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3.1 Time Value of Money

The document discusses the Time Value of Money (TVM), emphasizing that a dollar today is worth more than a dollar in the future due to potential earning capacity. It covers key concepts such as present value, future value, interest rates, and the impact of compounding on investments. Practical examples illustrate how to calculate future and present values using formulas, financial calculators, and Excel.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
5 views

3.1 Time Value of Money

The document discusses the Time Value of Money (TVM), emphasizing that a dollar today is worth more than a dollar in the future due to potential earning capacity. It covers key concepts such as present value, future value, interest rates, and the impact of compounding on investments. Practical examples illustrate how to calculate future and present values using formulas, financial calculators, and Excel.

Uploaded by

dusadpiyush96
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Time Value of Money

Module 3, Lecture 1

Dr. Annette Poulsen


Sterne Professor of Banking and Finance
Josiah Meigs Distinguished Teaching Professor
Introduction
• In any business decision, decision makers consider:

• What are the expected future cash flows?

• What is the length of time until receiving cash


flows?

• What is the riskiness of the future cash flows?

• What else could be done with the capital?

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Time Value of Money (TVM)
• Time value of money refers to the idea that a dollar today
is not the same thing as a dollar expected tomorrow

• TVM is key to understanding financial decisions

• TVM is quantified through the use of Discounted Cash


Flow Analysis (DCF)

• DCF accounts for both the timing and the riskiness of


cash flows

3
Time Value of Money
• Any decisions involving investing or financing where
cash flows occur at different points in time require an
understanding of the time value of money

• This will be one of the most crucial and enduring topics


covered in this course.

4
Some definitions
Basic terms

• Rate of interest, r = return on the investment. Also called the


discount rate
• Present value, PVt=0 = the value today of an investment
• Future value, FVt = the value of an investment at the end of
time period t.
• Cash payments, Ct = payments made during the investment
period
• Time period, t (or n) = when a cash flow occurs. (We
assume all cash flows occur at the end of the period unless
otherwise stated).

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Some definitions (continued)
• The future value, FVt, is the value of an investment at the end of
time period t.

• PV0 is the value of an investment today (t=0).

• The rate of interest, r, is the rate of return on the investment. This


is also called the discount rate.

• The cash flow, Ct, is the net cash flow at the end of period t.

• (Note that there is some tendency to use “n” and “t”


interchangeably…. The same is true for “r” and “i” for interest rate)

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The Timeline
• A timeline helps in analyzing many finance
problems.

PV0 C1 C2 C3 C4 C5 C6 C7 C8

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

04/17/2025 Time Value of Money Part 1 7


Single period problem
• Suppose I put $100 in the bank today and earn 5% per year.
What is my account worth in one year?

• You can probably do this in your head but there is a formula:

• FV = PV * (1 + r)

• FV = 100 * (1 + .05)
• FV = 105
• The interest rate is called the discount rate or cost of capital
or market rate (or….)
• The rate reflects the riskiness of the investment and
compensation for giving up use of your money for a year

8
Single period problem
• We can also determine the present value of a cash flow in
the future – rearrange the equation…

• Recall FV = PV * (1+r)  PV = FV/(1+r)

• PV = FV / (1 + r)

• If you need $20,000 for a car next year after graduation, put
away ?? now. You can earn 3% in your savings account.

• PV = 20,000 / (1 + .03) = 19,417.47

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Compound interest
• Compound interest is due (or paid) not only on the
principal but on prior interest also.

• The amount of interest due each period is the interest


rate times the principal amount at the beginning of each
period.

10
Future value with compound interest
• For one period:
• FV1 = PV0(1 + r)

• For two periods:


• FV2 = PV1(1 + r) = [PV0 (1 + r)] (1 + r )
• FV2 = PV0(1 + r)2

• In general:
• FVt = PV0 (1 + r)t

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The power of compounding…
.

Starting balance = $10,000

12
Types of interest rates
Compound annual return 1926 – 2018

Interest rates reflect the riskiness of the investment –


investors need compensation to bear risk

Data from Ibbotson SBBI Yearbook


Compound
Investment Risk Profile Annual Return
Small Stocks Medium to high 11.8%
Large Stock Medium 10.0%
Long-term Gov’t Bonds Low 5.5%
Treasury Bills Low 3.3%
Inflation 2.9%

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.
Ibbotson Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation 1926-2023
Example: Multi-period compounding
• You deposit $5,000 into an account which pays 10%
compounded annually.

• If you leave the money (plus all accumulated interest) in


the account for 5 years, what is the balance at the end of
the 5th year.

