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Input Output Analysis Notes (1)

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Input Output Analysis Notes (1)

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gdbp6b52fh
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We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Chapter 4

Systems of Linear
Equations;
Matrices

Section 7
Leontief Input-Output
Analysis
Learning Objectives for Section 4.7
Leontief Input-Output Analysis

 The student will be able to formulate and solve the


two-industry model of input-output analysis.
 The student will be able to formulate and solve the
three-industry model of input-output analysis.

Barnett/Ziegler/Byleen College Mathematics 12e 2


Leontief Input-Output Analysis

 In this section, we will study an important economic


application of matrix inverses and matrix
multiplication.
 This branch of applied mathematics is called input-
output analysis and was first proposed by Wassily
Leontief, who won the Nobel Prize in economics in
1973 for his work in this area.

Barnett/Ziegler/Byleen College Mathematics 12e 3


BASIC INPUT-OUTPUT

 the input output models define the process by which an input is


transformed into an output as an activity.
 Assumptions;
 1. each industry produces one homogenous commodity(permits the
case of two or more jointly produced commodities, provided they are
produced in a fixed proportion to one another)
 2. each industry uses a fixed input ratio for the production of its
output.
 3.Production in each industry is subjected to constant returns to scale
so that a kfold change in every input is exactly a k-fold change in
output.

Barnett/Ziegler/Byleen College Mathematics12e 4


BASIC INPUT-OUTPUT

Barnett/Ziegler/Byleen College Mathematics12e 5


Basic Input-Output Problem

The main problem of input-output analysis is the


following:

Consider an economy with several industries. Each


industry has a demand for products from other
instrustries (internal demand). There are also
external demands from the outside. Find a production
level for the industries that will meet both internal and
external demands.

Barnett/Ziegler/Byleen College Mathematics 12e 6


Two-Industry Model
Example

We start with an economy that has only two industries


(agriculture and energy) to illustrate the method. Later, this
method will generalized to three or more industries.
These two industries depend upon each other. For example,
each dollar’s worth of agriculture produced requires $0.40 of
agriculture and $0.20 of energy. Each dollar’s worth of energy
produced requires $0.20 of agriculture and $0.10 of energy.
So, both industries have an internal demand for each others
resources. Let us suppose there is an external demand of
$12,000,000 of agriculture and $9,000,000 dollars of energy.

Barnett/Ziegler/Byleen College Mathematics 12e 7


Example:
Matrix Equations

Let x represent the total output The external demands of 12 and


9 million must also be met, so
from agriculture and y
the revised equations are :
represent the total output of
energy (in millions of $) x = 0.4x + 0.2y + 12
y = 0.2x + 0.1y + 9
The expressions
These equations can be
0.4x + 0.2y represented by the following
0.2x + 0.1y matrix equation:
can be used to represent the
internal demands for  x   0.4 0.2   x   12 
agriculture and energy.  y   0.2 0.1  y    9 
      
Barnett/Ziegler/Byleen College Mathematics 12e 8
Example:
Technology Matrix (M )
 0.4 0.2  A Read left to right, E
 0.2 0.1 
  then up
  input from   input from  
A     
 agriculture   agriculture  
  to produce   to produce $1  
     
  $1 of agriculture   of energy   =M
  input of energy   input of energy  
E     
  to produce $1   to produce $1 of 
    energy 
  of agriculture    

Barnett/Ziegler/Byleen College Mathematics 12e 9


Example:
Solving the Matrix Equations

 x   0.4 0.2   x   12 
 y   0.2 0.1  y    9 
      
We can solve this matrix equation as follows:
X = MX+D
X – MX = D
IX – MX = D
(I – M)X = D
X ( I  M )  1 D
if the inverse of (I – M) exists.
Barnett/Ziegler/Byleen College Mathematics 12e 10
Example:
Solution

1
We will now find X ( I  M ) D
First, find (I – M):
 1 0   0.4 0.2   0.6  0.2 
 0 1    0.2 0.1   0.2 0.9 
     
The inverse of (I – M) is:

 1.8 .4 
 .4 1.2 
 

Barnett/Ziegler/Byleen College Mathematics 12e 11


Solution
(continued)

After finding the inverse of (I – M), multiply that result by


the external demand matrix D. The answer is:
Produce a total of $25.2 million of agriculture and $15.6
million of energy to meet both the internal demands of each
resource and the external demand.

