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Time Series Models Presentation

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Shivam Kushwaha
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
10 views25 pages

Time Series Models Presentation

Uploaded by

Shivam Kushwaha
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Time Series Models in Data

Analytics for Engineering


Understanding Patterns Over Time
Your Name | Date | Institution
Introduction
• • Time Series: Sequential data over time
• • Importance in Engineering and Analytics
• • Applications in real-world engineering
problems
Table of Contents
• 1. Introduction
• 2. Basics of Time Series
• 3. Components of Time Series
• 4. Time Series Models
• 5. Applications in Engineering
• 6. Challenges and Future Trends
Basics of Time Series
• • Definition: Sequential data over time
• • Examples: Temperature readings, stock
prices
• • Key characteristics: Trend, seasonality,
cyclicity
Components of Time Series
• • Trend: Long-term movement
• • Seasonality: Regular patterns
• • Cyclicity: Repeating fluctuations
• • Noise: Random variations
Types of Time Series
• • Univariate vs Multivariate
• • Stationary vs Non-Stationary
• • Deterministic vs Stochastic
Time Series Models Overview
• • Classical Models
• • Statistical Models
• • Machine Learning Models
Classical Models
• • Moving Average (MA)
• • Exponential Smoothing
• • ARIMA (AutoRegressive Integrated Moving
Average)
Statistical Models
• • Linear Regression for Time Series
• • State Space Models
• • Seasonal Decomposition
Machine Learning Models
• • Decision Trees
• • Support Vector Machines (SVM)
• • Neural Networks (RNN, LSTM)
ARIMA Model
• • Definition and Purpose
• • Steps: Identification, Estimation, Diagnostic
Checking
• • Example with a simple dataset
Moving Average
• • Concept and Formula
• • Smoothing data to identify trends
• • Example visualization
Exponential Smoothing
• • Single, Double, and Triple Exponential
Smoothing
• • Applications in forecasting
Neural Networks
• • Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN)
• • Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)
• • Advantages in handling complex patterns
Applications in Engineering
• • Predictive Maintenance
• • Energy Consumption Forecasting
• • Traffic Flow Analysis
Case Study 1: Predictive
Maintenance
• • Topic: Predictive Maintenance in Industrial
Machines
• • Method: Using ARIMA to forecast machine
failures
Case Study 2: Traffic Flow
Prediction
• • Topic: Traffic Flow Prediction
• • Method: Neural Networks for accurate
modeling
Tools for Time Series Analysis
• • Python Libraries: Pandas, NumPy,
Statsmodels, Scikit-learn
• • Software: MATLAB, R, Excel
Challenges in Time Series
• • Handling missing data
• • Non-stationary data
• • Model selection and tuning
Future Trends
• • Integration with IoT
• • Real-time Time Series Analysis
• • Advanced AI-driven models
Visualization Techniques
• • Line Plots
• • Heatmaps
• • Seasonal Decomposition Plots
Summary
• • Recap of key points
• • Importance of Time Series in engineering
analytics
References
• • Include all sources used for the presentation
Q&A
• • Open floor for questions
Thank You
• • Closing slide with a message of gratitude

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