AE9 Module 3
AE9 Module 3
Flexible Learning
Outcomes (ILO) LESSON 3 / INFERENTIAL STATISTICS
Lesson Contents
AE9: Statistical Analysis with Software Application
How to interpret results
Comparative statistics
Correlation
Regression Analysis
Comparative statistics
Correlation
Regression Analysis
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Comparative statistics
Correlation
Regression Analysis
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There are many statistical methods under comparative, correlational, and regression
analyses. The one provided here are only commonly used examples.
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Comparative statistics
Correlational If Computed > Critical then If p-value <= 0.05 then
There is a significant relationship There is a significant relationship
Correlation between/among the groups. between/among the groups.
Regression Analysis If Computed < Critical then If Computed > 0.05 then
There is NO significant relationship There is NO significant relationship
between/among the groups. between/among the groups.
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Comparative statistics
Correlational Null Hypothesis: Null Hypothesis:
There is no significant relationship There is no significant relationship
Correlation between the groups. between the groups.
• If Computed > Critical then REJECT • If p-value <= 0.05 then REJECT null
Regression Analysis null hypothesis. hypothesis.
• If Computed < Critical then ACCEPT • If p-value > 0.05 then ACCEPT null
null hypothesis. hypothesis.
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Regression Analysis
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Comparative statistics
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Purpose:
Flexible Learning We conduct comparative statistics to determine if there
Outcomes (ILO)
1. is a significant difference between the means of two groups, whether
Lesson Contents related of unrelated.
2. are significant differences among the means of groups that number more
How to interpret results than 2.
Comparative statistics
We can immediately see the difference between the groups just by looking at their
Correlation means, but the question is “Is that difference significant?”
Regression Analysis
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Comparative statistics
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Example 1: INDEPENDENT Samples t-Test
Flexible Learning PRIVATE Grade PUBLIC Grade This is a table of grades 18 Grade 11
Outcomes (ILO) Student 1 91 Student 19 89
Student 2 99 Student 20 88
students who finished Junior High School
Lesson Contents Student 3 90 Student 21 94 in private schools, and 18 who finished in
Student 4 90 Student 22 89
Student 5 85 Student 23 93
public schools.
How to interpret results Student 6 88 Student 24 89
Student 7 89 Student 25 88 Mean Grades
Comparative statistics Student 8
Student 9
92
90
Student 26
Student 27
90
93
Private: 89.19
Student 10 89 Student 28 85 Public: 88.81
Correlation Student 11 88 Student 29 88
Student 12 88 Student 30 70 There is a difference of 1.06 between the
Regression Analysis Student 13 89 Student 31 89
Student 14 89 Student 32 83 grades of private and public school
Student 15 94 Student 33 88 students. But is that a significant
Student 16 70 Student 34 95
Student 17 96 Student 35 92 difference?
Student 18 88 Student 36 83
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Comparative statistics
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Example 1: INDEPENDENT Samples t-Test
Flexible Learning
Outcomes (ILO) Private Public We used the Data Analysis Toolpack in
Mean 89.17 88.11 Excel to perform the t-test. We can see
Lesson Contents that:
Variance 33.56 31.87
How to interpret results Observations 18.00 18.00 Computed t- value < Critical Value
Pooled Variance 32.71 Therefore:
Comparative statistics • Accept null hypothesis
df 34.00 • There is no significant difference between the
Correlation Computed t-value 0.55 groups.
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Comparative statistics
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Example 2: INDEPENDENT Samples t-Test
Flexible Learning PRIVATE Grade PUBLIC Grade Same example, but I deliberately put all
Outcomes (ILO) Student 1 99 Student 19 89
Student 2 96 Student 20 89
the high grades under PRIVATE, and the
Lesson Contents Student 3 95 Student 21 89 lower grades under PUBLIC.
Student 4 94 Student 22 89
Student 5 94 Student 23 88
How to interpret results Student 6 93 Student 24 88
Student 7 93 Student 25 88 Mean Grades
Comparative statistics Student 8
Student 9
92
92
Student 26
Student 27
88
88
Private: 91.94
Student 10 91 Student 28 88 Public: 85.33
Correlation Student 11 90 Student 29 88
Student 12 90 Student 30 88 There is a difference of 6.61 between the
Regression Analysis Student 13 90 Student 31 85
Student 14 90 Student 32 85 grades of private and public school
Student 15 89 Student 33 83 students. But is that a significant
Student 16 89 Student 34 83
Student 17 89 Student 35 70 difference?
