee constituted by CEA
recommended 800 to 1000 MW unit
size in future
In 11th Plan 800/660 MW units planned
CENTRAL ELECTRICITY
AUTHORITY
MINISTRY OF POWER
PREVAILING UNIT SIZES IN
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
INDIA
Unit Size MS. Pr MS/RH Gross
Temp Efficiency
(HHV )
kg/cm2 C
o
(%)
30-50 60 482 ~31
60-100 90 535 32-33
110/120/140 130 535/535 35-36
210 150 535/535 37.8
250 150 535/535 38.4
500 170 538/538 38.6
210/250 & 500 MW Units Constitute Over 80% of the Total
Capacity
Details of IC of renewable
energy sources
(As on 31.03.2008)
National
Grid
9560 30000
10000 30000
8000
25000
20000
6000 3938 16441
15000
4000
2000 778 10000
5000
0
0
05 06 07 08
Number of Transactions
(Contd. ….)
BENEFITS OF NATIONAL GRID (Contd. ….)
Grid Disturbances
100
80 74
60 53
Nos.
40
20 7
3 4 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
0
2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08
Year Minor Major
Development of Transmission
Voltages Levels
132 kV Highest level at the time of
Independence
Iintroduction of 220 kV in 1960
400 kV in 1977
HVDC back-to-back link in 1989,
500kV, HVDC bi-pole line in 1990
765 kV transmission line from 2000
onwards.
GROWTH OF HIGH VOLTAGE TRANSMISSION LINKS
Cumulative HT Lines 220 KV and above (in ckm)
293,210
197,927 209,072
150,477
119,290
Source: CEA
PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION OF ELECTRICITY IN INDIA
Growth Pattern
kWh/year 1000
672 704
613 632
559
348
176
6
* Thermal -12,114 MW, Hydro – 7,886 MW, Nuclear – 1180 MW
MAJOR REASONS FOR SLIPPAGES FROM 10th PLAN (MW)
Original Plan
Additional
Projects-
S.No Major Reasons for Slippage Thermal Nuclear Hydro Thermal
1 Delay in supplies/erection by suppliers/ contractors 2670 220 679 3350
2 Delay in tie-up super critical technology by BHEL (one
unit at Sipat and one at Kahalgaon were replaced by 500 3960
MW units)
3 Non-availability of Gas 1713 1450
4 Delay in award of works mainly in state sector/NLC 1423 222 835
Projects not taken up/Escrow cover not given/financial
5 5278 23
closure not achieved/funds not tied up
6 Delay in clearance/investment decision (Hydro projects) 2391
Hydro Project - delay in environmental clearance,
7 geological surprises, natural calamities, R&R issues, 3155
delay in signing of MoU, Court Cases
8 Law & Order Problems 500 60
Nuclear projects included on best effort basis(otherwise
9 1220
scheduled for XI plan)
10 Adjustment due to change of size - 990 91
Total 14554 220 6507 6969*
Total slippage: 21,281MW
* Out of a total additional capacity of 8320 MW identified during Mid –Term Review
Major Steps of Integrated
approach
Capacity Addition from Conventional fuel based
plants complemented by Renewable Energy
based plants to extent possible.
National Electricity Plan based on Conventional
Energy Sources with priority to Hydro and
Nuclear plants
Strategies/ Initiatives being taken/ required to be
taken for low carbon growth i.e. Introduction of
Clean Coal Technologies (Supercritical
Technology, Ultra supercritical technology, IGCC),
Other measures to reduce pollution i.e. Reduction
in T&D losses, R&M of Old thermal power
projects, Retirement of old and small size
generating units, Coal quality improvement
POWER
CENTRAL ELECTRICITY
AUTHORITY
POWER GENERATION
MINISTRY OF POWER- STRATEGY
GENERATION - STRATEGY
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
15,043 MW
(19%)
PVT SECTOR
36,874 MW
26,783 MW
47%
(34%) Total 78,700 MW
FEASIBLE CAPACITY ADDITION FOR
11th PLAN – 77,070* MW
NUCLEAR, HYDRO,
3,380MW, 4.3% 15,507MW,
20.2%
THERMAL,
58,183MW,
75.5%
Thermal – 58,183 MW
( Coal – 48,609 MW, Gas- 7,293 MW, Lignite- 2,280 MW)
Additional capacity expected : New Renewables –
14,000 MW
* Feasible capacity as per latest : Captive – 12,000 MW
11TH PLAN TARGET AND
10th
STATUS
Plan capacity addition only 21,180 MW. About
11,000 MW slippages due to causes attributable to
equipment suppliers and contractors.
14th 0 0 0 0 0 0
Plan
Super-critical units in 10th , 11th ,
12th , 13th & 14th Plans
Total 660 MW 800 MW Total Total
Sub (nos) (nos) Super MW
critical critical
MW MW
50000 45470
42900
40000
30000
18270
20000
9620
10000 5420 4000
0 0
0
10th Plan 11th Plan 12th Plan 13th Plan 14th Plan
Multysym Model
Thank You