 1.8 .4   12   25.2 
 .4 1.2   9   15.6 
    

Barnett/Ziegler/Byleen College Mathematics 12e 12


Another Example

Suppose consumer demand changes from $12 million dollars


of agriculture to $8 million dollars and energy consumption
changes from $9 million to $5 million. Find the output for
each sector that is needed to satisfy this final demand.

Barnett/Ziegler/Byleen College Mathematics 12e 13


Example
(continued)

Suppose consumer demand changes from $12 million dollars


of agriculture to $8 million dollars and energy consumption
changes from $9 million to $5 million. Find the output for
each sector that is needed to satisfy this final demand.
Solution: Recall that our general solution of the problem is
1
X ( I  M ) D
The only change in the problem is the external demand
matrix. (I – M) did not change. Therefore, our solution is to
multiply the inverse of (I – M) by the new external demand
matrix D.

Barnett/Ziegler/Byleen College Mathematics 12e 14


Example
Solution

1
X ( I  M ) D

 1.8 .4   8   16.4 

 .4 1.2   5  9.2 
     

Barnett/Ziegler/Byleen College Mathematics 12e 15


Summary of Two Industry Solution

Given two industries, C1 and C2 , with


C1 C2
C1  a11 a12   x1   d1 
M   X   D  
C2  a21 a22   x2   d2 

where aij is the input required from Ci to produce a dollar’s


worth of output for Cj, the solution to the input-output matrix
equation X  MX  D
is
 
1
X I M D

assuming that I – M has an inverse.


Barnett/Ziegler/Byleen College Mathematics 12e 16
More Than Two Sectors
of the Economy

This method can also be used if there are more than two
sectors of the economy. If there are three sectors, say
agriculture, building and energy, the technology matrix M
will be a 3  3 matrix. The solution to the problem will still
be
1
X ( I  M ) D
although in this case it is necessary to determine the inverse
of a 3  3 matrix.

Barnett/Ziegler/Byleen College Mathematics 12e 17


Example:
Three-Industry Model
An economy is based on three sectors, agriculture (A), energy
(E), and manufacturing (M). Production of a dollar’s worth of
agriculture requires an input of $0.20 from the agriculture
sector and $0.40 from the energy sector. Production of a
dollar’s worth of energy requires an input of $0.20 from the
energy sector and $0.40 from the manufacturing sector.
Production of a dollar’s worth of manufacturing requires an
input of $0.10 from the agriculture sector, $0.10 from the
energy sector, and $0.30 from the manufacturing sector.
Find the output from each sector that is needed to satisfy a final
demand of $20 billion for agriculture, $10 billion for energy,
and $30 billion for manufacturing.
Barnett/Ziegler/Byleen College Mathematics 12e 18
Example
(continued)

The technology matrix is as follows:


Output
A E M
A  0.2 0 0.1
Input  0.4 0.2 0.1
E   =M
 0 0.4 0.3
M
 0.8 0  0.1  1.3 0.1 0.2 
I  M   0.4 0.8  0.1 ( I  M )  1  0.7 1.4 0.3
 0  0.4 0.7   0.4 0.8 1.6 

Barnett/Ziegler/Byleen College Mathematics 12e 19


Example
(continued)

Thus, the output matrix X is given by:

X (I - M)-1 D
 x1   1.3 0.1 0.2   20   33
 x   0.7 1.4 0.3  10   37 
 2     
 x3   0.4 0.8 1.6   30   64 

An output of $33 billion for agriculture, $37 billion for


energy, and $64 billion for manufacturing will meet the
given final demands.

Barnett/Ziegler/Byleen College Mathematics 12e 20


exercise

Barnett/Ziegler/Byleen College Mathematics12e 21


exercise

 Calculate the values of X

Barnett/Ziegler/Byleen College Mathematics12e 22

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