Student 18 89 Student 36 70
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Comparative statistics
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Example 2: INDEPENDENT Samples t-Test
Flexible Learning
Outcomes (ILO) Private Public We used the Data Analysis Toolpack in
Mean 89.17 88.11 Excel to perform the t-test. We can see
Lesson Contents that:
Variance 8.06 34.52
How to interpret results Observations 18.00 18.00 Computed t- value > Critical Value
Pooled Variance 21.44 Therefore:
Comparative statistics • Reject null hypothesis
df 34.00 • There is a significant difference between the
Correlation Computed t-value 4.28 groups.
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Comparative statistics
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Example 1: PAIRED Samples t-Test
Flexible Learning Before After Diff. These are the grades of 18 students before and after
Outcomes (ILO) Student 1 89 91 2
Student 2 88 99 11
undergoing special review.
Student 3 94 90 -4
Lesson Contents
Student 4 89 90 1 Mean Grades
Student 5 93 85 -8
How to interpret results Student 6 89 88 -1 Before: 88.11
Student 7 88 89 1 After: 89.17
Comparative statistics Student 8 90 92 2
Student 9 93 90 -3
Student 10 85 89 4
There is a difference of 1.06 between their grades
Correlation Student 11 88 88 0 before and after the review.
Student 12 70 88 18
Student 13 89 89 0
1. But is that a significant difference?
Regression Analysis
Student 14 83 89 6 2. Was there a significant improvement?
Student 15 88 94 6
Student 16 95 70 -25
Student 17 92 96 4
Student 18 83 88 5
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Comparative statistics
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Example 1: PAIRED Samples t-Test
Flexible Learning
Outcomes (ILO) Before After We can see that:
Mean 89.17 88.11
Lesson Contents Computed t- value < Critical Value (2-tailed)
Variance 33.56 31.87 • Accept null hypothesis
How to interpret results • There is no significant difference between the groups.
Observations 18.00 18.00
Computed t- value < Critical Value (1-tailed)
Comparative statistics df 17.00 • Accept null hypothesis
• There is no significant improvement.
Correlation t Stat 0.52
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Comparative statistics
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Example 2: PAIRED Samples t-Test
Flexible Learning Before After Diff. These are the grades of 18 students before and after
Outcomes (ILO) Student 1 89 99 10
Student 2 89 96 7
undergoing special review.
Student 3 89 95 6
Lesson Contents
Student 4 89 94 5 Mean Grades
Student 5 88 94 6
How to interpret results Student 6 88 93 5 Before: 85.33
Student 7 88 93 5 After: 91.94
Comparative statistics Student 8 88 92 4
Student 9 88 92 4
Student 10 88 91 3
There is a difference of 6.61 between their grades
Correlation Student 11 88 90 2 before and after the review.
Student 12 88 90 2
Student 13 85 90 5
1. But is that a significant difference?
Regression Analysis
Student 14 85 90 5 2. Was there a significant improvement?
Student 15 83 89 6
Student 16 83 89 6
Student 17 70 89 19
Student 18 70 89 19
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Comparative statistics
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Example 1: PAIRED Samples t-Test
Flexible Learning
Outcomes (ILO) Before After We can see that:
Mean 91.94 85.33
Lesson Contents Computed t- value > Critical Value (2-tailed)
Variance 8.06 34.82 • Reject null hypothesis
How to interpret results • There is a significant difference between the groups.
Observations 18.00 18.00
Computed t- value > Critical Value (1-tailed)
Comparative statistics df 17.00 • Reject null hypothesis
• There is a significant improvement.
Correlation t Stat 5.77
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Comparative statistics
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Example 1: Analysis of Variance (ANOVA)
Flexible Learning CEFI Grade MSEUF Grade SHC Grade These are the CET grades of 36
Outcomes (ILO) Student 1 91 Student 19 89 Student 37 91
Student 2 99 Student 20 88 Student 38 87
students who enrolled in CEFI
Lesson Contents Student 3 90 Student 21 94 Student 39 96 according to the school where they
Student 4 90 Student 22 89 Student 40 88
Student 5 85 Student 23 93 Student 41 95
finished SHS.
How to interpret results Student 6 88 Student 24 89 Student 42 88
Student 7 89 Student 25 88 Student 43 90 CEFI: 89.17
Comparative statistics Student 8 92 Student 26 90 Student 44 89 MSEUF: 88.11
Student 9 90 Student 27 93 Student 45 95
Student 10 89 Student 28 85 Student 46 84
SHC: 88.61
Correlation Student 11 88 Student 29 88 Student 47 90
Student 12 88 Student 30 70 Student 48 69 Are there significant differences
Regression Analysis Student 13 89 Student 31 89 Student 49 91
Student 14 89 Student 32 83 Student 50 82
among the groups?
