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Machine learning 2

The document presents a research project focused on developing a machine learning-driven system for identifying potential theft in smart grid systems to enhance security and efficiency. It highlights the limitations of traditional theft detection methods and proposes a proactive approach that utilizes real-time data analysis to detect anomalies indicative of theft. The project includes an architectural design, algorithms, and expected outcomes, aiming to improve the reliability and operational efficiency of smart grids.

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5 views

Machine learning 2

The document presents a research project focused on developing a machine learning-driven system for identifying potential theft in smart grid systems to enhance security and efficiency. It highlights the limitations of traditional theft detection methods and proposes a proactive approach that utilizes real-time data analysis to detect anomalies indicative of theft. The project includes an architectural design, algorithms, and expected outcomes, aiming to improve the reliability and operational efficiency of smart grids.

Uploaded by

featureswag83
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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St.

MARTIN’S ENGINEERING COLLEGE


UGC Autonomous
NBA & NAAC A+ ACCREDITED
Dhulapally, Secunderabad– 500100

Department of INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY

ML-DRIVEN POTENTIAL THEFT IDENTIFICATION fOR


ENHANCING INTEGRITY AND EFFICIENCY OF SMART GRID
SYSTEMS
Batch No: 21
1. S Sai Praneeth (22K81A1255)
2. V Srinija (22K81A1263)
3. B Manikanand (22K81A1206)

Under the Guidance of


Mrs.K.Surya Kanthi
Assistant Professor
Department of INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY
OUTLINE
1. Abstract
2. Introduction
3. Literature Survey
4. Existing System
5. Proposed System
6. Architectural Design For Proposed System
7. UML Diagrams
8. Algorithm
9. Source Code
10. Expected Outcomes
11. References
ABSTRACT
The security and efficiency of smart grid systems are increasingly being threatened by
potential thefts, cyber-attacks, and unauthorized access, leading to significant financial
and operational losses. Traditional approaches for detecting theft and ensuring grid
integrity rely heavily on manual monitoring, which is both time-consuming and prone to
human error. This research introduces a machine learning (ML)-driven system designed
to identify potential thefts and optimize the efficiency of smart grid systems.By
leveraging data such as energy consumption patterns, grid operations, and external
factors, the system can detect anomalies in real-time, predicting suspicious activities
that may indicate theft or fraud.
PROBLEM STATEMENT

• As the adoption of smart grid technologies grows, theft and unauthorized access pose serious
risks to the reliability, security, and efficiency of the system.

• Traditional theft detection mechanisms are reactive and cannot keep pace with the evolving
techniques used by those attempting to steal energy.

• The problem lies in the ability of utility companies to monitor and detect suspicious activities
across vast, decentralized networks that generate enormous amounts of data.
INTRODUCTION

• Smart grid systems, which integrate advanced communication technologies with traditional
electrical grids, aim to optimize energy distribution, improve grid reliability, and enable real-time
monitoring of energy usage. Sentiment analysis and platform insights can help businesses make
sense of this data and improve user experience.
• However, as these systems become more complex and interconnected, they become vulnerable to
potential theft, fraud, and cyber-attacks.
• By analyzing the vast datasets generated by smart grids, this system will help utility companies
proactively detect and prevent theft, thereby improving both grid security and operational efficiency.
LITERATURE SURVEY
S.
No Author Title Year Contributions

1. Proposed a hybrid model


Machine Learning-Based using SVM and Random
Iqbal,M., Khan, A.,
Electricity Theft 2021 Forest to identify
Ahmed, S. anomalies in smart grid
Detection in Smart Grids
consumption data.
2. Power Utility Non- Developed a clustering-
Nizar, A. H., Dong, Z. Technical Loss Analysis based anomaly detection
2020
Y., Wang, Y. with Extreme Learning approach using K-means
Machine for fraud detection.
3. Deep Learning Models for Utilized CNN-LSTM and
Jiang, L., Li, X., Electricity Theft XGBoost to improve
2022
Zhao, Y. Classification in Smart accuracy in theft
Grids classification.
EXISTING SYSTEM

Traditional theft detection systems in smart grids rely on physical inspections, periodic
audits, and customer complaints. These systems are reactive, only identifying theft after
it has occurred or been reported.

Limitations:
• Reactive approach to theft detection.

• Labor-intensive and time-consuming physical inspections.

• Inability to scale efficiently across large smart grid networks.

• Limited capacity to identify sophisticated theft methods.

• Lack of real-time monitoring and anomaly detection.


PROPOSED SYSTEM
The proposed ML-driven system offers a proactive and scalable approach to detecting
theft in smart grid systems. By continuously analyzing energy consumption data, the
system can identify anomalies and flag potential thefts in real-time.

