Currency Futures.
Currency Futures.
www.nseindia.com/
◦ For example, if one unit of gold is valued at Indian Rupees (INR) 10,000
and US dollars (USD) 500 then the exchange rate of INR versus USD would
be 1 USD = INR 20.
Currency pairs in India
US Dollar = USDINR, USD/INR,
Euro = EURINR, EUR/INR,
Japanese Yen = JPYINR, JPY/INR,
British Pound = GBPINR, GBP/INR,
Swiss Franc = CHFINR, CHF/INR,
Currency pairs in India
Currency pair = Base Currency (BC) / Quotation Currency(QC)
QC
BC BC
USDINR, USD/INR,
QC QC
BC
The BC is the currency that is priced and its amount is fixed at
one unit.
◦ The other currency is the QC, which prices the BC, and its
amount varies as the price of BC varies in the market
Currency pairs - Trade
Buy USDINR is Buy BC and sell QC; Buy USD
and sell INR
Sell USDINR is Sell BC and buy QC; sell USD
and buy INR
Appreciation / Depreciation
USDINR has moved from 44.00 to 44.25, the USD has appreciated and the
INR has depreciated.
◦ USD looks strong over next few months would mean that USDINR pair
may move towards 45.00 from the current levels of 44.00
USDINR has moved from 44.00 to 43.25, the USD has depreciated and the
INR has appreciated.
◦ USD looks week over next few months would mean that USDINR pair may
move towards 44.00 from the current levels of 45.00
Exchange Derivatives
Derivative is a product whose value is derived from the value of one or more
underlying asset.
◦ You as a smart trader/ investor will raise money from the USA and deploy
it in India and try to capture the arbitrage of 4%.
◦ Life is not that simple! And such arbitrages do not exist for very long.
Interest rate parity and pricing of currency
futures
Two important things to think about before we proceed:
◦ The loan taken in the USA was in USD and you want INR. Therefore you
need to convert USD into INR. So you will buy INR and sell USD; this
means USDINR sells in the spot market because you want on-the-spot
conversion.
S = Spot price
Intuitively to understand why INR is called a discount to USD, think that to buy
the same 1 USD you had to pay INR 70 and you have to pay 75 after one year
◦ i.e., you have to pay more INR to buy the same 1 USD. And therefore the
future value of INR is at discount to USD.
Therefore in any currency pair, the future value of a currency with a high-
interest rate is at a discount (in relation to spot price) to the currency with a
low-interest rate.
Hedging With Currency Forward
Post
Early Maturity
Maturity
Post
Early Maturity
Maturity
Q1. On 1st Jan 2022, Mr. Ram an exporter enters into a forward contract with SBI bank to sell 100,000 USD on
31st March 2022 @ 75.40. However, Mr. Ram received the amount before the date i.e., 26th Feb 2022. Hence,
Mr. Ram requested the bank to take delivery before the due date i.e., 28 th Feb 2022.
Calculate the net cash Inflow of Mr. Ram assuming an Interest rate of 12%.
Early Delivery-Short Hedge
Sol: Transection on 1st Jan 2022,
Calculate the net cash outflow of Mr. Ram assuming an Interest rate of 12%.
Early Delivery-Long Hedge
Sol: Transection on 1st Jan 2022,
Q3. On 1st Jan 2022, Mr. Ram an exporter enters into a forward contract with SBI bank to sell 100,000 USD on
31st March 2022 @ 75.40. However, Mr. Ram did not receive the said amount on the maturity date. Hence,
Mr. Ram requested the bank to cancel the contract on the maturity date.
Additional Information
Sol:
Total 3,000
Maturity Cancelation-Long Hedge
Q4. On 1st Jan 2022, Mr. Ram an Importer enters into a forward contract with SBI bank to buy 100,000 USD
on 31st March 2022 @ 75.40. However, Mr. Ram did not receive the goods. Hence, requested the bank to
cancel the contract on the maturity date.
Additional Information
Additional Information
Interest rate @ 12%.
The bank charge 10p on each trade
Calculate the net cash Inflow/Outflow of Mr. Ram
Early Cancelation-Short Hedge
Sol: Transection on 1st Jan 2022,
Additional Information
Additional Information
Total (9,970)
Maturity Extension -Long Hedge
Q8. On 1st Jan 2022, Mr. Ram an Importer enters into a forward contract with SBI bank to buy 100,000 USD
on 31st March 2022 @ 75.40. However, the counterparty of Mr. Ram informed us of a delay of 1 Month on
the maturity date. Hence, Mr. Ram requested a bank 1-month extension on the maturity date.
Additional Information
Total (1,00,901.1)
Early Extension -Short Hedge
Q9. On 1st Jan 2022, Mr. Ram an exporter enters into a forward contract with SBI bank to sell 100,000 USD on
31st March 2022 @ 75.40. However, the counterparty of Mr. Ram informed a delay of 2 Months on the date
i.e., 26th Feb 2022. Hence, Mr. Ram requested a bank 2-month extension on from 28 th Feb 2022.
Additional Information
__________________________________________________
__________________________________________________
Total (10,170)
Early Extension -Long Hedge
Q10. On 1st Jan 2022, Mr. Ram an Importer enters into a forward contract with SBI bank to buy 100,000 USD
on 31st March 2022 @ 75.40. However, the counterparty of Mr. Ram informed a delay of 2 Months on the
date i.e., 26th Feb 2022. Hence, Mr. Ram requested a bank 2-month extension on from 28 th Feb 2022.
Additional Information
Total (50,130)
Thank you