15
Solution 1 – The long way

• FV1 = $5,000 ( 1 + .10) = $5,500

• FV2 = $5,500 ( 1 + .10) = $6,050

• FV3 = $6,050 ( 1 + .10) = $6,655

• FV4 = $6,655 ( 1 + .10) = $7,320

• FV5 = $7,320 ( 1 + .10) = $8,052

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Solution 2 – Arithmetic

• FVt = PV (1 + r)t

• t=5

• r = .10 or 10%

• FV5 = $5000 (1 + .10)5 = $8052.55

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Solution 3 – TI-BAII Plus
• Use the time value of money keys (N, I/Y, PV, PMT, FV).
• Set payments per period = 1
• Set to payments at end of period.
• Clear the calculator’s registers.

• N=5

• I/Y = 10

• PV = -5000

• PMT = 0; Solve for: FV = 8052.55

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Solving on TI-BAII Plus
• 5 N

• 10 I/Y

• 5000 +/- PV (I.e., enter as negative value.)

• 0 PMT

• CPT FV

• Answer FV = $8052.55

• Note the signs!

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Solution 4 – Excel
• Excel is similar to the financial calculator The function for
finding future value is:

=FV(rate, nper, pmt, pv, type)

• Rate = interest rate per period in percent terms (10% or .10)

• Nper = number of periods

• Pmt = payment made each period

• PV = present value

• Type = 0 if regular annuity, 1 if annuity due (payment at


beginning of period). 0 is the default

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Solving in Excel
• Rate = .10

• Nper = 5

• Pmt = 0

• PV = -5000

• =FV (.10, 5, 0, -5000)  $8052.55

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Another example
• Suppose I put $5000 in a mutual fund that is expected to earn
15% per year. How long before my investment doubles?

• On the calculator:

N=??, I=15, PV = 5000, PMT = 0, FV = -10000


CPT N  N=4.96

• In Excel =nper(rate, pmt, pv, fv):

• =NPER(.15,0,5000,-10000)
• 4.96

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Present value
• Present value calculations find the amount at time zero, or PV 0,
that is equivalent to some future amount FV t.

• The present value of a future amount received in t years


discounted at interest rate r is:

• PV0 = FVt / (1 + r)t

• Or, PV0 = Ct / (1 + r)t

• Notice that we have simply rearranged the terms of the FV


equation from the last lecture

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Example: Present value
• In 10 years, you will need $10,000.

• If you can earn 12% on any money invested during this


ten-year period, how much would you have to deposit
today to meet your investment goal?

• As before, we can do the arithmetic, use the financial


calculator or excel to solve this problem

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Solution 1: Arithmetic

• PV0 = FVt / (1 + r)t

• PV0 = $10,000 / (1 + .12)10

• PV0 = $10,000 / 3.1058 = $3,219.78

• Thus, if we put $3,219.78 in an account that earns 12%


interest, it will be worth $10,000 in 10 years.

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Solution 2: Calculator
• Make sure the calculator’s registers are clear, payments
per year equal 1 and payments are at end of period.

• N = 10, I = 12, PMT = 0, FV = $10000

• Solve for: PV = -$3219.73


• (Keystrokes: 10 N, 12 I, 0 PMT, 10000 FV, CPT PV )

• Note that PV and FV have opposite signs.


• Note that the interest rate is entered as 12

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Solution 3: Excel
• The function name is PV

• The form is =PV(rate, nper, pmt, fv, type)

• The solution:

• =PV(.12, 10, 0, 10000) -$3219.73

• Again, note that PV and FV have opposite signs.


• Note that the interest rate is entered as .12

27
Example Present Value
• Suppose a friend wants to borrow $1,000 today. He
promises to pay you back $1,050 next year. If you want
a 10% return on your investment, what should you do?

• I.e., would you lend $1000 today to receive $1050 a year


from now if you want a 10% rate of return

• PV of investment = $1050 / 1.10 = $954


• No … the most you would be willing to lend today is $954

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Example Future Value
• Suppose that a friend wants you to help fund her investment. She
wants to own and operate a Zaxby’s franchise and seeks $100,000
from you today. Based on your analysis, you decide you want a 12%
annual return and will seek to end your investment in 10 years. What
will be the required payment to you in 10 years to earn a 12% return?

• I.e., find the future value such that you earn a 12% return over 10
years:

• FV = $100,000 * 1.12^10 = 310,585

• N=10, I=12, PV=100000, PMT=0  FV = -310,585

• Again, note the opposite signs on PV and FV

29
Things to think about
• As r increases, the PV of an amount in the future
decreases.

• As t increases, the PV of an amount in the future


decreases.

• As r increases, the future value of the cash flow increases.

• As t increases, the future value of the cash flow increases.

30

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