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Time Series Models in Data
Analytics for Engineering
Understanding Patterns Over Time Your Name | Date | Institution Introduction • • Time Series: Sequential data over time • • Importance in Engineering and Analytics • • Applications in real-world engineering problems Table of Contents • 1. Introduction • 2. Basics of Time Series • 3. Components of Time Series • 4. Time Series Models • 5. Applications in Engineering • 6. Challenges and Future Trends Basics of Time Series • • Definition: Sequential data over time • • Examples: Temperature readings, stock prices • • Key characteristics: Trend, seasonality, cyclicity Components of Time Series • • Trend: Long-term movement • • Seasonality: Regular patterns • • Cyclicity: Repeating fluctuations • • Noise: Random variations Types of Time Series • • Univariate vs Multivariate • • Stationary vs Non-Stationary • • Deterministic vs Stochastic Time Series Models Overview • • Classical Models • • Statistical Models • • Machine Learning Models Classical Models • • Moving Average (MA) • • Exponential Smoothing • • ARIMA (AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average) Statistical Models • • Linear Regression for Time Series • • State Space Models • • Seasonal Decomposition Machine Learning Models • • Decision Trees • • Support Vector Machines (SVM) • • Neural Networks (RNN, LSTM) ARIMA Model • • Definition and Purpose • • Steps: Identification, Estimation, Diagnostic Checking • • Example with a simple dataset Moving Average • • Concept and Formula • • Smoothing data to identify trends • • Example visualization Exponential Smoothing • • Single, Double, and Triple Exponential Smoothing • • Applications in forecasting Neural Networks • • Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) • • Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) • • Advantages in handling complex patterns Applications in Engineering • • Predictive Maintenance • • Energy Consumption Forecasting • • Traffic Flow Analysis Case Study 1: Predictive Maintenance • • Topic: Predictive Maintenance in Industrial Machines • • Method: Using ARIMA to forecast machine failures Case Study 2: Traffic Flow Prediction • • Topic: Traffic Flow Prediction • • Method: Neural Networks for accurate modeling Tools for Time Series Analysis • • Python Libraries: Pandas, NumPy, Statsmodels, Scikit-learn • • Software: MATLAB, R, Excel Challenges in Time Series • • Handling missing data • • Non-stationary data • • Model selection and tuning Future Trends • • Integration with IoT • • Real-time Time Series Analysis • • Advanced AI-driven models Visualization Techniques • • Line Plots • • Heatmaps • • Seasonal Decomposition Plots Summary • • Recap of key points • • Importance of Time Series in engineering analytics References • • Include all sources used for the presentation Q&A • • Open floor for questions Thank You • • Closing slide with a message of gratitude