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INVESTMENT ANALYSIS AND PORTFOLIO
MANAGEMENT
Dr. Umra Rashid
Assistant Professor - SS School of Business CAPM, CML & SML Meaning of CAPM • It is a framework which shows the relationship between expected return and systematic risk of individual assets/securities and portfolios. It is developed by William Sharpe, John Lintner and Mossin. • It suggests how assets are priced in the market place. It uses the results of capital market theory to derive the relationship between expected return and systematic risk of individual assets/securities and portfolios. The capital market theory tells how assets should be priced in the capital markets if all investors behave rationally. Contd…
• CAPM is based on the rational behavior of investors. Here,
rational behaviour implies that investors are risk averse by nature and always prefer extra returns known as risk premium for the risk assumed by them as compared to the returns expected from risk free avenues. • E(r) = Rf+B(Rm-Rf) Where E(r) = Expected Return Rf = Risk Free Rate Rm = Market Return B = Beta Assumptions of CAPM
1. investors are risk averse.
2. investors want to maximize the wealth and choose a portfolio solely on the basis of risk and return assessment. 3. Investors can borrow or lend an unlimited amount of funds at risk free rate of interest. 4. Securities are perfectly divisible and liquid. 5. There is no transaction cost or tax. 6. Investors have identical estimates of risk and return of all securities. 7. There is perfect competition in market. Implication of CAPM
CAPM has implications for:
a)Risk -return relationship of efficient portfolio. b)Risk-return relationship of individual security. c)Identification of under priced or over priced assets traded in market. d)Capital budgeting or cost of capital Elements of CAPM • There are two elements of CAPM: 1)Capital Market Line (CML) 2)Security Market Line (SML) 1. Capital Market Line (CML) • It is a line representing various efficient portfolios created by combining risk free and risky assets/securities. All the portfolios lying on this line are efficient in themselves as these provide maximum returns for a given level of risk or have minimum risk for a given level of returns. • The line used in the capital asset pricing model to present the rates of return for efficient portfolios. These rates will vary depending upon the risk- free rate of return and the level of risk (as measured by beta) f or a particular portfolio. The capital market line shows a positive linear relationship between returns and portfolio betas. • Return= Rf+(Rm-Rf)*S.D. of Individual security/S.D. of Market return Security market line • SML is a graphical version of CAPM. It means SML represents the relationship between beta and the expected rate of return of a security. • The shape of SML shows that the risk and the risk premium have a linear relations. It means when an investor moves out of the risk free asset towards riskier assets, the beta increases to B1, B2 and B3. At the same time return also increases to R1, R2 and R3. Hence, it can be shown risk premium is low for the low beta and higher for high beta. • It shows only those securities which are correctly priced in view of the systematic risk associated with the security. SML is also known as security characteristic line. Difference between CML and SML
• CML shows the relationship between total risk and
expected return of portfolio whereas SML shows the relationship between systematic risk and expected return of a security. • Standard deviation is the measure of risk in CML whereas Beta determines the risk factors of the SML. • CML graphs define efficient portfolios and SML graphs define both efficient and non efficient security. Limitation of CAPM • The calculation of factor is very tedious as lot of data is required. The beta factor can be found by examining the security’s historical returns relative to the return of the market portfolio. Further, the beta factor may or may not reflect the future variability of returns. • The assumptions of the CAPM are hypothetical and are impractical. For example: the assumption of borrowing and lending at the same rate is imaginary. • The required rate of return specified by the model can be viewed only as a rough approximation of the required rate of return. THANK YOU