Student 15 94 Student 33 88 Student 51 87
Student 16 70 Student 34 95 Student 52 97
Student 17 96 Student 35 92 Student 53 91
Student 18 88 Student 36 83 Student 54 85
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Comparative statistics
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Example 1: Analysis of Variance (ANOVA)
Flexible Learning
Source of Variation SS df MS F P-value F crit
Outcomes (ILO)
Between Groups 10.04 2 5.02 0.14 0.868378623 3.18
Lesson Contents Within Groups 1,808.56 51 35.46
Total 1,818.59 53
How to interpret results
We can see that:
Comparative statistics
Computed f- value < Critical Value p-value > 0.05
Therefore: Therefore:
Correlation • Accept null hypothesis • Accept null hypothesis
• There are no significant differences among the • There are no significant differences among the
Regression Analysis groups. groups.
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Comparative statistics
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Example 2: Analysis of Variance (ANOVA)
Flexible Learning CEFI Grade MSEUF Grade SHC Grade Same example, but with different
Outcomes (ILO) Student 1 99 Student 19 90 Student 37 88
Student 2 97 Student 20 90 Student 38 88
grades.
Lesson Contents Student 3 96 Student 21 90 Student 39 88
Student 4 96 Student 22 90 Student 40 88 CEFI: 93.61
How to interpret results
Student 5
Student 6
95
95
Student 23
Student 24
90
89
Student 41
Student 42
88
88
MSEUF: 89.06
Student 7 95 Student 25 89 Student 43 87 SHC: 83.22
Comparative statistics Student 8 94 Student 26 89 Student 44 87
Student 9 94 Student 27 89 Student 45 85 Are there significant differences
Student 10 93 Student 28 89 Student 46 85
Correlation Student 11 93 Student 29 89 Student 47 85 among the groups?
Student 12 92 Student 30 89 Student 48 84
Regression Analysis Student 13 92 Student 31 89 Student 49 83
Student 14 91 Student 32 89 Student 50 83
Student 15 91 Student 33 88 Student 51 82
Student 16 91 Student 34 88 Student 52 70
Student 17 91 Student 35 88 Student 53 70
Student 18 90 Student 36 88 Student 54 69
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Comparative statistics
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Example 1: Analysis of Variance (ANOVA)
Flexible Learning
Source of Variation SS df MS F P-value F crit
Outcomes (ILO)
Between Groups 976.26 2 488.13 29.55 0.000000003 3.18
Lesson Contents Within Groups 842.33 51 16.52
Total 1,818.59 53
How to interpret results
We can see that:
Comparative statistics
Computed f- value > Critical Value p-value < 0.05
Therefore: Therefore:
Correlation • Reject null hypothesis • Reject null hypothesis
• There are significant differences among the • There are significant differences among the
Regression Analysis groups. groups.
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Correlational statistics
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Purpose:
Flexible Learning We conduct correlational statistics to determine if there
Outcomes (ILO)
1. is a significant relationship between two variables.
Lesson Contents 2. are significant relationships among variables that number more than 2.
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Correlational statistics
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Examples of direct and indirect relationships
Flexible Learning Variable 1 Variable 2 Relationship Description
Outcomes (ILO)
Food intake Weight Direct The higher the food intake, the
higher the weight.
Lesson Contents
Diet pills intake Weight Indirect The higher the intake of diet pills,
the lower the weight.
How to interpret results
Study hours Grade Direct The longer the study hours, the
Comparative statistics higher the grade.
“Petiks” hours Grade Indirect The longer the petiks hours, the
Correlation lower the grade.
Length of exposure to Chances of getting COVID Direct The longer the exposure to a
Regression Analysis COVID-infected person COVID-infected person, the greater
the chances of getting COVID.
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Correlational statistics
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Coefficients of correlation
Flexible Learning
Outcomes (ILO) Coefficient Description The highest possible coefficient is 1.
-1 Perfect indirect correlation The lowest possible coefficient is -1.
Lesson Contents
-0.99 to -0.75 Strong indirect correlation
The farther away from zero the coefficient
How to interpret results
-0.74 to 0.50 Moderate indirect correlation is (regardless of whether positive or
Comparative statistics negative), the more reliable it becomes as
-0.25 to -0.10 Weak indirect correlation
a basis for regression.
Correlation 0 No correlation
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Correlational statistics
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Example 1: Pearson Correlation
Flexible Learning GWA Board The goal here is to determine the correlation
Outcomes (ILO) Student 1 70 52
Student 2 71 54
between GWA and performance in the
Lesson Contents Student 3 72 56 licensure exams. We took both from 20 BSA
Student 4 73 58
Student 5 74 60
graduates of CEFI who took the board.
How to interpret results Student 6 75 62
Student 7 76 64 Using Excel, the
Comparative statistics Student 8 77 66
Student 9 78 68 correlation
Student 10 79 70 coefficient is 1.
