Lecture 19
Lecture 19
Flood Estimation
FLOODS-ESTIMATION AND CONTROL
8.1 SIZE OF FLOODS
A flood is an unusual high stage of a river due to runoff from
rainfall and/or melting of snow in quantities too great to be
confined in the normal water surface elevations of the river or
stream, as the result of unusual meteorological combination.
The maximum flood that any structure can safely pass is called the
‘design flood’ and is selected after consideration of economic and
hydrologic factors.
The design flood is related to the project feature; for example, the
spillway design flood may be much higher than the flood control
reservoir design flood or the design flood adopted for the
temporary coffer dams.
A design flood may be arrived by considering the cost of constructing the
structure
to provide flood control and
the flood control benefits arising directly by
◦ prevention of damage to structures downstream,
◦ disruption communication,
◦ loss of life and property,
◦ damage to crops and
◦ underutilization of land and
indirectly,
◦ the money saved under insurance and workmen’s compensation laws,
◦ higher yields from intensive cultivation of protected lands and elimination of losses
arising from interruption of business,
◦ reduction in diseases resulting from inundation of flood waters.
The direct benefits are called tangible benefits and the indirect benefits are
called intangible benefits.
The design flood is usually selected after making a cost-benefit analysis and
8.2 ESTIMATION OF PEAK FLOOD
(i) Physical indications of past floods—flood marks and local
enquiry
(ii) Empirical formulae and curves
(iii) Concentration time method
(iv) Overland flow hydrograph
(v) Rational method
(vi) Unit hydrograph
(vii) Flood frequency studies
(i) Observations at nearby structure.
By noting the flood marks (and by local enquiry), depths, affluxes
(heading up of water near bridge openings, or similar obstructions to
flow) and other items actually at an existing bridge, on anecut (weir) in
the vicinity, the maximum flood discharge may be estimated.
The flood marks are connected by levelling, the profile is plotted and
HFL marked on it, and the cross sectional area is determined. The
surface fall at HFL is calculated from the difference in HFL at known
distance apart.
It may be checked with the bed slope; there should not be much
disparity between the two. By assuming a suitable value of Manning’s n
for the nature (roughness) of bed and sides of the river, the velocity
may be determined by Manning’s or Chezy’s formula and the flood
discharge estimated, see example 6.4.
(ii) Empirical Flood Formulae
1. Dickens formula for moderate size basins of north and
central India
◦ Q = CA3/4 ...(8.1)
◦ the coefficient C = 11–14, where the aar is 60–120 cm
◦ = 14–19 in Madhya Pradesh
◦ = 32 in western Ghats
up to 35, maximum value
2. Ryves formula derived from a study of
rivers in south India
◦ A = CA2/3 ...(8.2)
◦ Coefficient C = 6.8 within 80 km of coast
◦ = 8.3 for areas between 80 and 2400 km from
the coast
◦ = 10.0 for limited area near the hills
◦ up to 40, actual observed values
3. Inglis formula for fan-shaped
catchments of Bombay state
(Maharashtra)