Lesson 7 Probability ME and NME (1)
Lesson 7 Probability ME and NME (1)
GRADE 10
MATHEMATICS
PRAYER
MISSION
To provide excellent and responsive programs
and services, adopt empowering management
systems, and build a learning, caring, and
praying community, guided by the teachings
of St. Benedicts, and the example of St. Bede.
VISION
To be a leading Catholic Christian educational
institution committed to the holistic formation
of persons who excel in their respective
endeavors and are guided by the Benedictine
principles of PRAYER, Work and Peace.
OBJECTIVES
• To identify whether an event is mutually
exclusive or non-mutually exclusive events.
• To find the probability of mutually and non-
mutually exclusive events.
IN BETWEEN CARD GAME
1. Each group shall be given three (3) colored papers. Each paper is
equivalent to 1 signature.
2. The entire game is consisting of 7 rounds
3. The teacher shall pick two cards from ordinary deck per round and this
shall be shown to the class.
4. Each group is required to make a BET of at least one (1) and a max. of 3
colored papers per round.
They are given 15 seconds to place their bets.
5. Each group has 4 choices to choose from. Higher, Lower, In between or
Same.
Point system: H, L, IB – 1:1 Same – 1:2
6. The group with the highest number of colored papers shall be declared
winners. The number of colored papers of the
winning group shall be added to their recitation points.
Marginal Probability
known as the probability of
occurrence of a single event.
Example:
P(Ace) or P(A)
P(Heart) or P(H)
P(Red card) or
P(R)
Joint Probability
known as the probability of simultaneous
occurrence that two or more events can
occur together.
Example:
P(Red Face card) or P(Red and
Face) or P(R and F) or P(R∩F)
Mutually Exclusive Events
Two events are said to be mutually exclusive
events if there is no opportunity for them to
occur simultaneously or if they have no
common sample point.
Example:
P(Ace and King) or P(A∩K) = 0
Non-Mutually Exclusive Events
Events that can happen at the same time
are non-mutually exclusive events.
Example:
P(Ace and Spade) or P(A∩S)
ME
01 The event of getting a total
of 7 or 11 in throwing two
ME
ME OR NOT ME 02 The event of getting a spade or
heart card when a card is drawn
from an ordinary deck.
Tell whether the ff. pair of events
NOT ME
03
is mutually or non-mutually The event of getting a spade or
face card when a card is drawn
exclusive events. from an ordinary deck.
ADDITION RULE
For non-mutually exclusive
events
P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A and B) or
P(AB) = P(A) + P(B) – P(AB)
For mutually exclusive
events P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)
P(AB) = P(A) + P(B)
EXAMPLE #1
If a card is drawn from an ordinary deck, find the
probability of each of the following;
a. spade or face card. b. face card or red card.
SOLUTION:
P(SF) = P(S) + P(F) – P(SF)
P(S) =
P(S) =
EXAMPLE #1
If a card is drawn from an ordinary deck, find the
probability of each of the following;
a. spade or face card. b. face card or red card.
SOLUTION:
P(FR) = P(F) + P(R) – P(FR)
P(FR) =
P(FR) =
EXAMPLE #2
A retailer estimates that the probability that the price of
basic commodity will increase, decrease or remain
unchanged during a given month is 0.35, 0.10, and 0.55,
respectively. What is the probability that the price of the
commodity will change during the month?
SOLUTION:
P(change) = P(increase or decrease)
P(change) = P(increase) +
P(change)P(decrease)
= 0.35 + 0.10 = 0.45
EXAMPLE #2
A retailer estimates that the probability that the price of
basic commodity will increase, decrease or remain
unchanged during a given month is 0.35, 0.10, and 0.55,
respectively. What is the probability that the price of the
commodity will change during the month?
SOLUTION:
P(change) = 1 - P(unchanged)
P(change) = 1 – 0.55
P(change) = 0.45
EXAMPLE #3
An AB freshman student estimates that the probability
that he will pass History 1 is 0.62; the probability that he
will pass Sociology 1 is 0.50; and the probability that he
will pass both subjects is 0.40.What is the probability
that he will pass at least one of these subjects?
SOLUTION:
P(at least one) = P(H or S)
P(H or S) = P(H) + P(S) – P(H and
P(H or S) = 0.62S)+ 0.50 – 0.40 =
0.72
SUM IT UP
Two events are said to be mutually exclusive
events if there is no opportunity for them to
occur simultaneously or if they have no common
sample point.
MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE
needs?
YOUR
C.
TURN!
Read, analyze and solve the problems below. Write your complete solution on the space
provided.
1. In a box there are 7 white, 8 blue and 5 red marbles. If a marble is selected at random, what
is the probability that it is white or red?
2. A storeowner plans to have his annual : “Going out of Business Sale. “ If each month has an
equal chance of being selected, find the probability that the sale will be in a month that begins
with letter M or A.
3. At a high school with 300 students, 62 play football, 33 play baseball and 14 play both
sports. If a student is selected at random, find the probability that the student plays football or
baseball.
4. In a talent portion of a beauty contest, the probability that the judges will like singing as a
talent is 0.38, 0.54 for dancing and 0.42 for both singing and dancing. What is the probability
that the judges will like at least one of these talents?
5. There are 5 white balls, 7 blue balls and 6 pink balls in a box. If one ball is to be drawn at
random, find the probability that it is either white or pink.
THANK YOU!