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Statistics and Reliability in Design

The document presents a comprehensive overview of the integration of statistics and reliability in mechanical system design, emphasizing their importance in predicting failures and enhancing product durability. It includes literature reviews, key concepts, case studies, and conclusions that highlight the benefits of using statistical methods and reliability analysis in design processes. Future scope suggests advancements in simulation techniques, IoT integration, and sustainable practices to further improve reliability in engineering solutions.

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sayaliborse2004
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31 views15 pages

Statistics and Reliability in Design

The document presents a comprehensive overview of the integration of statistics and reliability in mechanical system design, emphasizing their importance in predicting failures and enhancing product durability. It includes literature reviews, key concepts, case studies, and conclusions that highlight the benefits of using statistical methods and reliability analysis in design processes. Future scope suggests advancements in simulation techniques, IoT integration, and sustainable practices to further improve reliability in engineering solutions.

Uploaded by

sayaliborse2004
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Subject : Mechanical System Design (ME3276)

Semester 6 : 2024-2025
Mechanical Engineering Department

STATISTICS AND RELIABILITY IN


DESIGN
Name of Presenters : Anjali Wakhure (5)
Anshul Nimje
Onkar Autade
Aditya Bharsakle
Sayali Borse (25) (12210300)
CONTENT OUTLINE :
 Introduction
 Literature Review
 Key Concepts of Statistics in Design
 Reliability in Design
 Methods to Ensure Reliability
 Applications in Mechanical Design
 Conclusions
 Scope for Future
 References
INTRODUCTION
• Statistics In Design : Statistics in design means using data to make
better designs.

• Reliability In Design : Reliability in design means ensuring a product


works correctly for a long time without failure.

• Why To Combine Statistics and Reliability ? : Combining statistics and


reliability helps predict failures and improve product durability.
• Title : Computation of Reliability Statistics for Success-Failure Experiments.
LITERATURE REVIEW 1 :

• Authors | Year: Sanjay M. Joshi, 2023

• Abstract : This study introduces computational methods for estimating reliability, confidence,
and assurance in success-failure experiments, particularly when sample sizes are finite.

• Methodology : Developed formulas and Python tools for quick, reliable estimates using
Brent's method.

• Conclusion : The proposed methods enhance the accuracy and applicability of reliability
statistics in scenarios with limited data, supporting more reliable design decisions.
LITERATURE REVIEW 2 :
• Title : A review of reliability-based methods for risk analysis and their application in the
offshore wind industry.

• Authors | Year : M Leimeister , A Kolios 2018

• Abstract : This study introduces reliability-based methods for risk analysis, focusing on
their applications in the offshore wind industry.

• Methodology : The study explores risk analysis using probability and statistics, focusing
on offshore wind structures.

• Conclusion : Reliability-based methods provide a robust framework for assessing and


mitigating risks in the offshore wind industry, enhancing safety and performance.
KEY CONCEPTS OF STATISTICS IN DESIGN :

• Probability Distribution : A function that predicts outcome likelihoods in a system.

• Statistical Data Analysis : Collects and interprets data using mean, median, variance, and
standard deviation.

• Design margin and safety factors : Buffers to ensure reliability by considering load,
material, and environment variations.

• Tolerance Analysis : Studies dimension variations using Monte Carlo simulations and
RSS method.
KEY CONCEPTS OF STATISTICS IN DESIGN :

• Regression Analysis - A statistical method to model relationships between variables.

• Hypothesis Testing - A method to validate assumptions about design parameters using


statistical tests.

• Statistical Process Control (SPC) - A method to monitor and control processes using
statistical techniques.
KEY CONCEPTS OF RELIABILITY IN DESIGN :
• Mean Time to Failure (MTTF): Average time a non-repairable component operates before
failure.

• Mean Time Between Failures (MTBF):Average time between failures for repairable systems.

• Reliability Function (R(t)):The probability that a component will perform without failure up
to time t.

• Failure Rate (λ):Rate at which components fail, often expressed as failures per hour.
KEY CONCEPTS OF RELIABILITY IN DESIGN :
• Failure Modes and Effects Analysis (FMEA) – A method to identify and analyze potential
system failures.

• Reliability Block Diagrams (RBD) -A graphical representation of system components and


their reliability relationships.

• Accelerated Life Testing: Testing under harsh conditions to predict lifespan.

• Environmental Testing: Testing under temperature, humidity, or vibration stresses.


CASE STUDY 1 : Reliability-Based Topology Optimization Using Stochastic Gradients (2021)

• Overview: Introduced a stochastic gradient-based method for reliability-based topology


optimization (RBTO).

• Method: Estimated failure probabilities with efficient sampling and updated designs via
stochastic gradient descent.

• Key Findings: Achieved reliable designs with reduced computational costs compared to
traditional RBTO methods.
CASE STUDY 2 :Comparative Study on Reliability Estimation Using Monte Carlo Simulation
for Cylindrical Pressure Vessels (2022)

• Overview: Evaluated burst pressure criteria by estimating failure probabilities using


Monte Carlo simulations.

• Focus: Analyzed variations in design parameters like material properties and operating
pressure.

• Key Findings: Identified sensitivity of burst pressure criteria to design changes, aiding in
reliability-based design selection.
CASE STUDY 3 :Statistical Analysis of Material, Geometrical,
and Imperfection Characteristics of Structural Stainless Steels and
Members (2020).
• Overview: Created a database to statistically analyze parameters affecting stainless steel
strength (geometry, material, imperfections, residual stresses).

• Key Findings: Proposed probabilistic models for reliability frameworks in member-based


and system-based stainless-steel designs.
CONCLUSION :

•Statistics and reliability ensure robust, efficient, and failure-resistant mechanical designs.

•Integrating statistical analysis and reliability improves design decisions.

•Case studies show the real-world use of methods like Monte Carlo simulations.

•A systematic reliability approach fosters innovation and trust in engineering solutions.


FUTURE SCOPE :
•Advanced Simulation Techniques

•Integration with IoT

•Sustainable Design Practices

•Multi-Disciplinary Approaches

•Customized Reliability Models

•Global Standards
REFERENCES :

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