Class 11
Class 11
EPAF
IIMC
Aug- Nov 2024
Praloy Majumder
1
Evaluation of borrowers
2
Designing immediate solutions
Company Name
Working Capital Assessment
4
Risk Management of
Banks
5
Credit Risk Framework
6
Credit Risk Measurement
Before lending , bank would calculated the Expected Loss associated with
lending
From Expected Loss , bank would calculate the unexpected loss . Bank
has to maintain capital on this unexpected loss .
Bank would charge interest rate in such way that it recovers expected loss
through pricing . Besides desired return on equity would have to collected
through pricing . This pricing is called risk based pricing
7
Risk Based Pricing
Bank wants to give a loan of Rs 100 lacs to borrower .
Bank would first calculate the expected loss . Suppose the
expected loss amount calculated is 0.50% of the loan amount
( we shall discuss calculation in later slides )
Once bank calculates expected loss , it would calculate
unexpected loss from expected loss by using certain process
( this part would be covered in credit risk measurement classes
later part of the course ) . For the time being , let us assume
that Unexpected Loss calculated is 8% of the loan amount .
Once bank estimates , Expected Loss and Unexpected Loss , it
would now calculate the financing structure . The financing
structure is shown in the next slide .
Risk Based Pricing : Loan funding
structure
Risk Based Pricing : Cost associated with
the loan
Required return on Equity : 15% p.a.
Cost of deposit : 7% p.a.
Operation cost : 0.25% p.a. of loan amount
Risk Based Pricing : Interest rate
determination
Expected Loss
Expected Loss
Probability of Default
Financial Statement
Analysis
15
Financial Statement
Analysis
16
Financial Statement
Analysis
17
Financial Statement
Analysis
18
Financial Statement
Analysis
19
Financial Statement
Analysis
20
Important formulae
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Important formulae
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Important formulae
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Cash Flow Analysis
Cash Flow from Operation (CFO) formula:
Profit After Depreciatio Finance Other
Tax n Charges Income
Current
Liability and Borrowing
Provisions
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24
Cash Flow Analysis
25
Cash Flow Analysis
Cash Flow from Financing (CFF) formula:
Profit of the Dividend for
Reserves & current the current
Equity
Surplus financial financial
year year
Finance
Current
Long Term Cost on
Maturity of
Liability Long Term
Term Loan
Liability
Finance Cost
Bank
Finance Cost on Bank
Short term Borrowing
on Short Borrowing
liability for Working
Term Loan for Working
Capital
Capital
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26
Cash Flow Analysis
Cash Flow from Investment (CFI) formula:
Other
Income
Investment
Gross Fixed normal
Asset course of
business
Speculative
Asset
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27
Discussion on techniques to be used to capture all possible
cash flow analysis of a Customer
Creation of risk grid based on cash
flows
P&L Item Change in Change in Risk Grading
Current Other
Asset Current
Liability
Cash flow from Positive Negative with Negative with Lowest
Operation +ve lower lower creditor
operating cycle
cycle
Cash flow from Positive Positive with Positive with Moderate to
Operation +ve higher higher creditor high
operating cycle
cycle
Cash flow from Negative Negative with Positive with Moderate to
operation +ve lower higher creditor high
operating cycle
cycle
Cash flow from Negative Positive with Positive with Highest
operation -ve higher higher
operating operating
cycle cycle
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Creation of risk grid based on cash
flows
Equity Long term Short term Risk Grading
Component debt debt
component component
Cash flow from Positive Negative with Negative with Lowest
Financing +ve lower cash cycle lower cash
cycle
Cash flow from Positive Positive with Positive with Moderate to
Financing +ve higher cash higher cash high
cycle cycle
Cash flow from Negative Positive with Positive with Moderate to
Financing +ve lower cash cycle lower cash high
cycle
Cash flow from Negative Positive with Positive with Highest
Financing -ve higher cash higher cash
cycle cycle
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Creation of risk grid based on cash
flows
Gross Fixed Other Non Risk Grading
Asset Current Asset
Component Component
Cash flow from Positive with Negative with Lowest
Investment -ve lower cash cycle lower cash cycle
Cash flow from Positive with Positive with Moderate to
Investment -ve higher cash higher cash high
cycle cycle
Cash flow from Negative Positive with Moderate to
Investment -ve lower cash cycle high
Cash flow from Negative Positive with Highest
Investment -ve higher cash
cycle
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Working capital facility
Net
worth Non
Current
Asset
Liability
BB CA
OCL
32
Fund Based Working Capital
Assessment
Rules of financial
Step projections Rules
Activity
No
1 Estimate / Project sales Sales should not increase more
than the sales /GDP multiple of
the industry
2 Estimate / Project non Non current asset should not be
current asset projected at higher than the
industry level sales / non current
asset ratio
3 Estimate the financing The targeted debt to equity ratio
pattern of incremental should not be more than the
non current asset if industry average
required
4 Estimate the debt Targeted debt amount should
amount not be more than the industry
5 Estimate the equity Clearly identify the sources of
amount equity
6 Estimate all expenses Expenses to sales ratio should34
except interest , not go down from the industry
Rules of financial
Step No
projections
Activity Rules
7 Estimate current
assets
Inventory a. Raw Material Holding level of Raw Material
should not go up in terms of
months of consumption
b. WIP Holding level of WIP should not go
up in terms of months of cost of
production
36
Rules of financial
projections
Step Activity Rules
No
18 Estimate TAX Based on long term taxation
policy of the country
19 Estimate PAT Use the formula PBT- Taxes
20 Estimate dividend As per dividend policy
21 Estimate retained Use formula = PAT – Dividend
earning
22 Transfer the
retained earning
into the reserves
37
Fund Based Working Capital ( FBWC) assessment method
FBWC
Domestic
Is DP statement
TO method applicable for Is Net Working Capital mandatory for TO method
every entity ? relevant in TO method ? ?
Fund Based Working Capital ( FBWC)
assessment method: Case 1
Step 4 Estimate margin money for each category of Current Asset ( % and Rs lacs )
2 1
RM . WIP FG 5.2 Recv. 14. 23.65
.
(25%) 5 (25%) 5 (25%) 5 (40%) 4
lacs )
Fund Based Working Capital ( FBWC)
assessment method: Case 2
What would be the fund based working capital limit for FY 2022-23 under
Operating Cycle method ?
Fund Based Working Capital ( FBWC)
assessment method: MPBF
Form III
Estimated Current Asset ( CA) ( Rs lacs ) of CMA Prepare estimates in the CMA Form II and III
Form
Form
Form III
Estimated Other Current Liability ( OCL)
of CMA
( Rs lacs )
Form
FG ( Rs lacs ) 30 35
HL ( months of COS) 1.10 1.00
Receivable ( Rs 50 60
lacs )
HL ( months of sales 2 3 Justification
) required
OCA ( Rs lacs ) 5 7
HL ( % of Total 4.54% 5.10% Justification
Current Asset ) required
Total Current Asset 110 137
( Rs lacs )
Fund Based Working Capital Assessment : MPBF Method
Rs lacs
Qtr 1 Qtr 2 Qtr 3 Qtr 4
Receipt on account of
Cash sales 3 2 4 1
0 0 0 0 Most scientific
Realisation of 6 4 8 3
Receivable 0 0 0 0
6 2 3 4
Other income
96 62 123 44
Total Revenue Receipt
Payment on account of Better end use
Cash payment 2 1 2 5 monitoring
Creditor and exp 0 0 0
8 9 5 2
Payment 0 0 0 0
4 6 4 3
Interest and taxes
Total Revenue Payment 104 106 74 28