Chapter 02
Chapter 02
Monetary System
2
Chapter Two
INTERNATIONAL
Chapter Objective: FINANCIAL
MANAGEMENT
This chapter serves to introduce the student to the
institutional framework within which:
Third Edition
International payments are made.
The movement of capital is accommodated.
EUN / RESNICK
Exchange rates are determined.
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Chapter Two Outline
Evolution of the International Monetary System
Current Exchange Rate Arrangements
European Monetary System
Euro and the European Monetary Union
The Mexican Peso Crisis
The Asian Currency Crisis
Fixed versus Flexible Exchange Rate Regimes
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Evolution of the
International Monetary System
Bimetallism: Before 1875
Classical Gold Standard: 1875-1914
Present
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Bimetallism: Before 1875
A “double standard” in the sense that both gold
and silver were used as money.
Some countries were on the gold standard, some
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Classical Gold Standard:
1875-1914
For example, if the dollar is pegged to gold at
U.S.$30 = 1 ounce of gold, and the British pound
is pegged to gold at £6 = 1 ounce of gold, it must
be the case that the exchange rate is determined
by the relative gold contents:
$30 = £6
$5 = £1
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Classical Gold Standard:
1875-1914
Highly stable exchange rates under the classical
gold standard provided an environment that was
conducive to international trade and investment.
Misalignment of exchange rates and international
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Price-Specie-Flow Mechanism
Suppose Great Britain exported more to France than
France imported from Great Britain.
This cannot persist under a gold standard.
Net export of goods from Great Britain to France will be
accompanied by a net flow of gold from France to Great Britain.
This flow of gold will lead to a lower price level in France and, at
the same time, a higher price level in Britain.
The resultant change in relative price levels will slow
exports from Great Britain and encourage exports from
France.
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Classical Gold Standard:
1875-1914
There are shortcomings:
The supply of newly minted gold is so restricted that
the growth of world trade and investment can be
hampered for the lack of sufficient monetary reserves.
Even if the world returned to a gold standard, any
national government could abandon the standard.
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Interwar Period: 1915-1944
Exchange rates fluctuated as countries widely
used “predatory” depreciations of their currencies
as a means of gaining advantage in the world
export market.
Attempts were made to restore the gold standard,
monetary system.
The goal was exchange rate stability without the
gold standard.
The result was the creation of the IMF and the
World Bank.
Pegged at $35/oz.
Gold
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The Flexible Exchange Rate Regime:
1973-Present.
Flexible exchange rates were declared acceptable
to the IMF members.
Central banks were allowed to intervene in the
exchange rate markets to iron out unwarranted
volatilities.
Gold was abandoned as an international reserve
asset.
Non-oil-exporting countries and less-developed
€
It was inspired by the Greek letter epsilon, in
reference to the cradle of European civilization
and to the first letter of the word 'Europe'.
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What are the different denominations
of the euro notes and coins ?
There are be 7 euro notes and 8 euro coins.
The notes are: €500, €200, €100, €50, €20, €10,
and €5.
The coins will be: 2 euro, 1 euro, 50 euro cent, 20
currencies.
40 percent.
recession.
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Currency Crisis Explanations
In theory, a currency’s value mirrors the fundamental
strength of its underlying economy, relative to other
economies. In the long run.
In the short run, currency trader’s expectations play a
much more important role.
In today’s environment, traders and lenders, using the
most modern communications, act by fight-or-flight
instincts. For example, if they expect others are about to
sell Brazilian reals for U.S. dollars, they want to “get to
the exits first”.
Thus, fears of depreciation become self-fulfilling
prophecies.
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Fixed versus Flexible
Exchange Rate Regimes
Arguments in favor of flexible exchange rates:
Easier external adjustments.
National policy autonomy.
Arguments against flexible exchange rates:
Exchange rate uncertainty may hamper international
trade.
No safeguards to prevent crises.
(S)
Demand
$1.40 (D)
Trade deficit
S D Q of £
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Flexible
Exchange Rate Regimes
Under a flexible exchange rate regime, the dollar
will simply depreciate to $1.60/£, the price at
which supply equals demand and the trade deficit
disappears.
(S)
$1.60
Dollar depreciates Demand
$1.40 (flexible regime) (D)
Demand (D*)
D=S Q of £
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Fixed versus Flexible
Exchange Rate Regimes
Instead, suppose the exchange rate is “fixed” at
$1.40/£, and thus the imbalance between supply
and demand cannot be eliminated by a price
change.
The government would have to shift the demand
curve from D to D*
In this example this corresponds to contractionary
monetary and fiscal policies.
Contractionary
(exchange rate)
policies (S)
(fixed regime)
Demand
$1.40 (D)
Demand (D*)
D* = S Q of £
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End Chapter Two