Advantages:
• Real-time anomaly detection, enabling early identification of theft and fraud.

• Scalable to handle large datasets and complex grid structures.

• Automated analysis of energy consumption patterns, reducing the need for manual inspections.

• Ability to detect sophisticated theft techniques, including cyber intrusions and meter tampering.

• Improved efficiency and cost-effectiveness compared to traditional methods.


ARCHITECTURAL DESIGN FOR PROPOSED SYSTEM
UML DIAGRAMS
• CLASS DIAGRAM

• ACTIVITY DIAGRAM
• USE CASE DIAGRAM

• SEQUENCE DIAGRAM
• DATAFLOW DIAGRAM

• DEPLOYMENT DIAGRAM
ALGORITHM
Step 1: Data Collection – Gather energy consumption data with relevant factors like time, weather, and grid parameters.

Step 2: Data Preprocessing – Handle missing values, normalize data, and extract key features.

Step 3: Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA) – Identify usage patterns, detect outliers, and visualize trends.

Step 4: Data Splitting – Split data into training (80%) and testing (20%) sets.

Step 5: Model Training – Train ML models (Random Forest, XGBoost, Neural Networks) for theft detection.

Step 6: Model Evaluation – Measure accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score.

Step 7: Real-Time Detection – Deploy the model for continuous monitoring and anomaly detection.

Step 8: Alert System – Generate alerts and notify administrators for verification.

Step 9: Continuous Learning – Update and retrain the model with new data to enhance detection accuracy.
PROJECT MODULES SPLIT
• Upload Dataset: Import and organize the network traffic dataset.
• Data Preprocessing: Cleanse and format the data for analysis, handling missing values and
outliers.
• Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA): Perform visualization (countplot, correlation plot, heatmap)
to understand data patterns.
• Data Splitting: Split the data into training and testing datasets using train_test_split.
• Model Building: Develop a machine learning model for threat detection, focusing on
classification.
• Model Testing: Evaluate the model on the test dataset to measure accuracy and performance.
• Performance Evaluation: Assess the model’s performance using metrics like accuracy,
precision, recall, and F1 score.
• Model Prediction: Apply the trained model to new, unseen test data to predict cyber threats.
SOURCE CODE
import numpy as np # for linear algebra

import pandas as pd # for data processing and CSV file I/O

import os # for directory and file handling

data = pd.read_csv('/kaggle/input/theft-detection-scheme-in-smart-grids/AllData.csv')

user_data = data[data['UserId'] == '00002188D4496609AC58502A1241C0E0'].iloc[:, 2:] # Skip 'UserId' and


'IsStealer' columns

# Transpose the data so each date is a row

user_data = user_data.T

user_data.columns = ['Consumption'] # Rename the column

user_data.index = pd.to_datetime(user_data.index) # Convert dates to datetime format


# Plot

plt.figure(figsize=(14, 6))

plt.plot(user_data.index, user_data['Consumption'], label='User Consumption')

plt.title('Electricity Consumption Over Time for User 00002188D4496609AC58502A1241C0E0')

plt.xlabel('Date')

plt.ylabel('Consumption (kWh)')

plt.legend()

plt.show()

daily_avg_consumption = data.iloc[:, 2:].mean(axis=0)

daily_avg_consumption.index = pd.to_datetime(daily_avg_consumption.index)
# Plot

plt.figure(figsize=(14, 6))

plt.plot(daily_avg_consumption.index, daily_avg_consumption, color='orange')

plt.title('Average Daily Electricity Consumption Across All Users')

plt.xlabel('Date')

plt.ylabel('Average Consumption (kWh)')

plt.show()

data = data.drop(columns=['UserId'])

# Separate features (X) and target (y)

X = data.drop(columns=['IsStealer'])

y = data['IsStealer']

imputer = SimpleImputer(strategy='mean') # Replace 'mean' with 'median' or 'most_frequent' if needed

X = imputer.fit_transform(X) # Impute missing values in features


EXPECTED OUTCOMES
REFERENCES

• Iqbal, M., Khan, A., & Ahmed, S. (2021). Machine Learning-Based Electricity
Theft Detection in Smart Grids.

• Nizar, A. H., Dong, Z. Y., & Wang, Y. (2008). Power Utility Non-Technical Loss
Analysis with Extreme Learning Machine Method.

• Iftikhar, H., Khan, N., Raza, M. A., Abbas, G., Khan, M., Aoudia, M., Touti, E., &
Emara, A. (2024). Electricity Theft Detection in Smart Grid Using Machine
Learning.

• Khan, I., Ahmad, S., & Malik, A. (2021). A Stacked Machine and Deep Learning-
QUERIES ??
THANK YOU

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