6.1 Economic Issues
6.1 Economic Issues
6.1
issues
Stages of business cycle
Business Cycle (trade cycle) – the cyclical movement of
economic growth characterised by recovery, boom,
recession, slump.
Boo
m Grow
Recessi th Economic
GDP
Grow on activity
th Slum
p
Years
Stages of business cycle
Boom – Increase in consumer expenditure, investment and
export earnings. Low unemployment.
Recession – Fall in GDP for 2 consecutive quarters. Declining
aggregate demand, lower investment, falling export sales and
rising unemployment. Businesses with small range of products
suffer the most as their products are sensitive to changes in
incomes.
Slump – Bottom of recession. High unemployment, low
consumer spending, investment and export earnings. Poor cash
flow and closing down of businesses.
Growth – GDP starts to rise again. National output and
income begin to increase, level of consumption, investment,
exports and employment will gradually rise.
Growth
• Increasing sales;
• Increases employment;
• Small increases in production;
• Businesses begin to consider investment;
• Growing business confidence, although still
some uncertainty.
Boom
• High capacity utilisation;
• Low unemployment;
• High levels of demand leading to inflation;
• Wage increases due to labour shortages;
• Significant business investment and
expansion;
• An increase in new business start ups;
• High confidence;
• Unnecessary risks.
Recession
• Falling demand (increased promotion, price
cut, special offers);
• Businesses will cut output;
• Unemployment will rise;
• Businesses will cut back on investment;
• Business closures will increase;
• There will be a fall in business confidence.
Slump
• Falling demand;
• Low production;
• Little if any business investment;
• High unemployment;
• High number of business closures;
• Low business confidence.
Government economic
objectives
• Economic growth - Increase in GDP;
• Low unemployment;
• Low inflation;
• Positive Balance of payments.
Economic growth – Increase in GDP
• Increase in GDP leads to increase in production
leads to increase in employment;
• Standard of living of the people rises – people will
become richer;
• Business owners will expand as people will have
more money to spend.
• However, rapid growth leads to pollution,
overcrowding and environmental damage.
• Also, little incentive to control costs, management
attention is on external growth rather than
internal efficiency.
Economic growth – Increase in GDP
Factors affecting economic growth –
• Labour – more skilled labour leads to growth;
• Natural resources;
• International trade – If exports are more than
imports;
• Technology – Increases business ability to
produce goods;
• Government impact – through taxation, govt
spending and regulations;
• Confidence – more investment, new products.
Unemployment
• When people want to work but cannot find a
job;
• They don’t produce anything so total level of
output in the country is lower;
• Many governments provide unemployment
benefits – increases cost to the government
hence they reduce spending on schools and
hospitals.
• Reduced standard of living of the people.
Inflation
• Increase in the average price level of goods
and services over time;
• Workers wages shall not buy as many goods
as before, this means REAL INCOME falls;
• Prices of goods shall be higher in comparison
to other countries. Hence, more imports;
• Jobs lost as not much demand for goods and
services;
• Living standards will fall.
Balance of payments
• Difference between country’s exports and
imports;
• If the value of imports > value of exports =
BOP deficit;
• The country can run out of foreign currencies
and then the country will have to borrow;
• Price of own country’s currency against other
currencies will fall – exchange rate
depreciation.
Activity
For Country A, identify which of the following are imports or
exports:
i Washing machines purchased from Country B