Correlation Student 11 80 72
Student 12 81 74
Student 13 82 76
It is a perfect positive correlation. As GWA
Regression Analysis
Student 14 83 78 increases by 1, board exam performance
Student 15 84 80
increases by exactly 2.
Student 16 85 82
Student 17 86 84
Student 18 87 86
Student 19 88 88
Student 20 89 90
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Correlational statistics
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Example 1: Pearson Correlation
Flexible Learning GWA Board 95
Outcomes (ILO) Student 1 70 52 Correlation coefficient: 1
Student 2 71 54 90
Student 3 72 56
Lesson Contents 85
Student 4 73 58
Student 5 74 60
How to interpret results Student 6 75 62 80
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Correlational statistics
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Example 2: Pearson Correlation
Flexible Learning GWA Board 95
Outcomes (ILO) Student 1 70 90 Correlation coefficient: -1
Student 2 71 88 90
Student 3 72 86
Lesson Contents
Student 4 73 84 85
Student 5 74 82
How to interpret results Student 6 75 80 80
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Correlational statistics
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Example 3: Pearson Correlation
Flexible Learning GWA Board 95
Outcomes (ILO) Student 1 70 55 Correlation coefficient: 0.89
Student 2 71 50 90
Lesson Contents Student 3 72 56
Student 4 73 60 85
Student 5 74 57
How to interpret results Student 6 75 65 80
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Correlational statistics
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Example 4: Pearson Correlation
Flexible Learning GWA Board
100
Outcomes (ILO) Student 1 70 90 Correlation coefficient: -0.12
95
Student 2 71 88
Student 3 72 86
Lesson Contents 90
Student 4 73 84
Student 5 74 82 85
How to interpret results Student 6 75 80
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Regression analysis
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Purpose:
Flexible Learning We conduct regression analysis to
Outcomes (ILO)
1. predict the value of the dependent/criterion variable using the value of
Lesson Contents the independent/predictor variable.
Regression Analysis
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Example 1
Flexible Learning GWA Board 95
Outcomes (ILO) Student 1 70 52 Correlation coefficient: 1
Student 2 71 54 90
Student 3 72 56
Lesson Contents 85
Student 4 73 58
Student 5 74 60
How to interpret results Student 6 75 62 80
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Regression Analysis
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Example 1
Flexible Learning GWA Actual Predicted Diff.
Outcomes (ILO) Student 1 70 52 52 0
Correlation coefficient: 1
Student 2 71 54 54 0
Student 3 72 56 56 0 Regression Equation:
Lesson Contents y = 2x - 88
Student 4 73 58 58 0
Student 5 74 60 60 0
How to interpret results Student 6 75 62 62 0
Student 7 76 64 64 0
Comparative statistics Student 8 77 66 66 0
Student 9 78 68 68 0
Student 10 79 70 70 0
Correlation Student 11 80 72 72 0
Student 12 81 74 74 0
Regression Analysis Student 13 82 76 76 0
Student 14 83 78 78 0
Student 15 84 80 80 0
Student 16 85 82 82 0
Student 17 86 84 84 0
Student 18 87 86 86 0
Student 19 88 88 88 0
Student 20 89 90 90 0
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Regression Analysis
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Example 2
Flexible Learning GWA Board 95
Outcomes (ILO) Student 1 70 55 Correlation coefficient: 0.89
Student 2 71 50 90
Lesson Contents Student 3 72 56
Student 4 73 60 85
Student 5 74 57
How to interpret results Student 6 75 65 80
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Regression Analysis
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Example 2
Flexible Learning GWA Board Predicted Diff.
Outcomes (ILO) Student 1 70 55 54.07 0.93
Correlation coefficient: 0.89
Student 2 71 50 55.74 -5.74
Regression Equation:
Student 3 72 56 57.42 -1.42
Lesson Contents y = 1.6744x - 63.168
Student 4 73 60 59.09 0.91
Student 5 74 57 60.77 -3.77
How to interpret results Student 6 75 65 62.44 2.56
Student 7 76 66 64.12 1.88
Comparative statistics Student 8 77 64 65.79 -1.79
Student 9 78 74 67.47 6.53
Student 10 79 65 69.14 -4.14
Correlation Student 11 80 77 70.81 6.19
Student 12 81 70 72.49 -2.49
Regression Analysis Student 13 82 76 74.16 1.84
Student 14 83 74 75.84 -1.84
Student 15 84 90 77.51 12.49
Student 16 85 82 79.19 2.81
Student 17 86 70 80.86 -10.86
Student 18 87 80 82.53 -2.53
Student 19 88 88 84.21 3.79
Student 20 89 80 85.88 -5.88
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